Murray State vs Valparaiso Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Dec 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Murray State vs Valparaiso

The Murray State Racers square off against the Valparaiso Beacons, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Sunday, December 21.

There’s a great opportunity to back Valparaiso against the spread considering they should perform well against Murray State. Snap up the -110 when it comes to them covering the +5.5.

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Murray State Racers won their previous game which was at home. It was a 81-72 triumph against Drake Bulldogs.

Valparaiso Beacons were beaten last game and this was on the road. Northwestern Wildcats claimed a 86-70 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Murray State who came out on top when they last played Valparaiso. A 74-56 win was recorded. Murray State have won all of the past 6 H2H meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Murray State	9-3	1076	936	140	8-0	1-3	5W
Valparaiso	5-5	703	711	-8	4-2	1-3	3L

View Full Standings

Murray State vs Valparaiso Prediction & Picks

The Murray State vs Valparaiso betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Our best pick for this college showdown is Valparaiso against the spread. +5.5 at odds of -110 look more than generous and we’re happy to back the underdogs with this advantage.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant college hoops stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball picks.

Key Murray State vs Valparaiso stats:

• The +5.5 line has been covered by Valpo in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by Valpo in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by Valpo in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Murray State in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Murray State in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

Valpo +5.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be a good way to go. Back Valpo against the spread in a combination with other selections.

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Our Game Prediction

Valparaiso +5.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Murray State 76 - 74 Valparaiso

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on Murray State enjoying a 76-74 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

Murray State vs Valparaiso Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Murray State are -227 favorites and that means a 69% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. At +185, Valparaiso are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is 5.5 and the total points line is currently 155.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 155.5 at -110.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball matchups, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Murray State

-227

Valpo

+185

Point Spread

Murray State -5.5

-110

Valpo +5.5

-110

Total Points

Under 155.5

-110

Over 155.5

-110

If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live player, score and team props to see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Murray State Stats

Valparaiso Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 168.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 156.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 155.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 155.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.30 pts and allowed 79.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.20 pts and allowed 80.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 136.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 155.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 155.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 70.30 pts and allowed 71.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 70.00 pts and allowed 66.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Missouri Valley	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Belmont	12-1	1110	887	223	7-1	5-0	4W
Northern Iowa	9-2	796	634	162	6-1	3-1	2W
Illinois State	9-3	968	810	158	7-1	2-2	1W
Murray State	9-3	1076	936	140	8-0	1-3	5W
Bradley	8-4	947	835	112	7-2	1-2	5W
Indiana State	7-5	928	867	61	5-1	2-4	1L
Valparaiso	5-5	703	711	-8	4-2	1-3	3L
Drake	6-6	962	834	128	4-5	2-1	3L
Southern Illinois	6-6	955	883	72	4-2	2-4	2L
UIC	4-7	833	806	27	3-2	1-5	5L
Evansville	4-8	837	881	-44	3-5	1-3	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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