Miami Heat
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
New Orleans Pelicans
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Pelicans

The Miami Heat hit the hardwood against the New Orleans Pelicans in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’re Backing Heat To Win

We’re looking to get with the Heat at the latest odds of +102. The road team have a great chance of winning against the Pelicans and that is our betting prediction.

Thinking Heat snags the W? Our expert review of BetMGM lays out what you need to know, then make the most of your bet using the latest promo code.

Heat Are 9 From 10 on the H2H

Miami Heat were beaten 115-111 at Kaseya Center in their previous game, being turned over at home to Utah Jazz. Andrew Wiggins tallied 26 points, while Bam Adebayo put up 23 and Kasparas Jakucionis 20.

New Orleans Pelicans last game saw them claim a 120-94 home win over Sacramento Kings at Smoothie King Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat beat the Pelicans in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 125-106 scoreline at Kaseya Center. The Heat have triumphed in their previous three meetings against the Pelicans. On the head-to-head front, it has been 9 wins out of 10.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 28 27 0.509 119.5 117.3 2.2 16-11 12-16 4-5 15-16 5-5 1L
Pelicans logo Pelicans 15 40 0.273 114.7 120.4 -5.7 9-19 6-21 6-7 9-26 5-5 2W
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 120.4 points, 51.9 rebounds, 28.8 assists, 9.8 steals and 3.6 blocks while shooting 45.0% from the field and 79.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 112.1 points and 47.1 rebounds per matchup.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.7 points and 10.6 rebounds, Jaime Jaquez Jr. 5.0 assists and Andrew Wiggins 2.0 (38.5%) 3-pointers.

New Orleans Pelicans – Last 10 Games

The Pelicans have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 113.5 points, 44.5 rebounds, 25.7 assists, 9.2 steals and 5.9 blocks per game while shooting 44.8% from the field and 78.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 112.0 points and 49.0 rebounds.

Saddiq Bey is averaging 22.4 points, Zion Williamson 7.3 rebounds and Trey Murphy 4.5 assists along with 3.7 (35.6%) 3-pointers made.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction & Picks

Be fully equipped for Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re heading to the Moneyline and backing Heat at +102 to win. Our pick means we’re opposing the team who have home advantage in this NBA showdown.

We track all injuries that could impact each franchise before making our basketball predictions. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the NBA action.

Key Heat vs Pelicans stats:

  • Heat have won 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • Pelicans have lost 7 of their last 10 games at home.
  • Pelicans have lost 13 of their last 20 games.
  • Pelicans have lost their last 3 games against Heat.

Heat Moneyline Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 49.5% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider the Heat against the spread. Those expecting this franchise to exceed expectations can wager them to cover the line.

Searching for betting perks? Explore our bonus guide for the freshest sportsbook promo codes, free bets, and offers today.

Our Game Prediction
Heat Moneyline @ +102 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (00:56, 11 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:56, 11 February 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Zion Williamson Under 21.5 Points -122 BetMGM logo

Zion Williamson (Pelicans) has recorded an average of 16 points in the past 5 home games. We’re expecting this trend to continue on this latest appearance and you can get Player Points odds of -122.

Latest Zion Williamson Player Prop Odds


Saddiq Bey Over 17.5 Points -122 BetMGM logo

Saddiq Bey (Pelicans) has totaled an average of 22.4 points in the past 10 games. This statistic guides us towards Player Points where we’re able to back him at odds of -122 to cover the line.

Latest Saddiq Bey Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline Heat
Totals Under 231.5
Player Points Zion Williamson Under 21.5

Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Heat on the moneyline, Under 231.5 on the total and Zion Williamson (Pelicans) to score Under 21.5 points.

A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular basketball game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 114 - 112 Pelicans logo Pelicans

There are huge odds available when it comes to the Heat landing a 114-112 win. A close game is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Game Could Go Right to the Wire According to the Books

We’re seeing New Orleans Pelicans priced up at -122 for a victory, with Miami Heat trading at +104. There is a 55% chance of the hosts winning according to the top NBA sportsbooks.

1.5 is the spread and 231.5 is the total points line. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those that want to back Under 231.5 can find odds of -105 available.

You can find a huge selection of game lines and team props for every contest, with the best NBA betting sites creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Betting Lines & Odds
Trey Murphy III Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Trey Murphy III is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can get -105 that he scores Over 23.5 points or -123 that he goes Under.

Player Points
Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)
Over 23.5
-105
Under 23.5
-123
BetMGM Logo
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)
Over 21.5
-120
Under 21.5
-108
BetMGM Logo
Saddiq Bey (Pelicans)
Over 17.5
-127
Under 17.5
-102
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
-120
Under 6.5
-108
BetMGM Logo
Derik Queen (Pelicans)
Over 4.5
+126
Under 4.5
-164
BetMGM Logo
Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)
Over 4.5
+113
Under 4.5
-147
BetMGM Logo
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)
Over 3.5
-141
Under 3.5
+108
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Derik Queen (Pelicans)
Over 7.5
+122
Under 7.5
-159
BetMGM Logo
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)
Over 6.5
+118
Under 6.5
-154
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Smoothie King Center
Smoothie King Center
Heat Hold Edge in Recent Head-to-Head Matchups at Smoothie King Center

The Pelicans own a 3-7 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 112.90 points on offense and surrendering 114.80 on defense.

The Heat have gone 5-5 across their last 10 road games, posting 116.50 points per contest while yielding 115.60.

The Heat beat the Pelicans 153-104 when they last met at Smoothie King Center. Across 8 head-to-head meetings at Smoothie King Center, the Heat have come away with six wins, while the Pelicans have two.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O231.5 U231.5
New Orleans Pelicans logo New Orleans Pelicans Home Stats 3-7 227.70 112.90 114.80 3 7
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 5-5 232.10 116.50 115.60 6 4
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O231.5 = Games Over 231.5 Points
  • U231.5 = Games Under 231.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
New Orleans Pelicans logo New Orleans Pelicans Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Tyler Herro 11 31.69 241 30 21.9 2.7 2.2 4.7 0.5 1.0
Andrew Wiggins 50 31.28 797 138 15.9 2.8 2.0 5.0 1.0 1.2
Bam Adebayo 47 31.26 858 130 18.3 2.8 1.6 9.8 0.6 1.0

New Orleans Pelicans Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Trey Murphy 51 35.8 1130 193 22.2 3.8 3.3 5.7 0.3 1.5
Saddiq Bey 48 30.37 797 117 16.6 2.4 1.9 5.8 0.0 1.0
Zion Williamson 39 29.59 839 137 21.5 3.5 - 6.2 0.6 1.0

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

New Orleans Pelicans Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

09 Feb NBA
Jazz 115-111 Heat
08 Feb NBA
Heat 132-101 Wizards
06 Feb NBA
Heat 96-98 Celtics
03 Feb NBA
Hawks 127-115 Heat
01 Feb NBA
Bulls 91-134 Heat
31 Jan NBA
Bulls 125-118 Heat
29 Jan NBA
Heat 116-113 Bulls
28 Jan NBA
Magic 133-124 Heat
25 Jan NBA
Heat 111-102 Suns
24 Jan NBA
Heat 147-116 Jazz

Previous New Orleans Pelicans Lineups

09 Feb NBA
Kings 94-120 Pelicans
06 Feb NBA
Pelicans 119-115 Timberwolves
04 Feb NBA
Pelicans 137-141 Bucks
02 Feb NBA
Pelicans 95-102 Hornets
31 Jan NBA
Pelicans 114-124 76ers
30 Jan NBA
Grizzlies 106-114 Pelicans
27 Jan NBA
Pelicans 95-104 Thunder
25 Jan NBA
Pelicans 104-95 Spurs
23 Jan NBA
Pelicans 133-127 Grizzlies
21 Jan NBA
Pistons 112-104 Pelicans

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Knicks 34 20 0.63 117.6 112.3 5.3 21-7 13-13 9-3 23-13 8-2 1L
Celtics 34 19 0.642 115.1 108.4 6.7 17-9 17-10 7-5 23-13 7-3 1L
Raptors 32 22 0.593 114.1 112.2 1.9 16-12 16-10 4-9 24-14 7-3 2W
76ers 30 23 0.566 116.7 115.5 1.2 15-13 15-10 8-5 19-17 6-4 1L
Nets 15 37 0.288 107.6 114.9 -7.3 8-18 7-19 3-9 11-21 3-7 2W
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 39 13 0.75 117.3 109.6 7.7 22-6 17-7 8-3 25-7 7-3 2W
Cavaliers 33 21 0.611 119.6 115.9 3.7 17-11 16-10 7-3 19-13 9-1 4W
Bulls 24 30 0.444 117 120.6 -3.6 15-12 9-18 3-9 16-21 2-8 5L
Bucks 21 30 0.412 111.7 115.8 -4.1 12-12 9-18 7-4 16-18 4-6 1L
Pacers 14 40 0.259 111.1 118.8 -7.7 10-18 4-22 3-9 10-26 4-6 1W
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 28 24 0.538 115.2 115.2 0 18-9 10-15 6-5 19-17 5-5 3W
Heat 28 27 0.509 119.5 117.3 2.2 16-11 12-16 4-5 15-16 5-5 1L
Hawks 26 29 0.473 117.5 118.8 -1.3 10-15 16-14 5-4 13-19 6-4 2L
Hornets 25 29 0.463 115.8 113.9 1.9 11-14 14-15 7-4 15-20 9-1 1L
Wizards 14 38 0.269 112.1 122.8 -10.7 9-18 5-20 2-6 9-22 4-6 2L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 41 13 0.759 119.9 108 11.9 22-6 19-7 8-3 31-9 5-5 1W
Nuggets 34 20 0.63 120.3 116.4 3.9 14-11 20-9 4-2 19-9 5-5 1L
Timberwolves 33 22 0.6 119.4 114.9 4.5 18-10 15-12 5-5 18-17 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 26 28 0.481 116.1 118 -1.9 16-13 10-15 4-4 20-15 4-6 3W
Jazz 17 37 0.315 118.2 126.4 -8.2 10-17 7-20 1-8 9-24 2-8 1W
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 32 21 0.604 115.9 116.3 -0.4 14-10 18-11 5-6 21-14 6-4 2L
Suns 32 22 0.593 113.7 111.4 2.3 18-9 14-13 8-6 22-15 5-5 1W
Warriors 29 25 0.537 115.6 113.5 2.1 18-9 11-16 6-4 19-15 4-6 1W
Clippers 25 28 0.472 112 112.5 -0.5 13-11 12-17 7-4 15-16 6-4 1L
Kings 12 43 0.218 110.5 120.6 -10.1 9-19 3-24 2-8 8-28 0-10 13L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 37 16 0.698 118 112.2 5.8 19-6 18-10 10-3 23-13 7-3 5W
Rockets 33 19 0.635 114.9 109.7 5.2 18-6 15-13 6-5 19-15 7-3 2W
Grizzlies 20 32 0.385 115.3 117.4 -2.1 11-15 9-17 5-6 16-20 2-8 3L
Mavericks 19 34 0.358 114.1 117.3 -3.2 14-16 5-18 3-9 11-24 2-8 8L
Pelicans 15 40 0.273 114.7 120.4 -5.7 9-19 6-21 6-7 9-26 5-5 2W
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 39 13 0.75 117.3 109.6 7.7 22-6 17-7 8-3 25-7 7-3 2W
Celtics 34 19 0.642 115.1 108.4 6.7 17-9 17-10 7-5 23-13 7-3 1L
Knicks 34 20 0.63 117.6 112.3 5.3 21-7 13-13 9-3 23-13 8-2 1L
Cavaliers 33 21 0.611 119.6 115.9 3.7 17-11 16-10 7-3 19-13 9-1 4W
Raptors 32 22 0.593 114.1 112.2 1.9 16-12 16-10 4-9 24-14 7-3 2W
76ers 30 23 0.566 116.7 115.5 1.2 15-13 15-10 8-5 19-17 6-4 1L
Magic 28 24 0.538 115.2 115.2 0 18-9 10-15 6-5 19-17 5-5 3W
Heat 28 27 0.509 119.5 117.3 2.2 16-11 12-16 4-5 15-16 5-5 1L
Hawks 26 29 0.473 117.5 118.8 -1.3 10-15 16-14 5-4 13-19 6-4 2L
Hornets 25 29 0.463 115.8 113.9 1.9 11-14 14-15 7-4 15-20 9-1 1L
Bulls 24 30 0.444 117 120.6 -3.6 15-12 9-18 3-9 16-21 2-8 5L
Bucks 21 30 0.412 111.7 115.8 -4.1 12-12 9-18 7-4 16-18 4-6 1L
Nets 15 37 0.288 107.6 114.9 -7.3 8-18 7-19 3-9 11-21 3-7 2W
Wizards 14 38 0.269 112.1 122.8 -10.7 9-18 5-20 2-6 9-22 4-6 2L
Pacers 14 40 0.259 111.1 118.8 -7.7 10-18 4-22 3-9 10-26 4-6 1W
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 41 13 0.759 119.9 108 11.9 22-6 19-7 8-3 31-9 5-5 1W
Spurs 37 16 0.698 118 112.2 5.8 19-6 18-10 10-3 23-13 7-3 5W
Nuggets 34 20 0.63 120.3 116.4 3.9 14-11 20-9 4-2 19-9 5-5 1L
Rockets 33 19 0.635 114.9 109.7 5.2 18-6 15-13 6-5 19-15 7-3 2W
Lakers 32 21 0.604 115.9 116.3 -0.4 14-10 18-11 5-6 21-14 6-4 2L
Timberwolves 33 22 0.6 119.4 114.9 4.5 18-10 15-12 5-5 18-17 6-4 1W
Suns 32 22 0.593 113.7 111.4 2.3 18-9 14-13 8-6 22-15 5-5 1W
Warriors 29 25 0.537 115.6 113.5 2.1 18-9 11-16 6-4 19-15 4-6 1W
Trail Blazers 26 28 0.481 116.1 118 -1.9 16-13 10-15 4-4 20-15 4-6 3W
Clippers 25 28 0.472 112 112.5 -0.5 13-11 12-17 7-4 15-16 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 20 32 0.385 115.3 117.4 -2.1 11-15 9-17 5-6 16-20 2-8 3L
Mavericks 19 34 0.358 114.1 117.3 -3.2 14-16 5-18 3-9 11-24 2-8 8L
Jazz 17 37 0.315 118.2 126.4 -8.2 10-17 7-20 1-8 9-24 2-8 1W
Pelicans 15 40 0.273 114.7 120.4 -5.7 9-19 6-21 6-7 9-26 5-5 2W
Kings 12 43 0.218 110.5 120.6 -10.1 9-19 3-24 2-8 8-28 0-10 13L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 41 13 0.759 119.9 108 11.9 22-6 19-7 8-3 31-9 5-5 1W
Pistons 39 13 0.75 117.3 109.6 7.7 22-6 17-7 8-3 25-7 7-3 2W
Spurs 37 16 0.698 118 112.2 5.8 19-6 18-10 10-3 23-13 7-3 5W
Celtics 34 19 0.642 115.1 108.4 6.7 17-9 17-10 7-5 23-13 7-3 1L
Rockets 33 19 0.635 114.9 109.7 5.2 18-6 15-13 6-5 19-15 7-3 2W
Nuggets 34 20 0.63 120.3 116.4 3.9 14-11 20-9 4-2 19-9 5-5 1L
Knicks 34 20 0.63 117.6 112.3 5.3 21-7 13-13 9-3 23-13 8-2 1L
Cavaliers 33 21 0.611 119.6 115.9 3.7 17-11 16-10 7-3 19-13 9-1 4W
Lakers 32 21 0.604 115.9 116.3 -0.4 14-10 18-11 5-6 21-14 6-4 2L
Timberwolves 33 22 0.6 119.4 114.9 4.5 18-10 15-12 5-5 18-17 6-4 1W
Suns 32 22 0.593 113.7 111.4 2.3 18-9 14-13 8-6 22-15 5-5 1W
Raptors 32 22 0.593 114.1 112.2 1.9 16-12 16-10 4-9 24-14 7-3 2W
76ers 30 23 0.566 116.7 115.5 1.2 15-13 15-10 8-5 19-17 6-4 1L
Magic 28 24 0.538 115.2 115.2 0 18-9 10-15 6-5 19-17 5-5 3W
Warriors 29 25 0.537 115.6 113.5 2.1 18-9 11-16 6-4 19-15 4-6 1W
Heat 28 27 0.509 119.5 117.3 2.2 16-11 12-16 4-5 15-16 5-5 1L
Trail Blazers 26 28 0.481 116.1 118 -1.9 16-13 10-15 4-4 20-15 4-6 3W
Hawks 26 29 0.473 117.5 118.8 -1.3 10-15 16-14 5-4 13-19 6-4 2L
Clippers 25 28 0.472 112 112.5 -0.5 13-11 12-17 7-4 15-16 6-4 1L
Hornets 25 29 0.463 115.8 113.9 1.9 11-14 14-15 7-4 15-20 9-1 1L
Bulls 24 30 0.444 117 120.6 -3.6 15-12 9-18 3-9 16-21 2-8 5L
Bucks 21 30 0.412 111.7 115.8 -4.1 12-12 9-18 7-4 16-18 4-6 1L
Grizzlies 20 32 0.385 115.3 117.4 -2.1 11-15 9-17 5-6 16-20 2-8 3L
Mavericks 19 34 0.358 114.1 117.3 -3.2 14-16 5-18 3-9 11-24 2-8 8L
Jazz 17 37 0.315 118.2 126.4 -8.2 10-17 7-20 1-8 9-24 2-8 1W
Nets 15 37 0.288 107.6 114.9 -7.3 8-18 7-19 3-9 11-21 3-7 2W
Pelicans 15 40 0.273 114.7 120.4 -5.7 9-19 6-21 6-7 9-26 5-5 2W
Wizards 14 38 0.269 112.1 122.8 -10.7 9-18 5-20 2-6 9-22 4-6 2L
Pacers 14 40 0.259 111.1 118.8 -7.7 10-18 4-22 3-9 10-26 4-6 1W
Kings 12 43 0.218 110.5 120.6 -10.1 9-19 3-24 2-8 8-28 0-10 13L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak