Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Michigan State vs Minnesota

The Michigan State Spartans battle the Minnesota Golden Gophers, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, February 4.

We’re forecasting that Michigan State and Minnesota will produce a significant combined points total. Therefore, our prediction is to take the -110 that there are Over 131.5 points.

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Michigan State Spartans lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 83-71 at home to Michigan Wolverines.

Minnesota Golden Gophers were beaten last game and this was on the road. Penn State Nittany Lions claimed a 77-75 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Michigan State who came out on top when they last played Minnesota. A 73-51 win was recorded. Michigan State have beaten Minnesota in the past three meetings. They’ve also claimed 8 victories in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan State	19-3	1741	1417	324	13-2	6-1	1L
Minnesota	10-12	1579	1514	65	9-6	1-6	7L

View Full Standings

Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our Michigan State vs Minnesota betting tips: our expert match prediction, most likely correct score outcome and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re surprised that the total line is 131.5 and it’s all about going for the Overs option when these college teams take to the court. Take the -110 and cheer on points.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming college hoops action along with the current form of each team. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our basketball predictions.

Key Michigan State vs Minnesota stats:

• The 131.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 MSU games.
• The 131.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 MSU games.
• The 131.5 line has been covered in the last 3 MSU games.
• The 131.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Minnesota games at home.
• The 131.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Minnesota games.
• The 131.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Minnesota games.

Over 131.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

In order to land bigger odds on your Overs wager, it’s possible to combine this with the winning team. The Match Result & Total lines can provide a larger potential payout.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 131.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Michigan State 75 - 63 Minnesota

There are stacks of correct score lines on offer and we’re looking at the Spartans to achieve a winning scoreline of 75-63 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

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Michigan State vs Minnesota Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Michigan State are regarded as having a 83% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -476. At +360, Minnesota are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

8.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 131.5 right now. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you're keen on Over 131.5, this selection is available at -110.

If you’re betting on college basketball, it’s a good idea to visit the best sportsbooks and browse the wide range of game lines and team props available. You’ll have the option to place wagers both pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

MSU

-476

Minnesota

+360

Point Spread

MSU -8.5

-115

Minnesota +8.5

-105

Total Points

Under 131.5

-110

Over 131.5

-110

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Michigan State Stats

Minnesota Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 146.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 140.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 131.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 131.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.50 pts and allowed 65.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.30 pts and allowed 65.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 140.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 137.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 131.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 131.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.40 pts and allowed 71.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 71.40 pts and allowed 65.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	20-1	1900	1447	453	13-1	7-0	6W
Nebraska	20-2	1759	1452	307	15-1	5-1	2L
Illinois	19-3	1862	1501	361	12-3	7-0	11W
Michigan State	19-3	1741	1417	324	13-2	6-1	1L
Purdue	18-4	1840	1517	323	13-2	5-2	1W
Iowa	16-5	1637	1323	314	13-1	3-4	4W
USC	17-6	1873	1732	141	11-3	6-3	2W
Wisconsin	16-6	1831	1651	180	12-2	4-4	2W
UCLA	16-7	1815	1603	212	13-2	3-5	1W
Ohio State	14-7	1726	1543	183	10-3	4-4	1L
Indiana	15-8	1868	1633	235	12-3	3-5	1L
Washington	12-10	1722	1602	120	8-3	4-7	1W
Minnesota	10-12	1579	1514	65	9-6	1-6	7L
Northwestern	10-12	1686	1583	103	8-7	2-5	1L
Penn State	10-12	1682	1724	-42	9-7	1-5	1W
Rutgers	9-14	1614	1754	-140	9-5	0-9	6L
Maryland	8-13	1522	1673	-151	7-5	1-8	3L
Oregon	8-14	1585	1640	-55	7-8	1-6	8L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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