Miami vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Miami vs Virginia

The Miami Hurricanes square off against the Virginia Cavaliers, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Friday, March 13.

We’re expecting Over 144.5 points to be scored by Miami and Virginia combined. There’s a juicy -110 for our prediction and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over.

Miami Hurricanes won their previous game, beating Louisville Cardinals at home. It was a 78-73 win.

Virginia Cavaliers last game saw them claim a 81-74 home win over NC State Wolfpack.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 86-83 in favor of Virginia when they last played Miami. Virginia have racked up three straight wins over Miami. On the head-to-head front, they have won 9 of the past 10.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Virginia	28-4	2588	2190	398	18-1	10-3	3W
Miami	25-7	2642	2265	377	16-4	9-3	1W

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Miami vs Virginia Prediction & Picks

Discover our expert Miami vs Virginia betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

There’s juice available when it comes to backing Over 144.5 points in this college game and that’s the betting angle we’re pursuing. Our pick is priced up at -110 which looks worth taking.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our college basketball handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Miami vs Virginia stats:

• The 144.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Miami games on the road.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Miami games on the road.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Miami games.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in the last 5 Virginia games at home.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Virginia games.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Virginia games at home.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Over 144.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are ways to get bigger odds by betting Over on the Totals. Bettors often look to move the line so they can land a more profitable return if the selection wins.

Get more from your bets with our detailed guide, featuring the best free bets and generous welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Over 144.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 13, 06:04). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Miami 71 - 79 Virginia

Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try the Cavs to win 79-71 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami vs Virginia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Virginia as -169 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 63% likely to win. Miami are the underdogs at +140 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 3.5 and total points has a line of 144.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to back Over 144.5, it’s -110.

If you’re betting on college basketball, it’s a good idea to visit the best sportsbooks and browse the wide range of game lines and team props available. You’ll have the option to place wagers both pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Miami

+140

Virginia

-169

Point Spread

Miami +3.5

-106

Virginia -3.5

-114

Total Points

Under 144.5

-110

Over 144.5

-110

The best gambling sites offer player prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Stats

Virginia Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 150.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 150.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 144.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.90 pts and allowed 72.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.50 pts and allowed 72.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 144.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 144.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 144.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.60 pts and allowed 68.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.10 pts and allowed 66.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	30-2	2651	2016	635	19-0	11-2	9W
Virginia	28-4	2588	2190	398	18-1	10-3	3W
Miami	25-7	2642	2265	377	16-4	9-3	1W
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L
Clemson	24-9	2460	2196	264	16-3	8-6	3W
Louisville	23-10	2797	2382	415	16-2	7-8	1L
California	21-11	2492	2344	148	17-4	4-7	2L
Stanford	20-12	2431	2326	105	12-7	8-5	1L
NC State	20-13	2762	2525	237	13-7	7-6	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L
Virginia Tech	19-13	2521	2396	125	15-4	4-9	2L
Florida State	18-15	2652	2572	80	12-8	6-7	1L
Wake Forest	17-16	2602	2543	59	12-6	5-10	1L
Syracuse	15-17	2400	2376	24	12-6	3-11	6L
Notre Dame	13-18	2308	2335	-27	11-7	2-11	2L
Pittsburgh	13-20	2327	2370	-43	8-10	5-10	1L
Boston College	11-20	2090	2191	-101	10-10	1-10	1W
Georgia Tech	11-20	2287	2400	-113	10-10	1-10	12L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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