Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Michigan vs Michigan State

The Michigan Wolverines face the Michigan State Spartans, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Friday, January 30.

We think that 146.5 is a more than generous total for Over backers when Michigan meet Michigan State. Take the -115 that we see the teams combine to good effect.

Michigan Wolverines previous game saw them claim a 75-72 home win over Nebraska Cornhuskers.

Michigan State Spartans won their last game 88-79 (OT). This was a road victory against Rutgers Scarlet Knights.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Michigan State won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 79-62 victory was registered against Michigan. Michigan State have triumphed in their previous four matchups against Michigan. On the head-to-head front, it has been 7 wins out of 10.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	31-3	2952	2353	599	19-2	12-1	1L
Michigan State	25-7	2526	2189	337	17-3	8-4	2L

View Full Standings

Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

Join us as we dissect the best Michigan vs Michigan State betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s juice available when it comes to backing Over 146.5 points in this college game and that’s the betting angle we’re pursuing. Our pick is priced up at -115 which looks worth taking.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our college basketball handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Michigan vs Michigan State stats:

• The 146.5 line has been covered in 17 of the last 20 Michigan games.
• The 146.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Michigan games.
• The 146.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Michigan games on the road.

Over 146.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

Want more juice from your Over bet on the Totals? Bigger odds can be found if you move the line and go for a riskier wager. You can choose from a range of options.

Stop! Before you bet, grab a top welcome bonus. Check out our guide for the latest betting offers available now.

Our Game Prediction

Over 146.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 30, 00:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Yaxel Lendeborg Under 6.5 Rebounds -108

Yaxel Lendeborg (Michigan) is available at -108 to total Under 6.5 rebounds. We think there’s a generous line on offer that he fails to cover the Player Rebounds total.

Latest Yaxel Lendeborg Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-145

Under 13.5

+112

Assists

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-135

Under 6.5

+105

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Aday Mara Over 10.5 Points -100

Aday Mara (Michigan) is available at -100 to total Over 10.5 points. We are happy to back Overs when it comes to his Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.

Latest Aday Mara Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-130

Assists

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-100

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Michigan 76 - 77 Michigan State

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll bet on the Spartans to secure a 77-76 win at huge odds and this correct score selection should hopefully be a fun one.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Michigan vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Michigan State have been given Moneyline odds of +115 against Michigan who are -139. In the eyes of the leading sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 47% likely to claim a victory.

The spread is currently 2.5, with the total points line at 148.5. Basketball bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you fancy Over 148.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a wide range of team props and game lines at the top basketball sportsbooks. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.

Moneyline

Michigan

-139

MSU

+115

Point Spread

Michigan -2.5

-102

MSU +2.5

-120

Total Points

Under 148.5

-110

Over 148.5

-110

Jeremy Fears Jr. is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -114 that he goes Over 15.5 points or the same odds when it comes to Under.

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Yaxel Lendeborg (Michigan)

Over 13.5

-145

Under 13.5

+112

Morez Johnson Jr. (Michigan)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 11.5

-116

Under 11.5

-111

Coen Carr (MSU)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Aday Mara (Michigan)

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-130

Elliot Cadeau (Michigan)

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-130

Carson Cooper (MSU)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 6.5

-161

Under 6.5

+124

Elliot Cadeau (Michigan)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+110

Yaxel Lendeborg (Michigan)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Aday Mara (Michigan)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-100

Carson Cooper (MSU)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-196

Carson Cooper (MSU)

Over 8.5

+107

Under 8.5

-139

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 8.5

+107

Under 8.5

-139

Yaxel Lendeborg (Michigan)

Over 6.5

-135

Under 6.5

+105

Morez Johnson Jr. (Michigan)

Over 6.5

-135

Under 6.5

+104

Coen Carr (MSU)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Aday Mara (Michigan)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-100

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-185

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Michigan Stats

Michigan State Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 155.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 146.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.00 pts and allowed 69.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.60 pts and allowed 74.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 145.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 145.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 146.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.30 pts and allowed 64.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.80 pts and allowed 63.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	31-3	2952	2353	599	19-2	12-1	1L
Nebraska	26-6	2473	2119	354	19-3	7-3	1L
Michigan State	25-7	2526	2189	337	17-3	8-4	2L
Purdue	27-8	2858	2455	403	16-5	11-3	4W
Illinois	24-8	2700	2234	466	15-6	9-2	1L
Wisconsin	24-10	2822	2581	241	16-2	8-8	1L
UCLA	23-11	2643	2414	229	18-3	5-8	1L
Ohio State	21-12	2633	2402	231	15-5	6-7	1L
Iowa	21-12	2482	2177	305	17-3	4-9	1L
Indiana	18-14	2501	2309	192	15-6	3-8	2L
USC	18-14	2515	2494	21	11-7	7-7	8L
Washington	16-17	2545	2430	115	11-6	5-11	1L
Minnesota	15-17	2241	2193	48	13-8	2-9	1L
Northwestern	15-19	2487	2447	40	11-9	4-10	1L
Rutgers	14-19	2329	2479	-150	11-7	3-12	1L
Oregon	12-20	2267	2366	-99	10-10	2-10	1L
Penn State	12-20	2358	2539	-181	10-10	2-10	3L
Maryland	12-21	2300	2527	-227	9-8	3-13	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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