Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee

The Missouri State Bears battle the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, with tip-off scheduled for 18:00 on Saturday, January 17.

Our prediction is to snap up the -110 that Middle Tenn are able to cover the spread. The favorites are -6.5 in their meeting with Missouri State and the margin of victory could be a good deal more significant.

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Missouri State Bears lost on the road in their previous game. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 87-72.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 59-58 reverse against Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 77-73 (OT) in favor of Middle Tenn when they last played Missouri State.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Missouri State	12-9	1583	1523	60	9-3	3-6	1L
Middle Tennessee	11-9	1484	1412	72	9-3	2-6	2L

View Full Standings

Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction & Picks

Explore our top Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee betting tips, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast and a bet builder ready to use. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

Our best pick is that Middle Tenn will gain the upper hand in this college game. This leads us to back the favorites against the spread at -110, with the -6.5 line offering plenty of appeal.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball predictions. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key college hoops numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee stats:

• The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Missouri State in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Missouri State in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Missouri State in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Middle Tenn -6.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% chance of this pick winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re looking for an option to betting on Middle Tenn against the spread, then consider the Winning Margin. You can choose from a wide range of fixed intervals and odds.

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Our Game Prediction

Middle Tenn -6.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Missouri State 68 - 78 Middle Tennessee

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a massive potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Blue Raiders to achieve a 78-68 win at huge odds.

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Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Middle Tennessee have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 76% probability due to their -323 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +245 about Missouri State.

The current spread is 6.5 and total points is 138.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you want to wager Over 138.5, there are odds of -105.

College hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Missouri State

+245

Middle Tenn

-323

Point Spread

Missouri State +6.5

-110

Middle Tenn -6.5

-110

Total Points

Under 138.5

-114

Over 138.5

-105

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Missouri State Stats

Middle Tennessee Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 145.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 135.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 138.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 138.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.40 pts and allowed 72.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 62.90 pts and allowed 72.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 134.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 148.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 138.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 138.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.30 pts and allowed 65.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.40 pts and allowed 67.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	18-3	1669	1409	260	11-1	7-2	12W
Sam Houston	14-7	1760	1550	210	7-1	7-6	5W
Kennesaw State	13-8	1828	1618	210	10-1	3-7	1W
Louisiana Tech	12-8	1369	1224	145	11-1	1-7	2W
Missouri State	12-9	1583	1523	60	9-3	3-6	1L
Jacksonville State	11-9	1467	1326	141	8-5	3-4	3W
Middle Tennessee	11-9	1484	1412	72	9-3	2-6	2L
Western Kentucky	11-10	1644	1585	59	9-4	2-6	4L
New Mexico State	10-10	1529	1401	128	8-5	2-5	3L
FIU	10-11	1738	1648	90	9-4	1-7	1L
UTEP	7-14	1455	1518	-63	6-6	1-8	2L
Delaware	6-14	1315	1430	-115	4-8	2-6	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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