Milwaukee Bucks
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Bucks vs Heat

The Milwaukee Bucks take the court against the Miami Heat in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Heat to Overpower Bucks

There’s a strong case for backing the Heat on the spread when they play the Bucks. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -110 when it comes to the favorites at -6.

Bucks Have Claimed 7 Wins in 10 on H2H

Milwaukee Bucks suffered a second consecutive defeat when losing 129-114 in their previous game. This was at home to Phoenix Suns at Fiserv Forum. Kyle Kuzma dropped 33 points, as Myles Turner finished with 22 and Giannis Antetokounmpo 22.

Miami Heat last game was a 150-129 home win. This victory over Washington Wizards at Kaseya Center was their sixth successive victory. Offensively, Bam Adebayo led the way, scoring 83, while Simone Fontecchio added 18 and Davion Mitchell 12.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Bucks who came out on top when they last played the Heat. At Fiserv Forum, a 128-117 win was recorded. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Bucks land seven wins.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 37 29 0.561 120.6 116.7 3.9 22-11 15-18 7-5 21-18 8-2 6W
Bucks logo Bucks 27 37 0.422 111.1 116 -4.9 15-18 12-19 8-5 19-24 3-7 2L
View Full Standings
Milwaukee Bucks – Last 10 Games

3 wins and 7 losses in the past 10 games. The Bucks are averaging 104.7 points, 41.2 rebounds, 24.7 assists, 7.3 steals and 2.9 blocks while shooting 45.5% from the field and 70.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 119.9 points and 46.9 rebounds per matchup.

Ryan Rollins is averaging 14.4 points and 5.6 assists, while Jericho Sims averages 7.2 rebounds and Kyle Kuzma 2.2 (51.2%) 3-pointers made.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 8 and lost 2 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 126.2 points, 49.0 rebounds, 29.6 assists, 9.3 steals and 5.1 blocks per game while shooting 48.7% from the field and 80.5% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 114.1 points and 43.2 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 27.6 points and 9.4 rebounds, Davion Mitchell 4.6 assists and Tyler Herro 2.7 (45.0%) 3-pointers.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Step into Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Game Prediction

Our pick is that Heat are going to cover the -6 on the spread. You can get -110 that there’s a bigger margin of victory in this NBA showdown.

We put solid research behind every basketball prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key NBA stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.

Key Bucks vs Heat stats:

  • The -6 line has been covered by Heat in 6 consecutive games.
  • The -6 line has been covered by Heat in 8 of their last 10 games.
  • The -6 line has been covered by Heat in 12 of their last 20 games.
  • The +6 line hasn’t been covered by Bucks in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The +6 line hasn’t been covered by Bucks in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The +6 line hasn’t been covered by Bucks in 2 consecutive games.

Heat -6 Probability

The top NBA sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Want to back the Heat to cover the line at bigger odds? Get more juice by taking the Bet Builder route where different selections can be combined to good effect.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Game Prediction
Heat -6 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 12, 00:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:02, 12 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 22.5 Points -120 BetMGM logo

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has totaled an average of 35 points in the past 5 games. We think that he can therefore cover the line and we’ll wager on his Player Points at betting odds of -120.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds


Davion Mitchell Under 6.5 Assists -156 BetMGM logo

Davion Mitchell (Heat) hasn't covered the 6.5 assists total in 5 of the past 5 games at home. There’s no reason to oppose the stats, so we’ll take the -156 that he is unable to cover the Player Assists line here.

Latest Davion Mitchell Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat -6
Totals Over 231.5
Player Points Bam Adebayo Over 22.5

Take a same game parlay that incorporates Heat to cover the -6 spread along with Over 231.5. Add in Bam Adebayo (Heat) to score Over 22.5 points.

We recommend a same game parlay as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a single event. Many bettors like to create a personalised basketball bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bucks Bucks logo 113 - 122 Heat logo Heat

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Heat on the correct score lines. For example, a 122-113 win in their favor is available at massive odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Think Heat Likeliest to Win

The sportsbooks have Miami Heat at -238 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 70% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. At +198, Milwaukee Bucks are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is currently 6, with the total points line at 231.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. The Over 231.5 selection is available to back at -110.

The best betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Betting Lines & Odds
Giannis Antetokounmpo Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Giannis Antetokounmpo is available at -110 to rack up Over 25.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -118 is available.

Player Points
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
Over 25.5
-110
Under 25.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
+120
Under 6.5
-156
BetMGM Logo
Kevin Porter Jr. (Bucks)
Over 6.5
+115
Under 6.5
-149
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Ryan Rollins (Bucks)
Over 5.5
-110
Under 5.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
Over 4.5
-145
Under 4.5
+112
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
Over 9.5
-141
Under 9.5
+108
BetMGM Logo
Ryan Rollins (Bucks)
Over 5.5
+134
Under 5.5
-175
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Heat Racking Up the Home Wins

The Heat have strung together six in a row at Kaseya Center. They own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, posting 125.00 points per contest while yielding 113.00.

The Bucks have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games on the road, averaging 107.40 points scored and 114.10 points allowed.

In their most recent matchup at Kaseya Center, the Heat got the better of the Bucks 106-103. Across 10 head-to-head meetings at Kaseya Center, the Heat have come away with six wins, while the Bucks have four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O230.5 U230.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 7-3 238.00 125.00 113.00 6 4
Milwaukee Bucks logo Milwaukee Bucks Away Stats 4-6 221.50 107.40 114.10 2 8
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O230.5 = Games Over 230.5 Points
  • U230.5 = Games Under 230.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Milwaukee Bucks logo Milwaukee Bucks Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Milwaukee Bucks Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Kevin Porter Jr. 35 33.45 612 258 17.5 7.4 1.3 5.2 0.5 2.2
Ryan Rollins 62 32.27 1031 340 16.6 5.5 2.4 4.7 0.4 1.5
A.J. Green 60 29.45 589 115 9.8 1.9 2.8 2.5 0.1 0.5

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 58 31.68 1161 169 20.0 2.9 1.7 9.8 0.7 1.1
Andrew Wiggins 57 30.96 905 159 15.9 2.8 2.0 5.1 1.0 1.1
Tyler Herro 20 30.62 441 74 22.1 3.7 2.6 4.6 0.4 0.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Milwaukee Bucks Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Milwaukee Bucks Lineups

10 Mar NBA
Suns 129-114 Bucks
08 Mar NBA
Magic 130-91 Bucks
07 Mar NBA
Jazz 99-113 Bucks
04 Mar NBA
Hawks 131-113 Bucks
02 Mar NBA
Celtics 108-81 Bucks
01 Mar NBA
Bucks 97-120 Bulls
27 Feb NBA
Knicks 127-98 Bucks
25 Feb NBA
Cavaliers 116-118 Bucks
24 Feb NBA
Heat 117-128 Bucks
22 Feb NBA
Raptors 122-94 Bucks

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

10 Mar NBA
Wizards 129-150 Heat
08 Mar NBA
Pistons 110-121 Heat
06 Mar NBA
Heat 128-120 Hornets
05 Mar NBA
Nets 110-126 Heat
03 Mar NBA
Nets 98-124 Heat
28 Feb NBA
Rockets 105-115 Heat
26 Feb NBA
Heat 117-124 76ers
24 Feb NBA
Heat 117-128 Bucks
21 Feb NBA
Grizzlies 120-136 Heat
20 Feb NBA
Heat 128-97 Hawks

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 43 22 0.662 114.5 107.2 7.3 21-10 22-12 9-5 28-14 7-3 1L
Knicks 42 25 0.627 117.2 110.9 6.3 23-9 19-16 11-3 27-15 6-4 1W
Raptors 36 29 0.554 113.4 111.9 1.5 17-16 19-13 4-10 27-16 4-6 2L
76ers 35 30 0.538 115.9 116.3 -0.4 18-16 17-14 8-7 21-22 5-5 1W
Nets 17 48 0.262 107 115.9 -8.9 9-23 8-25 3-10 12-29 2-8 1L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 46 18 0.719 117 109.6 7.4 24-8 22-10 10-4 31-10 5-5 1W
Cavaliers 40 26 0.606 118.8 114.8 4 22-12 18-14 8-5 26-17 5-5 1L
Bucks 27 37 0.422 111.1 116 -4.9 15-18 12-19 8-5 19-24 3-7 2L
Bulls 27 38 0.415 115.6 119.9 -4.3 16-18 11-20 4-10 17-26 3-7 1W
Pacers 15 50 0.231 111.4 119.9 -8.5 10-22 5-28 3-9 11-30 0-10 10L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 36 28 0.563 115.3 113.8 1.5 21-12 15-16 7-5 22-19 7-3 5W
Heat 37 29 0.561 120.6 116.7 3.9 22-11 15-18 7-5 21-18 8-2 6W
Hawks 34 31 0.523 117.8 117.2 0.6 16-16 18-15 7-6 19-21 8-2 7W
Hornets 34 33 0.507 115.7 112.3 3.4 14-17 20-16 9-5 20-22 8-2 2W
Wizards 16 48 0.25 112.5 123.7 -11.2 11-22 5-26 2-11 11-29 1-9 9L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 51 15 0.773 118.8 107.9 10.9 27-7 24-8 10-3 36-9 9-1 6W
Nuggets 40 26 0.606 120.4 116.3 4.1 18-13 22-13 6-5 24-14 5-5 1W
Timberwolves 40 26 0.606 118.6 115.1 3.5 22-12 18-14 8-5 24-19 6-4 3L
Trail Blazers 31 35 0.47 115.1 117.8 -2.7 17-16 14-19 5-7 23-19 4-6 1L
Jazz 20 46 0.303 117.4 125 -7.6 12-22 8-24 1-10 11-30 2-8 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 40 25 0.615 115.9 114.9 1 21-12 19-13 8-7 27-16 6-4 3W
Suns 38 27 0.585 112.3 111 1.3 22-13 16-14 10-6 25-18 6-4 3W
Clippers 33 32 0.508 113.4 112.6 0.8 18-13 15-19 8-5 21-19 6-4 3W
Warriors 32 33 0.492 115.2 114.2 1 19-14 13-19 6-6 22-21 3-7 3L
Kings 16 51 0.239 110.6 120.9 -10.3 11-23 5-28 2-10 10-34 4-6 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 48 17 0.738 118.7 111.6 7.1 25-6 23-11 11-3 28-13 9-1 5W
Rockets 40 25 0.615 114.2 110 4.2 22-8 18-17 6-6 22-19 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 23 41 0.359 115.9 118.3 -2.4 12-19 11-22 6-6 18-26 2-8 5L
Pelicans 22 45 0.328 115.6 120 -4.4 13-21 9-24 6-7 13-29 7-3 2W
Mavericks 21 44 0.323 113 117.8 -4.8 14-19 7-25 3-10 11-29 2-8 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 46 18 0.719 117 109.6 7.4 24-8 22-10 10-4 31-10 5-5 1W
Celtics 43 22 0.662 114.5 107.2 7.3 21-10 22-12 9-5 28-14 7-3 1L
Knicks 42 25 0.627 117.2 110.9 6.3 23-9 19-16 11-3 27-15 6-4 1W
Cavaliers 40 26 0.606 118.8 114.8 4 22-12 18-14 8-5 26-17 5-5 1L
Magic 36 28 0.563 115.3 113.8 1.5 21-12 15-16 7-5 22-19 7-3 5W
Heat 37 29 0.561 120.6 116.7 3.9 22-11 15-18 7-5 21-18 8-2 6W
Raptors 36 29 0.554 113.4 111.9 1.5 17-16 19-13 4-10 27-16 4-6 2L
76ers 35 30 0.538 115.9 116.3 -0.4 18-16 17-14 8-7 21-22 5-5 1W
Hawks 34 31 0.523 117.8 117.2 0.6 16-16 18-15 7-6 19-21 8-2 7W
Hornets 34 33 0.507 115.7 112.3 3.4 14-17 20-16 9-5 20-22 8-2 2W
Bucks 27 37 0.422 111.1 116 -4.9 15-18 12-19 8-5 19-24 3-7 2L
Bulls 27 38 0.415 115.6 119.9 -4.3 16-18 11-20 4-10 17-26 3-7 1W
Nets 17 48 0.262 107 115.9 -8.9 9-23 8-25 3-10 12-29 2-8 1L
Wizards 16 48 0.25 112.5 123.7 -11.2 11-22 5-26 2-11 11-29 1-9 9L
Pacers 15 50 0.231 111.4 119.9 -8.5 10-22 5-28 3-9 11-30 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 51 15 0.773 118.8 107.9 10.9 27-7 24-8 10-3 36-9 9-1 6W
Spurs 48 17 0.738 118.7 111.6 7.1 25-6 23-11 11-3 28-13 9-1 5W
Lakers 40 25 0.615 115.9 114.9 1 21-12 19-13 8-7 27-16 6-4 3W
Rockets 40 25 0.615 114.2 110 4.2 22-8 18-17 6-6 22-19 6-4 1L
Nuggets 40 26 0.606 120.4 116.3 4.1 18-13 22-13 6-5 24-14 5-5 1W
Timberwolves 40 26 0.606 118.6 115.1 3.5 22-12 18-14 8-5 24-19 6-4 3L
Suns 38 27 0.585 112.3 111 1.3 22-13 16-14 10-6 25-18 6-4 3W
Clippers 33 32 0.508 113.4 112.6 0.8 18-13 15-19 8-5 21-19 6-4 3W
Warriors 32 33 0.492 115.2 114.2 1 19-14 13-19 6-6 22-21 3-7 3L
Trail Blazers 31 35 0.47 115.1 117.8 -2.7 17-16 14-19 5-7 23-19 4-6 1L
Grizzlies 23 41 0.359 115.9 118.3 -2.4 12-19 11-22 6-6 18-26 2-8 5L
Pelicans 22 45 0.328 115.6 120 -4.4 13-21 9-24 6-7 13-29 7-3 2W
Mavericks 21 44 0.323 113 117.8 -4.8 14-19 7-25 3-10 11-29 2-8 8L
Jazz 20 46 0.303 117.4 125 -7.6 12-22 8-24 1-10 11-30 2-8 1L
Kings 16 51 0.239 110.6 120.9 -10.3 11-23 5-28 2-10 10-34 4-6 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 51 15 0.773 118.8 107.9 10.9 27-7 24-8 10-3 36-9 9-1 6W
Spurs 48 17 0.738 118.7 111.6 7.1 25-6 23-11 11-3 28-13 9-1 5W
Pistons 46 18 0.719 117 109.6 7.4 24-8 22-10 10-4 31-10 5-5 1W
Celtics 43 22 0.662 114.5 107.2 7.3 21-10 22-12 9-5 28-14 7-3 1L
Knicks 42 25 0.627 117.2 110.9 6.3 23-9 19-16 11-3 27-15 6-4 1W
Rockets 40 25 0.615 114.2 110 4.2 22-8 18-17 6-6 22-19 6-4 1L
Lakers 40 25 0.615 115.9 114.9 1 21-12 19-13 8-7 27-16 6-4 3W
Cavaliers 40 26 0.606 118.8 114.8 4 22-12 18-14 8-5 26-17 5-5 1L
Nuggets 40 26 0.606 120.4 116.3 4.1 18-13 22-13 6-5 24-14 5-5 1W
Timberwolves 40 26 0.606 118.6 115.1 3.5 22-12 18-14 8-5 24-19 6-4 3L
Suns 38 27 0.585 112.3 111 1.3 22-13 16-14 10-6 25-18 6-4 3W
Magic 36 28 0.563 115.3 113.8 1.5 21-12 15-16 7-5 22-19 7-3 5W
Heat 37 29 0.561 120.6 116.7 3.9 22-11 15-18 7-5 21-18 8-2 6W
Raptors 36 29 0.554 113.4 111.9 1.5 17-16 19-13 4-10 27-16 4-6 2L
76ers 35 30 0.538 115.9 116.3 -0.4 18-16 17-14 8-7 21-22 5-5 1W
Hawks 34 31 0.523 117.8 117.2 0.6 16-16 18-15 7-6 19-21 8-2 7W
Clippers 33 32 0.508 113.4 112.6 0.8 18-13 15-19 8-5 21-19 6-4 3W
Hornets 34 33 0.507 115.7 112.3 3.4 14-17 20-16 9-5 20-22 8-2 2W
Warriors 32 33 0.492 115.2 114.2 1 19-14 13-19 6-6 22-21 3-7 3L
Trail Blazers 31 35 0.47 115.1 117.8 -2.7 17-16 14-19 5-7 23-19 4-6 1L
Bucks 27 37 0.422 111.1 116 -4.9 15-18 12-19 8-5 19-24 3-7 2L
Bulls 27 38 0.415 115.6 119.9 -4.3 16-18 11-20 4-10 17-26 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 23 41 0.359 115.9 118.3 -2.4 12-19 11-22 6-6 18-26 2-8 5L
Pelicans 22 45 0.328 115.6 120 -4.4 13-21 9-24 6-7 13-29 7-3 2W
Mavericks 21 44 0.323 113 117.8 -4.8 14-19 7-25 3-10 11-29 2-8 8L
Jazz 20 46 0.303 117.4 125 -7.6 12-22 8-24 1-10 11-30 2-8 1L
Nets 17 48 0.262 107 115.9 -8.9 9-23 8-25 3-10 12-29 2-8 1L
Wizards 16 48 0.25 112.5 123.7 -11.2 11-22 5-26 2-11 11-29 1-9 9L
Kings 16 51 0.239 110.6 120.9 -10.3 11-23 5-28 2-10 10-34 4-6 1L
Pacers 15 50 0.231 111.4 119.9 -8.5 10-22 5-28 3-9 11-30 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak