Mississippi State vs New Mexico Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs New Mexico

The Mississippi State Bulldogs square off against the New Mexico Lobos, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Friday, November 21.

We’re delighted to see New Mexico have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +6.5 at -114 when they go up against Mississippi State.

Mississippi State Bulldogs were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Kansas State Wildcats claimed a 98-77 win.

New Mexico Lobos were beaten last game and this was on the road. Nebraska Cornhuskers claimed a 84-72 win.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
New Mexico	23-10	2658	2337	321	16-3	7-7	1L
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L

View Full Standings

Mississippi State vs New Mexico Prediction & Picks

Approach Mississippi State vs New Mexico fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

The best bet could involve backing New Mexico against the spread in this college showdown. There’s an attractive +6.5 available at -114 that they cover the line and that has to be our prediction.

We keep a close eye on team news and our college basketball handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Mississippi State vs New Mexico stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by New Mexico in 20 consecutive games at home.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 14 of their last 20 games.

UNM +6.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 53.2% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

You have the choice to buy or sell points depending on which direction you want to move the line. Decide whether or not you want to play it safer or take a riskier option.

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Our Game Prediction

New Mexico +6.5 @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 21, 09:41). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tomislav Buljan Over 11.5 Points -110

Tomislav Buljan (New Mexico) can be backed to record Over 11.5 points at -110. It makes sense to bet on him to cover the line when it comes to this Player Points wager.

Latest Tomislav Buljan Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-105

Under 11.5

-125

Rebounds

Over 9.5

+105

Under 9.5

-135

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Antonio Chol Under 4.5 Rebounds -115

Antonio Chol (New Mexico) is available at -115 to finish with Under 4.5 rebounds. We think he might fall short of the mark when it comes to this Player Rebounds bet.

Latest Antonio Chol Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-110

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

MS State 75 - 73 New Mexico

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Bulldogs to achieve a 75-73 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mississippi State vs New Mexico Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Mississippi State as -303 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 75% likely to win. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +235 about New Mexico.

The spread currently stands at 6.5 and the total points line is 151.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 151.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The best betting apps have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

MS State

-303

UNM

+235

Point Spread

MS State -6.5

-112

UNM +6.5

-108

Total Points

Under 151.5

-110

Over 151.5

-110

Josh Hubbard is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -110 that he gets Over 21.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -120.

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 21.5

-110

Under 21.5

-120

Jake Hall (UNM)

Over 11.5

-145

Under 11.5

+110

Tomislav Buljan (UNM)

Over 11.5

-105

Under 11.5

-125

Antonio Chol (UNM)

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-130

Shawn Jones Jr. (MS State)

Over 10.5

+105

Under 10.5

-141

Quincy Ballard (MS State)

Over 7.5

-120

Under 7.5

-105

Achor Achor (MS State)

Over 7.5

-118

Under 7.5

-110

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-115

Jake Hall (UNM)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+125

Tomislav Buljan (UNM)

Over 9.5

+105

Under 9.5

-135

Achor Achor (MS State)

Over 7.5

-130

Under 7.5

-105

Shawn Jones Jr. (MS State)

Over 6.5

+120

Under 6.5

-161

Quincy Ballard (MS State)

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-145

Antonio Chol (UNM)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-110

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-175

Jake Hall (UNM)

Over 2.5

-145

Under 2.5

+110

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college basketball. There are many live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Stats

New Mexico Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 158.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 154.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.90 pts and allowed 79.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.60 pts and allowed 84.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 138.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 142.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 154.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.30 pts and allowed 66.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.70 pts and allowed 65.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mountain West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Utah State	29-5	2816	2382	434	19-0	10-5	4W
New Mexico	23-10	2658	2337	321	16-3	7-7	1L
San Diego State	22-11	2580	2342	238	16-3	6-8	1L
Boise State	21-11	2512	2351	161	13-7	8-4	1L
Nevada	22-12	2582	2434	148	17-3	5-9	1L
Colorado State	21-12	2510	2347	163	13-6	8-6	1L
Grand Canyon	20-12	2420	2197	223	14-7	6-5	1L
Wyoming	18-14	2467	2335	132	14-4	4-10	1L
UNLV	15-18	2610	2613	-3	10-7	5-11	1L
Fresno State	13-19	2331	2330	1	11-8	2-11	2L
San Jose State	9-24	2376	2591	-215	7-11	2-13	1L
Air Force	3-29	1969	2556	-587	3-16	0-13	25L

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	26-7	2864	2376	488	18-3	8-4	1L
Arkansas	26-8	3058	2723	335	20-3	6-5	5W
Vanderbilt	26-8	2936	2557	379	15-3	11-5	1L
Alabama	23-9	2935	2671	264	15-6	8-3	1L
Georgia	22-10	2874	2533	341	15-6	7-4	1L
Tennessee	22-11	2622	2289	333	16-5	6-6	1L
Texas A&M	21-11	2807	2546	261	14-5	7-6	1L
Missouri	20-12	2549	2411	138	15-4	5-8	3L
Kentucky	21-13	2746	2510	236	16-6	5-7	1L
Texas	18-14	2681	2458	223	13-7	5-7	3L
Oklahoma	19-15	2813	2621	192	13-5	6-10	1L
Auburn	17-16	2730	2620	110	14-6	3-10	1L
LSU	15-17	2606	2512	94	10-9	5-8	4L
Ole Miss	15-20	2656	2664	-8	9-9	6-11	1L
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L
South Carolina	13-19	2398	2447	-49	11-8	2-11	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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