Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs Florida

The Mississippi State Bulldogs square off against the Florida Gators, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Tuesday, March 3.

Our wager is Florida against the spread. Back the big favorites off -22.5 at odds of -110 and be confident they can cover the line against Mississippi State.

Mississippi State Bulldogs lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Missouri Tigers 88-64.

Florida Gators won their last game, beating Arkansas Razorbacks at home. It was a 111-77 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Florida have claimed victory in the last two matchups against Mississippi State. They won 79-70 at home and 81-68 on the road. The past 9 games between the teams have seen Florida win five times.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	23-6	2527	2071	456	16-2	7-4	9W
Mississippi State	13-16	2253	2329	-76	9-9	4-7	3L

View Full Standings

Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction & Picks

The Mississippi State vs Florida betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re really sweet on the big favorites who are -22.5 on the spread. Florida should enjoy a huge victory in this college matchup and cover the line at -110.

We track all injuries that could impact each team before making our basketball picks. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the college hoops action.

Key Mississippi State vs Florida stats:

• The +22.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 2 consecutive games.

Florida -22.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Selling points can be a great option and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy points.

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Our Game Prediction

Florida -22.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 3, 00:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

MS State 69 - 96 Florida

Rather than betting on the Gators to win, there’s the option to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 96-69 triumph in their favor.

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Mississippi State vs Florida Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -10000 about Florida Gators which reflects they have a 99% chance of winning this college game. For those wanting to back Mississippi State, you will find +2200 about the underdogs.

There is a spread of 22.5 and total points has a line of 159.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 159.5 at -115.

Consider every angle when placing your college hoops bets. The top basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props, and it’s all about finding a wager that fits your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

MS State

+2200

Florida

-10000

Point Spread

MS State +22.5

-110

Florida -22.5

-110

Total Points

Under 159.5

-105

Over 159.5

-115

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Points, Assists, Steals and Blocks.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Stats

Florida Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +22.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +22.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -22.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -22.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 166.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 159.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.60 pts and allowed 84.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.30 pts and allowed 85.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 160.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.10 pts and allowed 70.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 89.20 pts and allowed 71.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	23-6	2527	2071	456	16-2	7-4	9W
Alabama	22-7	2672	2409	263	14-5	8-2	8W
Vanderbilt	22-7	2520	2161	359	14-3	8-4	1L
Arkansas	21-8	2604	2310	294	16-3	5-5	1L
Tennessee	20-9	2322	2007	315	15-4	5-5	2L
Missouri	20-9	2329	2165	164	15-2	5-7	2W
Georgia	20-9	2602	2273	329	14-5	6-4	1W
Kentucky	19-10	2356	2105	251	15-5	4-5	2W
Texas A&M	19-10	2554	2287	267	13-4	6-6	2L
Texas	18-11	2445	2189	256	13-5	5-6	1W
Auburn	15-14	2417	2317	100	12-6	3-8	2L
Oklahoma	15-14	2397	2253	144	11-5	4-9	2W
LSU	15-14	2359	2243	116	10-8	5-6	1L
Mississippi State	13-16	2253	2329	-76	9-9	4-7	3L
Ole Miss	12-17	2187	2201	-14	9-7	3-10	1W
South Carolina	12-17	2201	2222	-21	11-7	1-10	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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