Miami vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Mar 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Miami vs Virginia
The Miami Hurricanes square off against the Virginia Cavaliers, with tip-off scheduled for 18:00 on Friday, March 13.
We’re expecting Over 144.5 points to be scored by Miami and Virginia combined. There’s a juicy -110 for our prediction and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over.
Miami Hurricanes won their previous game, beating Louisville Cardinals at home. It was a 78-73 win.
Virginia Cavaliers last game saw them claim a 81-74 home win over NC State Wolfpack.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The scoreline was 86-83 in favor of Virginia when they last played Miami. Virginia have racked up three straight wins over Miami. On the head-to-head front, they have won 9 of the past 10.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
Miami vs Virginia Prediction & Picks
Get ready for Miami vs Virginia with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to player props and a custom bet builder.
Game Prediction
There’s juice available when it comes to backing Over 144.5 points in this college game and that’s the betting angle we’re pursuing. Our pick is priced up at -110 which looks worth taking.
Injuries can influence the outcome and our college basketball handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.
Key Miami vs Virginia stats:
Over 144.5 Probability
The best betting apps make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
There are ways to get bigger odds by betting Over on the Totals. Bettors often look to move the line so they can land a more profitable return if the selection wins.
Get more from your bets with our detailed guide, featuring the best free bets and generous welcome bonuses.
Player Prop Picks
Shelton Henderson (Miami) can be backed to register Under 5.5 rebounds at -135. We think he might fall short of the mark when it comes to this Player Rebounds bet.
Latest Shelton Henderson Player Prop Odds
Sam Lewis (Virginia) can be backed to score Over 11.5 points at -114. We think that the line looks really appealing for this Player Points bet as we’re expecting him to cover this total.
Latest Sam Lewis Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Over 144.5, combined with Virginia -3.5 on the spread and Shelton Henderson (Miami) to get Under 5.5 rebounds.
A same game parlay allows bettors to place a multiple wager on the same basketball game. You can go through the available betting lines and select the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each pick are then combined together.
Correct Score Prediction
71
-
79
Virginia
Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try the Cavs to win 79-71 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.
Miami vs Virginia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Virginia as -161 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 62% likely to win. Miami are the underdogs at +132 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
There is a spread of 2.5 and total points has a line of 145.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to back Over 145.5, it’s -110.
If you’re betting on college basketball, it’s a good idea to visit the best sportsbooks and browse the wide range of game lines and team props available. You’ll have the option to place wagers both pre-game and in-game.
The favorite to hit the most buckets is Malik Reneau. Odds of -110 can be found for him scoring Over 17.5 points and there is -118 for him to go Under.
You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.
- NCAAB: 21/02 2026 Miami 83 Virginia 86
- NCAAB: 30/01 2025 Virginia 82 Miami 71
- NCAAB: 06/02 2024 Miami 38 Virginia 60
- NCAAB: 21/12 2022 Virginia 64 Miami 66
- NCAAB: 19/02 2022 Virginia 74 Miami 71
- NCAAB: 05/02 2022 Miami 58 Virginia 71
- NCAAB: 02/03 2021 Miami 51 Virginia 62
- NCAAB: 05/03 2020 Virginia 46 Miami 44
- NCAAB: 02/02 2019 Miami 46 Virginia 56
- NCAAB: 14/02 2018 Virginia 59 Miami 50
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Miami Stats
Virginia Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 150.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 150.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 144.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 144.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.90 pts and allowed 72.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.50 pts and allowed 72.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 144.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 144.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 144.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 144.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.60 pts and allowed 68.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.10 pts and allowed 66.60 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
|
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
|
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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