Miami Heat
New Orleans Pelicans
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Pelicans

The Miami Heat hit the hardwood against the New Orleans Pelicans in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’re Backing Heat To Win

We’re looking to get with the Heat at the latest odds of +102. The road team have a great chance of winning against the Pelicans and that is our betting prediction.

Heat Are 9 From 10 on the H2H

Miami Heat were beaten 115-111 at Kaseya Center in their previous game, being turned over at home to Utah Jazz. Andrew Wiggins tallied 26 points, while Bam Adebayo put up 23 and Kasparas Jakucionis 20.

New Orleans Pelicans last game saw them claim a 120-94 home win over Sacramento Kings at Smoothie King Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat beat the Pelicans in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 125-106 scoreline at Kaseya Center. The Heat have triumphed in their previous three meetings against the Pelicans. On the head-to-head front, it has been 9 wins out of 10.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Pelicans logo Pelicans 25 52 0.325 115 119.5 -4.5 16-23 9-29 7-9 16-32 3-7 6L
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 120.4 points, 51.9 rebounds, 28.8 assists, 9.8 steals and 3.6 blocks while shooting 45.0% from the field and 79.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 112.1 points and 47.1 rebounds per matchup.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.7 points and 10.6 rebounds, Jaime Jaquez Jr. 5.0 assists and Andrew Wiggins 2.0 (38.5%) 3-pointers.

New Orleans Pelicans – Last 10 Games

The Pelicans have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 113.5 points, 44.5 rebounds, 25.7 assists, 9.2 steals and 5.9 blocks per game while shooting 44.8% from the field and 78.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 112.0 points and 49.0 rebounds.

Saddiq Bey is averaging 22.4 points, Zion Williamson 7.3 rebounds and Trey Murphy 4.5 assists along with 3.7 (35.6%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Davion Mitchell.

New Orleans Pelicans lineup: Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen, Trey Murphy, Saddiq Bey.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction & Picks

Be fully equipped for Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re heading to the Moneyline and backing Heat at +102 to win. Our pick means we’re opposing the team who have home advantage in this NBA showdown.

We track all injuries that could impact each franchise before making our basketball predictions. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the NBA action.

Key Heat vs Pelicans stats:

  • Heat have won 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • Pelicans have lost 7 of their last 10 games at home.
  • Pelicans have lost 13 of their last 20 games.
  • Pelicans have lost their last 3 games against Heat.

Heat Moneyline Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 49.5% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider the Heat against the spread. Those expecting this franchise to exceed expectations can wager them to cover the line.

Searching for betting perks? Explore our bonus guide for the freshest sportsbook promo codes, free bets, and offers today.

Our Game Prediction
Heat Moneyline @ +102 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 11, 00:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:56, 11 February 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Zion Williamson Under 21.5 Points -108 BetMGM logo

Zion Williamson (Pelicans) has recorded an average of 16 points in the past 5 home games. We’re expecting this trend to continue on this latest appearance and you can get Player Points odds of -108.

Latest Zion Williamson Player Prop Odds


Jeremiah Fears Over 3.5 Rebounds +113 BetMGM logo

Jeremiah Fears (Pelicans) has covered the 3.5 rebounds total in 4 straight home games. There is odds of +113 available when it comes to this Player Rebounds bet and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Jeremiah Fears Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline Heat
Totals Under 231.5
Player Points Zion Williamson Under 21.5

Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Heat on the moneyline, Under 231.5 on the total and Zion Williamson (Pelicans) to score Under 21.5 points.

A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular basketball game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 114 - 112 Pelicans logo Pelicans

There are huge odds available when it comes to the Heat landing a 114-112 win. A close game is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Game Could Go Right to the Wire According to the Books

We’re seeing New Orleans Pelicans priced up at -123 for a victory, with Miami Heat trading at +106. There is a 55% chance of the hosts winning according to the top NBA sportsbooks.

1.5 is the spread and 232.5 is the total points line. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those that want to back Under 232.5 can find odds of -110 available.

You can find a huge selection of game lines and team props for every contest, with the best NBA betting sites creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Betting Lines & Odds
Trey Murphy III Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Trey Murphy III is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can get -123 that he scores Over 22.5 points or -110 that he goes Under.

Player Points
Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)
Over 22.5
-123
Under 22.5
-110
BetMGM Logo
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)
Over 21.5
-112
Under 21.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Saddiq Bey (Pelicans)
Over 17.5
-125
Under 17.5
-109
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
-118
Under 6.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 5.5
+105
Under 5.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Derik Queen (Pelicans)
Over 4.5
+120
Under 4.5
-164
BetMGM Logo
Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)
Over 3.5
-154
Under 3.5
+112
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Derik Queen (Pelicans)
Over 7.5
+106
Under 7.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)
Over 6.5
-112
Under 6.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Smoothie King Center
Smoothie King Center
Heat Hold Edge in Recent Head-to-Head Matchups at Smoothie King Center

The Pelicans own a 3-7 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 112.90 points on offense and surrendering 114.80 on defense.

The Heat have gone 5-5 across their last 10 road games, posting 116.50 points per contest while yielding 115.60.

The Heat beat the Pelicans 153-104 when they last met at Smoothie King Center. Across 8 head-to-head meetings at Smoothie King Center, the Heat have come away with six wins, while the Pelicans have two.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O231.5 U231.5
New Orleans Pelicans logo New Orleans Pelicans Home Stats 3-7 227.70 112.90 114.80 3 7
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 5-5 232.10 116.50 115.60 6 4
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O231.5 = Games Over 231.5 Points
  • U231.5 = Games Under 231.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
New Orleans Pelicans logo New Orleans Pelicans Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Tyler Herro 11 31.69 241 30 21.9 2.7 2.2 4.7 0.5 1.0
Andrew Wiggins 50 31.28 797 138 15.9 2.8 2.0 5.0 1.0 1.2
Bam Adebayo 47 31.26 858 130 18.3 2.8 1.6 9.8 0.6 1.0

New Orleans Pelicans Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Trey Murphy 51 35.8 1130 193 22.2 3.8 3.3 5.7 0.3 1.5
Saddiq Bey 48 30.37 797 117 16.6 2.4 1.9 5.8 0.0 1.0
Zion Williamson 39 29.59 839 137 21.5 3.5 - 6.2 0.6 1.0

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

New Orleans Pelicans Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans logo New Orleans Pelicans Confirmed Lineup
1 Zion Williamson
2 Herbert Jones
22 Derik Queen
25 Trey Murphy
41 Saddiq Bey
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
0 Simone Fontecchio
7 Kel'el Ware
13 Bam Adebayo
15 Myron Gardner
45 Davion Mitchell

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

09 Feb NBA
Jazz 115-111 Heat
08 Feb NBA
Heat 132-101 Wizards
06 Feb NBA
Heat 96-98 Celtics
03 Feb NBA
Hawks 127-115 Heat
01 Feb NBA
Bulls 91-134 Heat
31 Jan NBA
Bulls 125-118 Heat
29 Jan NBA
Heat 116-113 Bulls
28 Jan NBA
Magic 133-124 Heat
25 Jan NBA
Heat 111-102 Suns
24 Jan NBA
Heat 147-116 Jazz

Previous New Orleans Pelicans Lineups

09 Feb NBA
Kings 94-120 Pelicans
06 Feb NBA
Pelicans 119-115 Timberwolves
04 Feb NBA
Pelicans 137-141 Bucks
02 Feb NBA
Pelicans 95-102 Hornets
31 Jan NBA
Pelicans 114-124 76ers
30 Jan NBA
Grizzlies 106-114 Pelicans
27 Jan NBA
Pelicans 95-104 Thunder
25 Jan NBA
Pelicans 104-95 Spurs
23 Jan NBA
Pelicans 133-127 Grizzlies
21 Jan NBA
Pistons 112-104 Pelicans

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 51 25 0.671 114.4 107.2 7.2 26-11 25-14 9-5 32-15 8-2 1W
Knicks 49 28 0.636 116.7 110.6 6.1 27-9 22-19 12-3 31-16 7-3 1W
76ers 42 34 0.553 116.6 116.7 -0.1 21-17 21-17 9-7 25-24 7-3 1W
Raptors 42 34 0.553 114.4 112.3 2.1 21-17 21-17 4-10 30-17 5-5 2L
Nets 18 58 0.237 106 115.5 -9.5 10-27 8-31 3-12 12-33 1-9 1L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 56 21 0.727 117.5 109.6 7.9 31-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 8-2 2W
Cavaliers 48 29 0.623 119.3 115.2 4.1 24-14 24-15 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Bucks 30 46 0.395 110.6 116.7 -6.1 17-21 13-25 9-6 20-27 3-7 1L
Bulls 29 47 0.382 116.5 121.4 -4.9 18-21 11-26 4-12 17-30 2-8 5L
Pacers 18 58 0.237 112.6 120.7 -8.1 11-27 7-31 4-10 14-33 3-7 2W
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 44 33 0.571 118.3 116 2.3 23-16 21-17 9-6 25-22 8-2 3W
Hornets 41 36 0.532 116.2 111.4 4.8 20-19 21-17 11-5 24-24 7-3 2W
Magic 40 36 0.526 115.1 115.3 -0.2 24-16 16-20 9-8 24-25 2-8 1L
Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Wizards 17 59 0.224 112.7 124.3 -11.6 11-27 6-32 2-12 11-35 1-9 4L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 61 16 0.792 118.9 107.5 11.4 33-7 28-9 11-3 38-9 9-1 4W
Nuggets 49 28 0.636 121.4 116.6 4.8 24-13 25-15 9-5 31-16 8-2 7W
Timberwolves 46 30 0.605 117.8 114.1 3.7 25-14 21-16 9-7 29-21 6-4 1L
Trail Blazers 40 38 0.513 115.4 115.9 -0.5 22-17 18-21 7-8 27-21 8-2 3W
Jazz 21 56 0.273 117.3 125.4 -8.1 13-27 8-29 1-14 11-36 1-9 7L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 50 27 0.649 116.5 115 1.5 26-12 24-15 8-7 30-17 8-2 1L
Suns 42 35 0.545 112.8 111.3 1.5 24-15 18-20 10-6 27-21 3-7 2L
Clippers 39 38 0.506 113.7 112.6 1.1 21-17 18-21 8-6 22-25 5-5 2L
Warriors 36 41 0.468 114.8 115.1 -0.3 21-17 15-24 6-6 23-24 4-6 3L
Kings 20 57 0.26 110.9 121.1 -10.2 13-25 7-32 3-10 12-35 4-6 1W
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 59 18 0.766 119.6 111.1 8.5 29-7 30-11 12-3 34-14 10-0 11W
Rockets 47 29 0.618 114.4 109.9 4.5 27-10 20-19 9-6 25-22 6-4 4W
Pelicans 25 52 0.325 115 119.5 -4.5 16-23 9-29 7-9 16-32 3-7 6L
Grizzlies 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 14-25 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 2L
Mavericks 24 52 0.316 113.4 119.1 -5.7 14-24 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 2L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 56 21 0.727 117.5 109.6 7.9 31-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 8-2 2W
Celtics 51 25 0.671 114.4 107.2 7.2 26-11 25-14 9-5 32-15 8-2 1W
Knicks 49 28 0.636 116.7 110.6 6.1 27-9 22-19 12-3 31-16 7-3 1W
Cavaliers 48 29 0.623 119.3 115.2 4.1 24-14 24-15 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Hawks 44 33 0.571 118.3 116 2.3 23-16 21-17 9-6 25-22 8-2 3W
76ers 42 34 0.553 116.6 116.7 -0.1 21-17 21-17 9-7 25-24 7-3 1W
Raptors 42 34 0.553 114.4 112.3 2.1 21-17 21-17 4-10 30-17 5-5 2L
Hornets 41 36 0.532 116.2 111.4 4.8 20-19 21-17 11-5 24-24 7-3 2W
Magic 40 36 0.526 115.1 115.3 -0.2 24-16 16-20 9-8 24-25 2-8 1L
Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Bucks 30 46 0.395 110.6 116.7 -6.1 17-21 13-25 9-6 20-27 3-7 1L
Bulls 29 47 0.382 116.5 121.4 -4.9 18-21 11-26 4-12 17-30 2-8 5L
Pacers 18 58 0.237 112.6 120.7 -8.1 11-27 7-31 4-10 14-33 3-7 2W
Nets 18 58 0.237 106 115.5 -9.5 10-27 8-31 3-12 12-33 1-9 1L
Wizards 17 59 0.224 112.7 124.3 -11.6 11-27 6-32 2-12 11-35 1-9 4L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 61 16 0.792 118.9 107.5 11.4 33-7 28-9 11-3 38-9 9-1 4W
Spurs 59 18 0.766 119.6 111.1 8.5 29-7 30-11 12-3 34-14 10-0 11W
Lakers 50 27 0.649 116.5 115 1.5 26-12 24-15 8-7 30-17 8-2 1L
Nuggets 49 28 0.636 121.4 116.6 4.8 24-13 25-15 9-5 31-16 8-2 7W
Rockets 47 29 0.618 114.4 109.9 4.5 27-10 20-19 9-6 25-22 6-4 4W
Timberwolves 46 30 0.605 117.8 114.1 3.7 25-14 21-16 9-7 29-21 6-4 1L
Suns 42 35 0.545 112.8 111.3 1.5 24-15 18-20 10-6 27-21 3-7 2L
Trail Blazers 40 38 0.513 115.4 115.9 -0.5 22-17 18-21 7-8 27-21 8-2 3W
Clippers 39 38 0.506 113.7 112.6 1.1 21-17 18-21 8-6 22-25 5-5 2L
Warriors 36 41 0.468 114.8 115.1 -0.3 21-17 15-24 6-6 23-24 4-6 3L
Pelicans 25 52 0.325 115 119.5 -4.5 16-23 9-29 7-9 16-32 3-7 6L
Grizzlies 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 14-25 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 2L
Mavericks 24 52 0.316 113.4 119.1 -5.7 14-24 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 2L
Jazz 21 56 0.273 117.3 125.4 -8.1 13-27 8-29 1-14 11-36 1-9 7L
Kings 20 57 0.26 110.9 121.1 -10.2 13-25 7-32 3-10 12-35 4-6 1W
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 61 16 0.792 118.9 107.5 11.4 33-7 28-9 11-3 38-9 9-1 4W
Spurs 59 18 0.766 119.6 111.1 8.5 29-7 30-11 12-3 34-14 10-0 11W
Pistons 56 21 0.727 117.5 109.6 7.9 31-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 8-2 2W
Celtics 51 25 0.671 114.4 107.2 7.2 26-11 25-14 9-5 32-15 8-2 1W
Lakers 50 27 0.649 116.5 115 1.5 26-12 24-15 8-7 30-17 8-2 1L
Nuggets 49 28 0.636 121.4 116.6 4.8 24-13 25-15 9-5 31-16 8-2 7W
Knicks 49 28 0.636 116.7 110.6 6.1 27-9 22-19 12-3 31-16 7-3 1W
Cavaliers 48 29 0.623 119.3 115.2 4.1 24-14 24-15 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Rockets 47 29 0.618 114.4 109.9 4.5 27-10 20-19 9-6 25-22 6-4 4W
Timberwolves 46 30 0.605 117.8 114.1 3.7 25-14 21-16 9-7 29-21 6-4 1L
Hawks 44 33 0.571 118.3 116 2.3 23-16 21-17 9-6 25-22 8-2 3W
76ers 42 34 0.553 116.6 116.7 -0.1 21-17 21-17 9-7 25-24 7-3 1W
Raptors 42 34 0.553 114.4 112.3 2.1 21-17 21-17 4-10 30-17 5-5 2L
Suns 42 35 0.545 112.8 111.3 1.5 24-15 18-20 10-6 27-21 3-7 2L
Hornets 41 36 0.532 116.2 111.4 4.8 20-19 21-17 11-5 24-24 7-3 2W
Magic 40 36 0.526 115.1 115.3 -0.2 24-16 16-20 9-8 24-25 2-8 1L
Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Trail Blazers 40 38 0.513 115.4 115.9 -0.5 22-17 18-21 7-8 27-21 8-2 3W
Clippers 39 38 0.506 113.7 112.6 1.1 21-17 18-21 8-6 22-25 5-5 2L
Warriors 36 41 0.468 114.8 115.1 -0.3 21-17 15-24 6-6 23-24 4-6 3L
Bucks 30 46 0.395 110.6 116.7 -6.1 17-21 13-25 9-6 20-27 3-7 1L
Bulls 29 47 0.382 116.5 121.4 -4.9 18-21 11-26 4-12 17-30 2-8 5L
Grizzlies 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 14-25 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 2L
Pelicans 25 52 0.325 115 119.5 -4.5 16-23 9-29 7-9 16-32 3-7 6L
Mavericks 24 52 0.316 113.4 119.1 -5.7 14-24 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 2L
Jazz 21 56 0.273 117.3 125.4 -8.1 13-27 8-29 1-14 11-36 1-9 7L
Kings 20 57 0.26 110.9 121.1 -10.2 13-25 7-32 3-10 12-35 4-6 1W
Nets 18 58 0.237 106 115.5 -9.5 10-27 8-31 3-12 12-33 1-9 1L
Pacers 18 58 0.237 112.6 120.7 -8.1 11-27 7-31 4-10 14-33 3-7 2W
Wizards 17 59 0.224 112.7 124.3 -11.6 11-27 6-32 2-12 11-35 1-9 4L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak