Kansas State vs Texas Tech Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Kansas State vs Texas Tech

The Kansas State Wildcats battle the Texas Tech Red Raiders, with tip-off scheduled for 14:30 on Saturday, February 21.

There’s every chance that the total won’t be as high as 159.5, so we’re prepared to take the -115 that K-State and Texas Tech go under the line.

Kansas State Wildcats claimed a victory in their previous game. A 90-74 home win occurred against Baylor Bears.

Texas Tech Red Raiders were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 72-67 reverse against Arizona State Sun Devils.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Texas Tech triumphed 61-57 when they last played K-State. Texas Tech have triumphed in their previous three matchups against K-State. On the head-to-head front, it has been 8 wins out of 10.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Texas Tech	22-10	2573	2324	249	16-4	6-6	3L
Kansas State	12-20	2546	2619	-73	11-8	1-12	2L

View Full Standings

Kansas State vs Texas Tech Prediction & Picks

Your complete Kansas State vs Texas Tech betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re not convinced these college opponents are cumulatively going to produce enough points in relation to the total line. Therefore, we’re aiming to go Under 159.5 at -115.

The college hoops handicappers at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any basketball picks. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our predictions.

Key Kansas State vs Texas Tech stats:

• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 K-State games on the road.
• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 K-State games.
• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Texas Tech games.
• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Texas Tech games.
• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Texas Tech games.
• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 10 games between these teams.

Under 159.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of delivering a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Bettors looking for more juice from their Unders wager can check out the Match Result & Total lines. Here you simply combine points with the team that will win.

Don’t miss out. Check our expert guide for the most rewarding betting offers, including top free bets and bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Under 159.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 20, 19:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: P.J. Haggerty Under 2.5 Assists -120

P.J. Haggerty (K-State) can be wagered to have Under 2.5 assists at -120. There’s no reason to oppose our instinct, so we’ll bet on him failing to cover the Player Assists total here.

Latest P.J. Haggerty Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Assists

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-120

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+120

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Khamari McGriff Under 7.5 Points -110

Khamari McGriff (K-State) is available at -110 to record Under 7.5 points. There could well be a failure on his part to cover the total and this looks pretty generous to us.

Latest Khamari McGriff Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-120

Assists

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

+120

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-118

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Kansas State 67 - 87 Texas Tech

Rather than betting on the Red Raiders to win, there’s the option to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 87-67 triumph in their favor.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Kansas State vs Texas Tech Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You might not get rich backing Texas Tech at -1111. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 92% chance of winning this college game. At +680, Kansas State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 12.5 and the total points line is 158.5. The Totals offers basketball fans an alternative way of getting involved. There’s the chance to back Under 158.5 at -110.

College hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

K-State

+680

Texas Tech

-1111

Point Spread

K-State +12.5

-102

Texas Tech -12.5

-120

Total Points

Under 158.5

-110

Over 158.5

-110

P.J. Haggerty is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can get -114 that he goes Over 23.5 points or the same odds when it comes to Under.

P.J. Haggerty (K-State)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Christian Anderson (Texas Tech)

Over 21.5

-108

Under 21.5

-120

LeJuan Watts (Texas Tech)

Over 15.5

-103

Under 15.5

-125

Donovan Atwell (Texas Tech)

Over 15.5

-100

Under 15.5

-130

Jaylen Petty (Texas Tech)

Over 12.5

-112

Under 12.5

-115

Nate Johnson (K-State)

Over 11.5

-123

Under 11.5

-105

David Castillo (K-State)

Over 10.5

-118

Under 10.5

-110

Luke Bamgboye (Texas Tech)

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-100

Khamari McGriff (K-State)

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-120

Christian Anderson (Texas Tech)

Over 7.5

-156

Under 7.5

+120

Nate Johnson (K-State)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-135

P.J. Haggerty (K-State)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-120

Donovan Atwell (Texas Tech)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+150

Khamari McGriff (K-State)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

+120

Luke Bamgboye (Texas Tech)

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-125

LeJuan Watts (Texas Tech)

Over 8.5

-118

Under 8.5

-110

P.J. Haggerty (K-State)

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+120

Christian Anderson (Texas Tech)

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-120

Donovan Atwell (Texas Tech)

Over 4.5

+124

Under 4.5

-161

Nate Johnson (K-State)

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-110

Khamari McGriff (K-State)

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-118

David Castillo (K-State)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-135

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kansas State Stats

Texas Tech Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +15.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +15.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -15.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -15.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 154.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 159.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.20 pts and allowed 81.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 73.60 pts and allowed 81.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 149.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 159.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.80 pts and allowed 71.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.90 pts and allowed 74.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big 12	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arizona	32-2	2929	2339	590	21-1	11-1	9W
Houston	28-6	2623	2137	486	20-2	8-4	1L
Iowa State	27-7	2781	2215	566	19-1	8-6	1L
Kansas	23-10	2496	2290	206	17-2	6-8	1L
Texas Tech	22-10	2573	2324	249	16-4	6-6	3L
BYU	23-11	2853	2561	292	17-4	6-7	1L
TCU	22-11	2584	2378	206	16-5	6-6	1L
UCF	21-11	2591	2511	80	15-5	6-6	1L
Oklahoma State	19-14	2781	2736	45	14-5	5-9	1L
West Virginia	18-14	2214	2072	142	15-6	3-8	1L
Cincinnati	18-15	2413	2230	183	16-4	2-11	1L
Colorado	17-15	2559	2542	17	15-7	2-8	2L
Arizona State	17-16	2519	2585	-66	13-6	4-10	1L
Baylor	16-16	2642	2469	173	12-8	4-8	1L
Kansas State	12-20	2546	2619	-73	11-8	1-12	2L
Utah	10-22	2379	2531	-152	9-9	1-13	6L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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