Mississippi State vs Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs Kentucky

The Mississippi State Bulldogs go up against the Kentucky Wildcats, with tip-off scheduled for 20:30 on Saturday, January 10.

There’s a case to be made for Kentucky on the spread when they face Mississippi State. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can cover the -10.5 line at odds of -115 considering they should be superior.

Mississippi State Bulldogs won their previous game, beating Oklahoma Sooners at home. It was a 72-53 win.

Kentucky Wildcats lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 73-68 at home to Missouri Tigers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 95-90 win for Kentucky when they last played Mississippi State. Kentucky have won five on the spin against Mississippi State. They’ve also claimed 9 wins in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Kentucky	21-13	2746	2510	236	16-6	5-7	1L
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L

View Full Standings

Mississippi State vs Kentucky Prediction & Picks

Our Mississippi State vs Kentucky tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast and bet builder picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

We have decided to go for the big favorites against the spread in order to get the best value. Kentucky should be able to cover an appealing -10.5 line at -115 for this college matchup.

The college hoops handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball picks.

Key Mississippi State vs Kentucky stats:

• The -10.5 line has been covered by Kentucky in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -10.5 line has been covered by Kentucky in 13 of their last 20 games at home.

Kentucky -10.5 Probability

According to the top betting apps, there’s a 53.5% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

In the quest to secure bigger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.

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Our Game Prediction

Kentucky -10.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

MS State 72 - 85 Kentucky

Should you want a bet that can land a monster return, then look no further than the correct score lines. Back the Cats to win 85-72 and leverage a huge payout if this happens.

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Mississippi State vs Kentucky Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Kentucky are red-hot -714 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 88% chance of winning this college game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Mississippi State are trading at +480.

10.5 is the spread and 153.5 is the total points line. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you fancy Over 153.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a wide range of team props and game lines at the top basketball sportsbooks. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.

Moneyline

MS State

+480

Kentucky

-714

Point Spread

MS State +10.5

-105

Kentucky -10.5

-115

Total Points

Under 153.5

-110

Over 153.5

-110

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to wager on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Steals, Blocks and Rebounds as potential options.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Stats

Kentucky Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 170.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 153.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 73.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.30 pts and allowed 87.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 149.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 153.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.90 pts and allowed 70.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.10 pts and allowed 69.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	26-7	2864	2376	488	18-3	8-4	1L
Arkansas	26-8	3058	2723	335	20-3	6-5	5W
Vanderbilt	26-8	2936	2557	379	15-3	11-5	1L
Alabama	23-9	2935	2671	264	15-6	8-3	1L
Georgia	22-10	2874	2533	341	15-6	7-4	1L
Tennessee	22-11	2622	2289	333	16-5	6-6	1L
Texas A&M	21-11	2807	2546	261	14-5	7-6	1L
Missouri	20-12	2549	2411	138	15-4	5-8	3L
Kentucky	21-13	2746	2510	236	16-6	5-7	1L
Texas	18-14	2681	2458	223	13-7	5-7	3L
Oklahoma	19-15	2813	2621	192	13-5	6-10	1L
Auburn	17-16	2730	2620	110	14-6	3-10	1L
LSU	15-17	2606	2512	94	10-9	5-8	4L
Ole Miss	15-20	2656	2664	-8	9-9	6-11	1L
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L
South Carolina	13-19	2398	2447	-49	11-8	2-11	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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