Xavier vs Villanova Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Mar 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Xavier vs Villanova
The Xavier Musketeers go up against the Villanova Wildcats, with tip-off scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, March 7.
We’d be surprised if Villanova don’t exceed a -12.5 spread against Xavier. That is why the bet has to be the big favorites to cover the line at -105.
Xavier Musketeers were beaten 77-68 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Seton Hall Pirates.
Villanova Wildcats triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where DePaul Blue Demons were beaten 76-57.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Villanova have won two on the spin against Xavier. They won 80-68 at home and 92-89 (OT) on the road. The past 10 H2H games have seen Villanova land seven wins.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Villanova
|
24-8 | 2469 | 2265 | 204 | 15-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
Xavier
|
15-18 | 2586 | 2661 | -75 | 13-7 | 2-11 | 1L |
Xavier vs Villanova Prediction & Picks
Head into Xavier vs Villanova with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, best correct score pick and a value-driven bet builder. Dive into each section below for more.
Game Prediction
We’re predicting that Villanova will be superior in this college game and that’s why we’re backing them on the spread at -12.5. Take the -105 that the big favorites are able to cover this line.
Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making basketball predictions. We also put strong emphasis on stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter college hoops picks.
Key Xavier vs Villanova stats:
Villanova -12.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick delivering a return. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.
If you want to secure a bigger possible payout on your bet, there’s the option to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.
Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Villanova -12.5 on the spread, Over 151.5 points and Villanova/BTTS Yes on the Result & Both Teams to Score lines.
A same game parlay allows bettors to place a multiple wager on the same basketball game. You can go through the available betting lines and select the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each pick are then combined together.
Correct Score Prediction
72
-
87
Villanova
There’s the chance to land huge betting odds when it comes to Villanova winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 87-72 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.
Xavier vs Villanova Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Moneyline betting odds give Villanova a 89% chance of winning this college game which means they’re overwhelming -833 favorites with the sportsbooks. Xavier are the underdogs at +550 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
11.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 153.5 right now. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you want to wager Over 153.5, there are odds of -110.
College basketball bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of game lines and team props which are available for most matchups on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value picks.
There is regularly betting value to be found from wagering on the player props with the best online gambling sites. You can find lots of ways to back for or against a specific player lining up for one of the two teams.
An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.
- NCAAB: 18/02 2026 Villanova 92 Xavier 89
- NCAAB: 09/02 2025 Xavier 68 Villanova 80
- NCAAB: 15/01 2025 Villanova 63 Xavier 69
- NCAAB: 08/02 2024 Villanova 53 Xavier 56
- NCAAB: 04/01 2024 Xavier 65 Villanova 66
- NCAAB: 22/02 2023 Villanova 64 Xavier 63
- NCAAB: 07/01 2023 Xavier 88 Villanova 80
- NCAAB: 13/01 2022 Villanova 64 Xavier 60
- NCAAB: 22/12 2021 Xavier 58 Villanova 71
- NCAAB: 22/02 2020 Villanova 64 Xavier 55
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Xavier Stats
Villanova Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 162.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 158.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 151.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 151.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.10 pts and allowed 84.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.60 pts and allowed 84.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 149.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 144.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 151.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 151.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.60 pts and allowed 73.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.50 pts and allowed 69.80 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Big East | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UConn
|
29-5 | 2635 | 2214 | 421 | 18-2 | 11-3 | 1L |
St. John's
|
28-6 | 2773 | 2379 | 394 | 18-3 | 10-3 | 6W |
|
Villanova
|
24-8 | 2469 | 2265 | 204 | 15-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
Seton Hall
|
21-12 | 2321 | 2156 | 165 | 13-5 | 8-7 | 1L |
DePaul
|
16-16 | 2248 | 2226 | 22 | 12-9 | 4-7 | 3L |
Butler
|
16-16 | 2540 | 2481 | 59 | 13-8 | 3-8 | 1L |
Georgetown
|
16-18 | 2503 | 2479 | 24 | 10-8 | 6-10 | 1L |
Creighton
|
15-17 | 2404 | 2401 | 3 | 11-6 | 4-11 | 1L |
Providence
|
15-18 | 2815 | 2772 | 43 | 10-7 | 5-11 | 1L |
|
Xavier
|
15-18 | 2586 | 2661 | -75 | 13-7 | 2-11 | 1L |
Marquette
|
12-20 | 2405 | 2425 | -20 | 10-9 | 2-11 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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