Missouri State vs Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Missouri State vs Liberty

The Missouri State Bears go up against the Liberty Flames, with tip-off scheduled for 18:30 on Wednesday, March 11.

The best betting angle could be wagering on the totals when Missouri State clash with Liberty. Our prediction is for Over 143.5 points to be scored at odds of -110.

Missouri State Bears got the win in their previous game. A 75-72 triumph occurred on the road when playing Florida International Panthers.

Liberty Flames were winners last time out. It was a 79-72 home victory against Sam Houston Bearkats.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 79-76 win for Liberty when they last played Missouri State.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	25-6	2432	2176	256	14-3	11-3	1W
Missouri State	15-17	2408	2364	44	11-7	4-10	1W

View Full Standings

Missouri State vs Liberty Prediction & Picks

We’ve lined up expert Missouri State vs Liberty betting tips, from our main match prediction and correct score call to bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

The teams are capable of exceeding the set points total line which leads us to predict Over 143.5 as a great pick at -110 for this college matchup.

The basketball picks at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every college hoops pick.

Key Missouri State vs Liberty stats:

• The 143.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Missouri State games on the road.
• The 143.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Missouri State games.
• The 143.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Missouri State games on the road.
• The 143.5 line has been covered in the last 5 Liberty games at home.
• The 143.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Liberty games at home.
• The 143.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Liberty games.

Over 143.5 Probability

The top betting apps imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

The sportsbooks give you the option to get bigger odds for your Overs selection by combining this pick on the Match Result & Total lines. Predict a team to win as part of the deal.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 143.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Missouri State 74 - 77 Liberty

There are massive odds on offer when it comes to the Flames landing a 77-74 win. A close game is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.

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Missouri State vs Liberty Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Liberty as -278 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 74% likely to win. At +220, Missouri State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 6.5 and the total points line is 143.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you’re going for Over 143.5, then the odds are -110.

The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Missouri State

+220

Liberty

-278

Point Spread

Missouri State +6.5

-115

Liberty -6.5

-105

Total Points

Under 143.5

-110

Over 143.5

-110

If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Missouri State Stats

Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 143.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.10 pts and allowed 77.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.40 pts and allowed 77.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 151.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 143.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.30 pts and allowed 76.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.10 pts and allowed 74.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	25-6	2432	2176	256	14-3	11-3	1W
Sam Houston	21-10	2572	2307	265	13-1	8-9	2L
Louisiana Tech	18-13	2166	2004	162	14-3	4-10	2W
Western Kentucky	18-13	2450	2340	110	13-5	5-8	2L
Kennesaw State	18-13	2588	2367	221	14-3	4-10	2L
Middle Tennessee	17-14	2345	2249	96	12-5	5-9	5W
New Mexico State	16-15	2342	2234	108	11-6	5-9	3W
Jacksonville State	15-17	2325	2188	137	10-9	5-8	1L
Missouri State	15-17	2408	2364	44	11-7	4-10	1W
FIU	15-17	2580	2492	88	12-7	3-10	1L
UTEP	11-20	2149	2244	-95	9-8	2-12	1L
Delaware	10-21	2098	2293	-195	6-11	4-10	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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