Mississippi State vs New Mexico Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs New Mexico

The Mississippi State Bulldogs square off against the New Mexico Lobos, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Friday, November 21.

We’re delighted to see New Mexico have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +6.5 at -114 when they go up against Mississippi State.

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Mississippi State Bulldogs were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Kansas State Wildcats claimed a 98-77 win.

New Mexico Lobos were beaten last game and this was on the road. Nebraska Cornhuskers claimed a 84-72 win.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
New Mexico	3-2	372	338	34	3-0	0-2	2L
Mississippi State	2-2	318	324	-6	2-1	0-1	1L

View Full Standings

Mississippi State vs New Mexico Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for Mississippi State vs New Mexico with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

The best bet could involve backing New Mexico against the spread in this college showdown. There’s an attractive +6.5 available at -114 that they cover the line and that has to be our prediction.

We keep a close eye on team news and our college basketball handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Mississippi State vs New Mexico stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by New Mexico in 20 consecutive games at home.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 14 of their last 20 games.

New Mexico +6.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 53.2% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

You have the choice to buy or sell points depending on which direction you want to move the line. Decide whether or not you want to play it safer or take a riskier option.

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Our Game Prediction

New Mexico +6.5 @ -114 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

MS State 75 - 73 New Mexico

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Bulldogs to achieve a 75-73 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

Mississippi State vs New Mexico Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Mississippi State as -303 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 75% likely to win. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +240 about New Mexico.

The spread currently stands at 6.5 and the total points line is 154.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 154.5, this outcome can be backed at -114.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The best betting apps have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

MS State

-303

New Mexico

+240

Point Spread

MS State -6.5

-106

New Mexico +6.5

-114

Total Points

Under 154.5

-114

Over 154.5

-106

There is regularly betting value to be found from wagering on the player props with the best online gambling sites. You can find lots of ways to back for or against a specific player lining up for one of the two teams.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college basketball. There are many live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Stats

New Mexico Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 158.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 154.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.90 pts and allowed 79.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.60 pts and allowed 84.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 138.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 142.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 154.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.30 pts and allowed 66.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.70 pts and allowed 65.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mountain West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Utah State	4-0	348	255	93	4-0	0-0	4W
Colorado State	4-0	368	284	84	3-0	1-0	4W
Wyoming	4-1	433	356	77	4-0	0-1	1L
Boise State	4-1	388	338	50	4-1	0-0	4W
Fresno State	4-2	464	410	54	4-2	0-0	2W
San Diego State	2-1	257	210	47	2-1	0-0	1L
UNLV	3-2	466	420	46	2-2	1-0	2W
New Mexico	3-2	372	338	34	3-0	0-2	2L
Nevada	3-2	395	381	14	3-1	0-1	2L
Grand Canyon	2-2	323	298	25	2-1	0-1	1L
San Jose State	1-3	319	304	15	1-0	0-3	1W
Air Force	1-4	316	369	-53	1-3	0-1	1W

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Georgia	5-0	497	313	184	5-0	0-0	5W
Vanderbilt	5-0	515	365	150	4-0	1-0	5W
Tennessee	5-0	450	309	141	5-0	0-0	5W
Missouri	6-0	559	420	139	5-0	1-0	6W
LSU	4-0	394	280	114	4-0	0-0	4W
Ole Miss	5-0	411	325	86	5-0	0-0	5W
South Carolina	4-0	342	270	72	4-0	0-0	4W
Auburn	4-1	467	348	119	4-1	0-0	1W
Texas	4-1	420	313	107	4-0	0-1	4W
Arkansas	4-1	431	360	71	4-0	0-1	3W
Florida	3-1	351	301	50	3-0	0-1	3W
Alabama	3-1	364	331	33	1-1	2-0	1W
Kentucky	3-2	437	342	95	3-1	0-1	1L
Oklahoma	3-2	459	394	65	3-0	0-2	1W
Texas A&M	3-2	425	392	33	3-1	0-1	1W
Mississippi State	2-2	318	324	-6	2-1	0-1	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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