Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Jan 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee
The Missouri State Bears battle the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, with tip-off scheduled for 18:00 on Saturday, January 17.
Our prediction is to snap up the -110 that Middle Tenn are able to cover the spread. The favorites are -6.5 in their meeting with Missouri State and the margin of victory could be a good deal more significant.
Missouri State Bears lost on the road in their previous game. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 87-72.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 59-58 reverse against Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The scoreline was 77-73 (OT) in favor of Middle Tenn when they last played Missouri State.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Middle Tennessee
|
17-15 | 2414 | 2329 | 85 | 12-5 | 5-10 | 1L |
Missouri State
|
16-18 | 2551 | 2502 | 49 | 11-7 | 5-11 | 1L |
Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction & Picks
Explore our top Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee betting tips, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast and a bet builder ready to use. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.
Game Prediction
Our best pick is that Middle Tenn will gain the upper hand in this college game. This leads us to back the favorites against the spread at -110, with the -6.5 line offering plenty of appeal.
We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball predictions. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key college hoops numbers that truly make a difference.
Key Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee stats:
Middle Tenn -6.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% chance of this pick winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you’re looking for an option to betting on Middle Tenn against the spread, then consider the Winning Margin. You can choose from a wide range of fixed intervals and odds.
Before placing your bet, explore our exclusive betting promo codes, welcome offers, and best free bets for today.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Take a same game parlay that incorporates Middle Tennessee to cover the -6.5 spread along with Over 138.5. Add in both teams to score 60 points and Middle Tennessee to win on the Result & BTTS lines.
The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same game. You need all your picks to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored basketball bet on the matchup which interests them most.
Correct Score Prediction
68
-
78
Middle Tennessee
Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a massive potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Blue Raiders to achieve a 78-68 win at huge odds.
Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Middle Tennessee have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 76% probability due to their -323 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +245 about Missouri State.
The current spread is 6.5 and total points is 138.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you want to wager Over 138.5, there are odds of -105.
College hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.
The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.
Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Missouri State Stats
Middle Tennessee Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 145.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 135.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 138.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 138.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.40 pts and allowed 72.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 62.90 pts and allowed 72.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 134.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 148.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 138.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 138.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.30 pts and allowed 65.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.40 pts and allowed 67.30 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Conference USA | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberty
|
25-7 | 2501 | 2253 | 248 | 14-4 | 11-3 | 1L |
Sam Houston
|
22-11 | 2714 | 2447 | 267 | 14-2 | 8-9 | 1L |
Kennesaw State
|
21-13 | 2834 | 2587 | 247 | 14-3 | 7-10 | 3W |
Louisiana Tech
|
20-14 | 2375 | 2210 | 165 | 16-4 | 4-10 | 1L |
Western Kentucky
|
18-14 | 2537 | 2436 | 101 | 13-6 | 5-8 | 3L |
|
Middle Tennessee
|
17-15 | 2414 | 2329 | 85 | 12-5 | 5-10 | 1L |
New Mexico State
|
16-16 | 2403 | 2303 | 100 | 11-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
|
Missouri State
|
16-18 | 2551 | 2502 | 49 | 11-7 | 5-11 | 1L |
Jacksonville State
|
15-17 | 2325 | 2188 | 137 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 1L |
FIU
|
15-17 | 2580 | 2492 | 88 | 12-7 | 3-10 | 1L |
UTEP
|
11-20 | 2149 | 2244 | -95 | 9-8 | 2-12 | 1L |
Delaware
|
10-21 | 2098 | 2293 | -195 | 6-11 | 4-10 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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