Murray State vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Nov 2025
College Basketball Betting Preview: Murray State vs SMU
The Murray State Racers go up against the SMU Mustangs, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Tuesday, November 11. Our betting preview features expert NCAAB predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.
When Murray State clash with SMU, we’re not sure that the total points will go over the line. Based on this prediction, you can land -110 for Under 163.5 and this looks worth taking.
Murray State Racers won their previous game which was at home. It was a 108-60 triumph against Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils.
SMU Mustangs last game saw them claim a 69-58 home win over Texas A&M–Corpus Christi Islanders.
Head-to-Head Statistics
SMU triumphed 92-65 when they last played Murray State.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Murray State
|
20-12 | 2667 | 2558 | 109 | 14-4 | 6-8 | 2L |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Murray State vs SMU Prediction & Picks
Get the full betting picture for Murray State vs SMU, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.
Game Prediction
We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -110 that there are Under 163.5 points in this college matchup.
Injuries can influence the outcome and our college basketball handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.
Key Murray State vs SMU stats:
Under 163.5 Probability
According to the top betting apps, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.
Those looking for larger odds can include an Under selection with other picks when they place a Bet Builder. A bigger potential payout could be on the cards with this bet.
Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.
Player Prop Picks
Samet Yigitoglu (SMU) can be backed to record Under 1.5 assists at -175. Taking everything into consideration, we can feel confident that he will fall short of the line.
Latest Samet Yigitoglu Player Prop Odds
B.J. Edwards (SMU) can be wagered to rack up Over 11.5 points at -135. We are happy to back Overs when it comes to his Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.
Latest B.J. Edwards Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Under 163.5. We’ve also gone for SMU -10.5 and Samet Yigitoglu (SMU) to get Under 1.5 assists.
A basketball same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big payout from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
72
-
87
SMU
We’re going for the Mustangs to win by a 87-72 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.
Murray State vs SMU Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
SMU have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -667 favorites for this college game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 87% chance of winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Murray State are trading at +460.
The spread is calculated to be 10.5, while total points comes in at 163.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those expecting a low total can back Under 163.5 at -110.
If you’re betting on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting sites and scanning through the wide range of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to wager pre-game and in-game.
Corey Washington is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -110 that he gets Over 13.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -120.
There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Murray State Stats
SMU Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
- +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road
- -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 142.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 143.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 163.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 163.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.90 pts and allowed 67.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.30 pts and allowed 72.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 143.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 146.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 163.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 163.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.30 pts and allowed 69.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.40 pts and allowed 69.00 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
|
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
| Missouri Valley | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belmont
|
26-6 | 2684 | 2347 | 337 | 15-3 | 11-3 | 2L |
Northern Iowa
|
23-12 | 2447 | 2144 | 303 | 13-5 | 10-7 | 5W |
Bradley
|
21-12 | 2560 | 2422 | 138 | 17-4 | 4-8 | 1L |
Illinois State
|
20-12 | 2404 | 2190 | 214 | 15-4 | 5-8 | 1L |
|
Murray State
|
20-12 | 2667 | 2558 | 109 | 14-4 | 6-8 | 2L |
UIC
|
19-15 | 2567 | 2379 | 188 | 11-7 | 8-8 | 1L |
Valparaiso
|
17-15 | 2278 | 2300 | -22 | 13-4 | 4-11 | 1L |
Southern Illinois
|
16-16 | 2336 | 2226 | 110 | 8-8 | 8-8 | 1L |
Drake
|
14-20 | 2552 | 2544 | 8 | 7-12 | 7-8 | 1L |
Indiana State
|
11-21 | 2354 | 2383 | -29 | 8-7 | 3-14 | 1L |
Evansville
|
7-25 | 2143 | 2447 | -304 | 5-12 | 2-13 | 2L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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