Mississippi State vs LSU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Jan 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs LSU
The Mississippi State Bulldogs battle the LSU Tigers, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, January 28.
The total line of 151.5 points looks pretty low and we can take advantage by backing the Overs at -110. We can see Mississippi State and LSU combining to go bigger.
Mississippi State Bulldogs were beaten 88-56 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Vanderbilt Commodores.
LSU Tigers were beaten last game and this was on the road. Arkansas Razorbacks claimed a 85-81 win.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 91-62 win for Mississippi State when they last played LSU. Mississippi State have beaten LSU in the past five meetings. They’ve also claimed 6 victories in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LSU
|
15-17 | 2606 | 2512 | 94 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 4L |
Mississippi State
|
13-19 | 2484 | 2618 | -134 | 9-10 | 4-9 | 6L |
Mississippi State vs LSU Prediction & Picks
Get the edge with our Mississippi State vs LSU betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, key player prop picks and an expert-crafted bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re surprised that the total line is 151.5 and it’s all about going for the Overs option when these college teams take to the court. Take the -110 and cheer on points.
We put solid research behind every basketball pick, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key college hoops stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.
Key Mississippi State vs LSU stats:
Over 151.5 Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our analysts research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
Looking for a bigger return on your Total bet? Consider the Match Result & Total lines where you combine the winning team and Over a certain number of points.
Don’t bet without checking our complete guide to the latest betting promo codes, free bets, and welcome bonuses.
Player Prop Picks
Dedan Thomas Jr. (LSU) can be backed to total Under 5.5 assists at -130. He’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Assists line and we’re happy to take this bet.
Latest Dedan Thomas Jr. Player Prop Odds
Max Mackinnon (LSU) can be backed to have Under 2.5 assists at -164. It might well be the case that he doesn’t cover the line and this Player Assists bet is appealing.
Latest Max Mackinnon Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Over 151.5. We’ve also gone for LSU -6.5 and Dedan Thomas Jr. (LSU) to get Under 5.5 assists.
A same game parlay is a fantastic option for basketball bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Correct Score Prediction
74
-
84
LSU
There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on the Tigers to achieve a 84-74 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.
Mississippi State vs LSU Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
You might not get rich backing LSU at -345. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 78% chance of winning this college game. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +270 about Mississippi State.
The spread is calculated to be 7.5, while total points comes in at 155.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you fancy Over 155.5, this outcome can be backed at -106.
If you’re betting on college basketball, it’s a good idea to visit the best sportsbooks and browse the wide range of game lines and team props available. You’ll have the option to place wagers both pre-game and in-game.
Josh Hubbard is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -125 that he goes Over 19.5 points and -105 when it comes to Under.
It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.
- NCAAB: 13/03 2025 LSU 62 Mississippi State 91
- NCAAB: 01/03 2025 LSU 69 Mississippi State 81
- NCAAB: 14/03 2024 Mississippi State 70 LSU 60
- NCAAB: 25/02 2024 Mississippi State 87 LSU 67
- NCAAB: 09/02 2023 LSU 53 Mississippi State 64
- NCAAB: 13/02 2022 Mississippi State 65 LSU 69
- NCAAB: 11/02 2021 LSU 94 Mississippi State 80
- NCAAB: 12/01 2020 Mississippi State 59 LSU 60
- NCAAB: 07/02 2019 LSU 92 Mississippi State 88
- NCAAB: 09/03 2018 LSU 77 Mississippi State 80
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Mississippi State Stats
LSU Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 155.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 171.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 151.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 151.5 on the Road: Covered in the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.60 pts and allowed 78.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 91.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 154.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 159.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 151.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 151.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.90 pts and allowed 76.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.50 pts and allowed 75.30 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Southeastern | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida
|
26-7 | 2864 | 2376 | 488 | 18-3 | 8-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
26-8 | 3058 | 2723 | 335 | 20-3 | 6-5 | 5W |
Vanderbilt
|
26-8 | 2936 | 2557 | 379 | 15-3 | 11-5 | 1L |
Alabama
|
23-9 | 2935 | 2671 | 264 | 15-6 | 8-3 | 1L |
Georgia
|
22-10 | 2874 | 2533 | 341 | 15-6 | 7-4 | 1L |
Tennessee
|
22-11 | 2622 | 2289 | 333 | 16-5 | 6-6 | 1L |
Texas A&M
|
21-11 | 2807 | 2546 | 261 | 14-5 | 7-6 | 1L |
Missouri
|
20-12 | 2549 | 2411 | 138 | 15-4 | 5-8 | 3L |
Kentucky
|
21-13 | 2746 | 2510 | 236 | 16-6 | 5-7 | 1L |
Texas
|
18-14 | 2681 | 2458 | 223 | 13-7 | 5-7 | 3L |
Oklahoma
|
19-15 | 2813 | 2621 | 192 | 13-5 | 6-10 | 1L |
Auburn
|
17-16 | 2730 | 2620 | 110 | 14-6 | 3-10 | 1L |
|
LSU
|
15-17 | 2606 | 2512 | 94 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 4L |
Ole Miss
|
15-20 | 2656 | 2664 | -8 | 9-9 | 6-11 | 1L |
|
Mississippi State
|
13-19 | 2484 | 2618 | -134 | 9-10 | 4-9 | 6L |
South Carolina
|
13-19 | 2398 | 2447 | -49 | 11-8 | 2-11 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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