Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders face the Missouri State Bears, with tip-off scheduled for 15:00 on Saturday, March 7.

The total line of 144.5 points looks pretty low and we can take advantage by backing the Overs at -115. We can see Middle Tenn and Missouri State combining to go bigger.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Florida International Panthers were beaten 73-67.

Missouri State Bears were winners last time out. It was a 87-74 home victory against Western Kentucky Hilltoppers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

We’ve seen Middle Tenn beat Missouri State in their last two matchups. Both wins came at home by 77-73 (OT) and 90-87 (OT) scorelines. In the past 3 H2H meetings, Middle Tenn have won two.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Middle Tennessee	16-14	2270	2186	84	12-5	4-9	4W
Missouri State	14-16	2270	2217	53	11-6	3-10	1W

View Full Standings

Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State Prediction & Picks

This expert Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score pick and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

These teams are capable of scoring more than 144.5 points in this college matchup. Therefore, we’re going Over the total line and expect a payout at -115.

The college hoops handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball picks.

Key Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State stats:

• The 144.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Middle Tenn games on the road.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Middle Tenn games.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Missouri State games.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Missouri State games.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Missouri State games.
• The 144.5 line has been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Over 144.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 53.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

Want more juice from your Over bet on the Totals? Bigger odds can be found if you move the line and go for a riskier wager. You can choose from a range of options.

Thinking of betting? Browse our detailed guide for the best current offers, including free bets and the latest bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Over 144.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 6, 21:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Middle Tennessee 75 - 73 Missouri State

We’re expecting a close contest so it might be worth going for the Blue Raiders to win by a 75-73 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

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Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Missouri State are on offer at -118 on the Moneyline if you want to back this franchise, with Middle Tennessee available at -102. According to the sportsbooks, the probability of the road team winning this college game is 51%.

The spread is currently 1.5, with the total points line at 145.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. The Over 145.5 selection is available to back at -115.

College basketball bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of game lines and team props which are available for most matchups on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Middle Tenn

-102

Missouri State

-118

Point Spread

Middle Tenn +1.5

-114

Missouri State -1.5

-106

Total Points

Under 145.5

-105

Over 145.5

-115

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college basketball. There are many live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Middle Tennessee Stats

Missouri State Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 146.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 144.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.60 pts and allowed 77.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.60 pts and allowed 74.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 152.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 144.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.80 pts and allowed 77.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.10 pts and allowed 74.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	24-6	2353	2104	249	13-3	11-3	1L
Sam Houston	21-9	2500	2228	272	13-1	8-8	1L
Western Kentucky	18-12	2383	2248	135	13-5	5-7	1L
Kennesaw State	18-12	2512	2288	224	14-3	4-9	1L
Louisiana Tech	17-13	2085	1966	119	14-3	3-10	1W
Middle Tennessee	16-14	2270	2186	84	12-5	4-9	4W
New Mexico State	14-15	2195	2095	100	10-6	4-9	1W
Jacksonville State	14-16	2198	2059	139	10-8	4-8	2L
Missouri State	14-16	2270	2217	53	11-6	3-10	1W
FIU	14-16	2416	2350	66	11-6	3-10	1L
UTEP	11-19	2088	2180	-92	9-7	2-12	1W
Delaware	10-20	2060	2212	-152	6-10	4-10	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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