Miami vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Miami vs Virginia

The Miami Hurricanes go up against the Virginia Cavaliers, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Saturday, February 21.

Our prediction is to snap up the -105 that Virginia are able to cover the spread. The favorites are -8.5 in their meeting with Miami and the margin of victory could be a good deal more significant.

Miami Hurricanes previous game saw them claim a 67-66 home win over Virginia Tech.

Virginia Cavaliers won last time out by a 94-68 scoreline. It was on the road against Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Virginia have won the last two matchups versus Miami. It was 60-38 at home before a 82-71 road win. In the past 9 games between the teams, Virginia have won eight.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Virginia	23-3	2129	1753	376	13-1	10-2	7W
Miami	21-5	2156	1818	338	14-3	7-2	4W

View Full Standings

Miami vs Virginia Prediction & Picks

Gear up for Miami vs Virginia with our betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a hand-picked bet builder. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

There’s a generous line of -8.5 when it comes to Virginia for this college contest. The -105 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our pick is that the favorites will make it happen.

Our basketball predictions are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest college hoops team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.

Key Miami vs Virginia stats:

• The -8.5 line has been covered by Virginia in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -8.5 line has been covered by Virginia in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -8.5 line has been covered by Virginia in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -8.5 line has been covered by Virginia in 2 consecutive games against Miami.

UVA -8.5 Probability

If you go by the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

If you’re searching for bigger odds and feel confident that your selection will perform well, then moving the betting line can secure an increased potential payout.

Make your next bet count. Discover the best betting offers, including generous welcome bonuses and free bets.

Our Game Prediction

Virginia -8.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Miami 66 - 77 Virginia

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. the Cavs to claim a 77-66 victory is on offer at huge betting odds.

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Miami vs Virginia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You might not get rich backing Virginia at -435. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 81% chance of winning this college game. At +330, Miami are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

There is a spread of 8.5 and total points has a line of 146.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. There’s the chance to back Under 146.5 at -110.

Whether you’re betting in-game or pre-game, the best betting apps serve up a wide range of game lines and team props to choose from. The options are nearly endless, and it’s awesome to have so much variety.

Moneyline

Miami

+330

Virginia

-435

Point Spread

Miami +8.5

-115

Virginia -8.5

-105

Total Points

Under 146.5

-110

Over 146.5

-110

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Points, Assists, Steals and Blocks.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Stats

Virginia Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 145.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 148.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 146.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.50 pts and allowed 71.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.20 pts and allowed 73.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 145.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 144.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 146.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.80 pts and allowed 68.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.20 pts and allowed 63.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	24-2	2157	1642	515	15-0	9-2	3W
Virginia	23-3	2129	1753	376	13-1	10-2	7W
Miami	21-5	2156	1818	338	14-3	7-2	4W
North Carolina	20-6	2103	1843	260	16-0	4-6	1L
Clemson	20-7	2022	1767	255	13-2	7-5	3L
Louisville	19-7	2257	1868	389	13-2	6-5	1L
NC State	19-8	2291	1992	299	12-5	7-3	1W
SMU	18-8	2250	2024	226	15-2	3-6	1W
California	18-8	2053	1897	156	15-3	3-5	1W
Virginia Tech	17-10	2124	2010	114	13-3	4-7	2L
Stanford	16-10	1961	1886	75	10-6	6-4	1L
Syracuse	15-12	2053	1977	76	12-4	3-8	1L
Wake Forest	14-12	2077	2002	75	10-6	4-6	3W
Florida State	13-13	2089	2032	57	10-7	3-6	2W
Notre Dame	12-14	1941	1909	32	10-5	2-9	1W
Georgia Tech	11-16	2005	2078	-73	10-8	1-8	8L
Pittsburgh	9-17	1818	1866	-48	7-9	2-8	5L
Boston College	9-17	1758	1813	-55	8-10	1-7	7L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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