Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs Florida

The Mississippi State Bulldogs square off against the Florida Gators, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Tuesday, March 3.

Our wager is Florida against the spread. Back the big favorites off -22.5 at odds of -110 and be confident they can cover the line against Mississippi State.

Mississippi State Bulldogs lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Missouri Tigers 88-64.

Florida Gators won their last game, beating Arkansas Razorbacks at home. It was a 111-77 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Florida have claimed victory in the last two matchups against Mississippi State. They won 79-70 at home and 81-68 on the road. The past 9 games between the teams have seen Florida win five times.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	26-6	2790	2285	505	18-2	8-4	12W
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L

View Full Standings

Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction & Picks

Our expert Mississippi State vs Florida tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re really sweet on the big favorites who are -22.5 on the spread. Florida should enjoy a huge victory in this college matchup and cover the line at -110.

We track all injuries that could impact each team before making our basketball picks. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the college hoops action.

Key Mississippi State vs Florida stats:

• The +22.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 2 consecutive games.

Florida -22.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Selling points can be a great option and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy points.

Unlock the best welcome bonuses and free bet offers before you wager—check our updated betting promo code guide today.

Our Game Prediction

Florida -22.5 @ -110 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 3, 01:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Josh Hubbard Under 2.5 Rebounds -189

Josh Hubbard (Mississippi State) can be backed to finish with Under 2.5 rebounds at -189. We’re pretty confident that this Player Rebounds wager will end up falling short of the line.

Latest Josh Hubbard Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 20.5

-125

Under 20.5

-105

Assists

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+115

Rebounds

Over 2.5

+144

Under 2.5

-189

---

Thomas Haugh Over 1.5 Assists -130

Thomas Haugh (Florida) can be wagered to rack up Over 1.5 assists at -130. We can place a Player Assists bet with confidence, with our pick expected to cover the total.

Latest Thomas Haugh Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-130

Under 15.5

-100

Assists

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-123

Under 5.5

-105

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

MS State 69 - 96 Florida

Rather than betting on the Gators to win, there’s the option to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 96-69 triumph in their favor.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mississippi State vs Florida Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -5000 about Florida Gators which reflects they have a 98% chance of winning this college game. For those wanting to back Mississippi State, you will find +1600 about the underdogs.

There is a spread of 20.5 and total points has a line of 160.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 160.5 at -115.

Consider every angle when placing your college hoops bets. The top basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props, and it’s all about finding a wager that fits your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

MS State

+1600

Florida

-5000

Point Spread

MS State +20.5

-104

Florida -20.5

-118

Total Points

Under 160.5

-105

Over 160.5

-115

Josh Hubbard is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -125 that he goes Over 20.5 points and -105 when it comes to Under.

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 20.5

-125

Under 20.5

-105

Alex Condon (Florida)

Over 16.5

-118

Under 16.5

-110

Thomas Haugh (Florida)

Over 15.5

-130

Under 15.5

-100

Boogie Fland (Florida)

Over 12.5

-105

Under 12.5

-120

Xaivian Lee (Florida)

Over 11.5

-125

Under 11.5

-105

Rueben Chinyelu (Florida)

Over 11.5

-110

Under 11.5

-115

Urban Klavzar (Florida)

Over 11.5

-105

Under 11.5

-125

Jayden Epps (MS State)

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-118

Achor Achor (MS State)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-135

Quincy Ballard (MS State)

Over 6.5

-105

Under 6.5

-120

Xaivian Lee (Florida)

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-161

Alex Condon (Florida)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-185

Boogie Fland (Florida)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-125

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+115

Jayden Epps (MS State)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-154

Thomas Haugh (Florida)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-100

Urban Klavzar (Florida)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-149

Rueben Chinyelu (Florida)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

+130

Rueben Chinyelu (Florida)

Over 12.5

-118

Under 12.5

-110

Alex Condon (Florida)

Over 7.5

+115

Under 7.5

-149

Quincy Ballard (MS State)

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-135

Thomas Haugh (Florida)

Over 5.5

-123

Under 5.5

-105

Achor Achor (MS State)

Over 5.5

-118

Under 5.5

-110

Boogie Fland (Florida)

Over 3.5

+109

Under 3.5

-141

Xaivian Lee (Florida)

Over 3.5

+122

Under 3.5

-159

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 2.5

+144

Under 2.5

-189

Jayden Epps (MS State)

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-118

Urban Klavzar (Florida)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+135

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Stats

Florida Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +22.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +22.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -22.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -22.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 166.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 159.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.60 pts and allowed 84.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.30 pts and allowed 85.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 160.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.10 pts and allowed 70.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 89.20 pts and allowed 71.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	26-6	2790	2285	505	18-2	8-4	12W
Vanderbilt	25-7	2770	2397	373	15-3	10-4	3W
Arkansas	24-8	2879	2558	321	18-3	6-5	3W
Alabama	23-9	2935	2671	264	15-6	8-3	1L
Georgia	22-10	2874	2533	341	15-6	7-4	1L
Tennessee	22-11	2622	2289	333	16-5	6-6	1L
Texas A&M	21-11	2807	2546	261	14-5	7-6	1L
Missouri	20-12	2549	2411	138	15-4	5-8	3L
Kentucky	21-13	2746	2510	236	16-6	5-7	1L
Texas	18-14	2681	2458	223	13-7	5-7	3L
Oklahoma	19-15	2813	2621	192	13-5	6-10	1L
Auburn	17-16	2730	2620	110	14-6	3-10	1L
LSU	15-17	2606	2512	94	10-9	5-8	4L
Ole Miss	15-19	2566	2571	-5	9-9	6-10	3W
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L
South Carolina	13-19	2398	2447	-49	11-8	2-11	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

Top Basketball Pages