Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction, Picks & Odds | 20 Sep 2026

NFL Betting Preview: Commanders vs Cowboys

The Washington Commanders square off against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, September 20.

Our best bet is the Commanders at +4.5 on the spread. A win or narrow defeat against the Cowboys would mean our wager at -120 lands a return.

Dallas and Washington renew one of the NFL’s most recognizable rivalries in an early NFC East showdown with plenty of national appeal. Dak Prescott and Jayden Daniels give the matchup quarterback star power, and the divisional stakes add weight for two teams trying to keep pace in a division loaded with postseason expectations.

Washington Commanders began their season with a 24-22 road defeat against Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. Washington generated 295 total yards, including 163 net passing yards and 132 on the ground, while recording 20 first downs and scoring three touchdowns.

Jayden Daniels completed 18 of 34 passes for 164 yards and two touchdowns without an interception, while adding 31 rushing yards. He threw both touchdown passes in the fourth quarter as Washington pushed Philadelphia to the finish, with Stefon Diggs and rookie Antonio Williams each catching a score.

Dallas Cowboys opened their campaign with a 28-20 road defeat against New York Giants at MetLife Stadium. Dallas finished with 244 total yards, including 175 passing yards and 69 on the ground, while recording 21 first downs and scoring three touchdowns.

Dak Prescott completed 22 of 34 passes for 175 yards and two touchdowns but threw a costly fourth-quarter interception. George Pickens provided Dallas' biggest receiving threat, catching eight passes for 94 yards and a touchdown, while Javonte Williams scored the Cowboys' other touchdown on the ground.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Cowboys have claimed back-to-back victories over the Commanders. At AT&T Stadium they won 44-22 before winning 30-23 at Northwest Stadium. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Cowboys have won eight.

Quarterbacks

Jayden Daniels

222.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Dak Prescott

266.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction & Picks

Tackle Commanders vs Cowboys with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re delighted to see the that the Commanders have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +4.5 at odds of -120 before they line up for this NFL matchup.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible NFL picks. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Commanders vs Cowboys stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Commanders in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Commanders in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Commanders in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cowboys in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cowboys in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cowboys in 17 of their last 20 games at home.

Commanders +4.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top NFL betting sites, there’s a 54.6% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are bigger odds available to bettors who are prepared to move the line. By taking on more risk, you are able to get more juice from your selections as a result.

Don’t place another bet without seeing the best betting offers available—free bets and welcome promos included.

Our Game Prediction

Commanders +4.5 @ -120 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 18, 22:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dak Prescott Under 266.5 Passing Yards -114

Dak Prescott (Cowboys) can be backed at -114 to finish with fewer than 266.5 passing yards. There’s a strong case for choosing him to fall short of the required line in the QB Passing Yards market.

Latest Dak Prescott Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+500

First

+2700

Passing Yards

Over 266.5

-114

Under 266.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

---

Jayden Daniels Anytime TD +210

Jayden Daniels (Commanders) is available at +210 to score a TD. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Touchdown Scorer bet, which could hopefully result in him taking it to the house.

Latest Jayden Daniels Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+210

First

+1300

Passing Yards

Over 222.5

-114

Under 222.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Commanders 20 - 21 Cowboys

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Cowboys claiming a 21-20 victory. This correct score prediction is available at monster odds and could be an entertaining wager to place.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Commanders vs Cowboys Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Dallas Cowboys have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 68% probability due to their -213 Moneyline betting odds. Washington Commanders are the underdogs at +180 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is calculated to be 4.5, while total points comes in at 50.5. NFL fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 50.5 at -104.

If a National Football League wager is on your mind, visit the top sportsbooks and check out the huge selection of available game lines and team props. Find the betting odds and lines which are the most appealing.

Moneyline

Commanders

+180

Cowboys

-213

Point Spread

Commanders +4.5

-114

Cowboys -4.5

-106

Total Points

Under 50.5

-104

Over 50.5

-118

Javonte Williams is the favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +400. If you’re interested in backing him to score a TD at anytime, then the price is -185.

Touchdown

Javonte Williams (Cowboys)

First TD

+400

Anytime TD

-185

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+105

CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+110

George Pickens (Cowboys)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+130

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+210

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+200

Rachaad White (Commanders)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+220

Jake Ferguson (Cowboys)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+260

Stefon Diggs (Commanders)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+230

Ryan Flournoy (Cowboys)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+350

Emari Demercado (Cowboys)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+400

Antonio Williams (Commanders)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+460

Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Brevyn Spann-Ford (Cowboys)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+700

Kaytron Allen (Commanders)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+650

KaVontae Turpin (Cowboys)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+650

John Bates (Commanders)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+600

Luke Schoonmaker (Cowboys)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Dyami Brown (Commanders)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+850

Ben Sinnott (Commanders)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1000

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+950

Camden Brown (Cowboys)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1300

Hunter Luepke (Cowboys)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1000

Jonathan Mingo (Cowboys)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1300

Jaylin Lane (Commanders)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1300

Treylon Burks (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Colson Yankoff (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Tyler Goodson (Cowboys)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Receiving Yards

CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)

Over 75.5

-114

Under 75.5

-114

George Pickens (Cowboys)

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

Over 53.5

-114

Under 53.5

-114

Stefon Diggs (Commanders)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

Ryan Flournoy (Cowboys)

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

Jake Ferguson (Cowboys)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Antonio Williams (Commanders)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Javonte Williams (Cowboys)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

John Bates (Commanders)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Rachaad White (Commanders)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Javonte Williams (Cowboys)

Over 75.5

-114

Under 75.5

-114

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 51.5

-114

Under 51.5

-114

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Rachaad White (Commanders)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Emari Demercado (Cowboys)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Passing Yards

Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

Over 266.5

-114

Under 266.5

-114

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 222.5

-114

Under 222.5

-114

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on the NFL. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Field Goal Outcome, Next Play Result and Next Drive Result are often among the options.

Cowboys Have Taken Five Wins From Last Ten Home Outings

The Cowboys have five wins, four losses and one tie in the last 10 home games, putting up 28.40 points on average and giving up 29.00.

The Commanders have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 road games, putting up 18.90 points on average and giving up 25.20.

In their last matchup at AT&T Stadium, the Cowboys came out on top 44-22 against the Commanders. Over the last 7 head-to-head meetings at AT&T Stadium, the Cowboys have claimed five wins compared to the Commanders who have two.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O50.5	U50.5
Cowboys Home Stats		5-4	57.40	28.40	29.00	6	4
Commanders Away Stats		3-7	44.10	18.90	25.20	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O50.5 = Games Over 50.5 Points
• U50.5 = Games Under 50.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Commanders Stats

Dallas Cowboys Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 50.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.10 pts and allowed 27.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.90 pts and allowed 25.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 53.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 57.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 50.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.50 pts and allowed 28.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.40 pts and allowed 29.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 303.90 Yds. Allowed 386.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 132.00 Yds. Allowed 151.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 171.90 Yds. Allowed 235.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.30. Allowed 22.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 0.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.40 Yds. Gained 51.60 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 383.40 Yds. Allowed 356.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 124.20 Yds. Allowed 113.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 259.20 Yds. Allowed 243.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.90. Allowed 21.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.50. Committed by opponents 7.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 67.10 Yds. Gained 61.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 300.80 Yds. Allowed 364.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 125.60 Yds. Allowed 141.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 175.20 Yds. Allowed 223.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.40. Allowed 20.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.70 Yds. Gained 66.90 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 404.40 Yds. Allowed 383.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 119.90 Yds. Allowed 116.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 284.50 Yds. Allowed 267.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 3.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.00. Allowed 22.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.20. Committed by opponents 7.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 65.00 Yds. Gained 70.90 Yds

Where to Bet on American Football Games

Top American Football Pages