Murray State vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Murray State vs SMU

The Murray State Racers go up against the SMU Mustangs, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Tuesday, November 11. Our betting preview features expert NCAAB predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

The Teams Might Struggle to Score Big

When Murray State clash with SMU, we’re not sure that the total points will go over the line. Based on this prediction, you can land -110 for Under 163.5 and this looks worth taking.

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92-65 Victory for SMU in Last Head-to-Head

Murray State Racers won their previous game which was at home. It was a 108-60 triumph against Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils.

SMU Mustangs last game saw them claim a 69-58 home win over Texas A&M–Corpus Christi Islanders.

Head-to-Head Statistics

SMU triumphed 92-65 when they last played Murray State.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
SMU	2-0	165	134	31	2-0	0-0	2W
Murray State	2-0	193	137	56	2-0	0-0	2W

View Full Standings

Murray State vs SMU Prediction & Picks

Step into Murray State vs SMU with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline and a custom-built bet builder. Dive into each section below for the latest insights.

Game Prediction

We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -110 that there are Under 163.5 points in this college matchup.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our college basketball handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Murray State vs SMU stats:

• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Murray State games.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Murray State games.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Murray State games on the road.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 SMU games.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 SMU games.

Under 163.5 Probability

According to the top betting apps, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

Those looking for larger odds can include an Under selection with other picks when they place a Bet Builder. A bigger potential payout could be on the cards with this bet.

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Best Bet

Under 163.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Murray State 72 - 87 SMU

We’re going for the Mustangs to win by a 87-72 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.

Murray State vs SMU Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

SMU Heavy Favorites to Win

SMU have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -833 favorites for this college game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 89% chance of winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Murray State are trading at +540.

The spread is calculated to be 11.5, while total points comes in at 163.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those expecting a low total can back Under 163.5 at -110.

If you’re betting on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting sites and scanning through the wide range of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Murray State

+540

SMU

-833

Point Spread

Murray State +11.5

-114

SMU -11.5

-106

Total Points

Under 163.5

-110

Over 163.5

-110

Player Props & Micro Betting

If you have a view on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Double-Doubles or Triple-Doubles, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Murray State Stats

SMU Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 142.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 143.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 163.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 163.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.90 pts and allowed 67.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.30 pts and allowed 72.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 143.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 146.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 163.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 163.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.30 pts and allowed 69.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.40 pts and allowed 69.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami	3-0	289	191	98	3-0	0-0	3W
Virginia	2-0	168	115	53	2-0	0-0	2W
Wake Forest	2-0	169	139	30	2-0	0-0	2W
SMU	2-0	165	134	31	2-0	0-0	2W
Stanford	2-0	180	147	33	2-0	0-0	2W
Virginia Tech	2-0	205	168	37	2-0	0-0	2W
Georgia Tech	3-0	200	157	43	3-0	0-0	3W
Pittsburgh	3-0	230	185	45	3-0	0-0	3W
North Carolina	2-0	181	128	53	2-0	0-0	2W
Louisville	2-0	210	115	95	2-0	0-0	2W
Notre Dame	2-0	191	137	54	2-0	0-0	2W
Duke	2-0	170	114	56	2-0	0-0	2W
California	3-0	257	192	65	3-0	0-0	3W
Florida State	2-0	209	140	69	2-0	0-0	2W
NC State	2-0	208	136	72	2-0	0-0	2W
Syracuse	2-0	168	90	78	2-0	0-0	2W
Clemson	2-0	185	97	88	2-0	0-0	2W
Boston College	1-1	154	130	24	1-0	0-1	1W

Missouri Valley	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Southern Illinois	2-0	184	120	64	2-0	0-0	2W
Murray State	2-0	193	137	56	2-0	0-0	2W
Northern Iowa	2-0	151	115	36	2-0	0-0	2W
Belmont	2-0	166	142	24	2-0	0-0	2W
Drake	2-1	245	203	42	2-1	0-0	1W
Evansville	2-1	219	179	40	2-0	0-1	2W
Indiana State	2-1	244	220	24	1-0	1-1	2W
Bradley	1-1	148	123	25	1-0	0-1	1W
UIC	1-1	164	147	17	1-0	0-1	1L
Illinois State	1-1	144	137	7	1-0	0-1	1W
Valparaiso	1-1	125	170	-45	1-0	0-1	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak