Napoli vs Virtus Bologna Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 07 Mar 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: Napoli vs Virtus Bologna

Napoli Basket host Virtus Bologna, with tip-off set for 14:30 on Saturday 7 March.

We’re not convinced Napoli Basket and Virtus Bologna are cumulatively going to produce enough points in relation to the total line. Therefore, we’re aiming to go Under 166.5 at -118.

Napoli Basket were beaten last game and this was on the road. Trieste claimed a 110-84 win.

Virtus Bologna claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 90-86 win occurred against APU Udine.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Virtus who came out on top when they last played Napoli. A 105-88 win was recorded. It’s been six Virtus wins in the past 9 games between these teams.

Lega Basket Serie A	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Virtus Bologna	15	3	1541	1404	137	6-2	9-1	1W
11  Napoli	7	11	1501	1545	-44	4-5	3-6	3L

View Full Standings

Napoli vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips

Approach Napoli vs Virtus Bologna fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely correct score outcome and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

Don’t expect fireworks in this Serie A game. The two teams might not score a huge combined total and our pick is to back Under 166.5 points at odds of -118.

Our team of Italian basketball experts are right across the latest injuries and the form guide also informs our Serie A picks. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Napoli vs Virtus Bologna league stats:

• The 166.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Napoli games.
• The 166.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Napoli games.
• The 166.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Napoli games at home.
• The 166.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Virtus games on the road.
• The 166.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Virtus games on the road.
• The 166.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Virtus games on the road.

Under 166.5 Probability

The best betting apps are estimating that there is a 54.1% likelihood of this pick winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total wager. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier bet which has a bigger payout.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 166.5 Points @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Napoli 74 - 85 Virtus

Virtus Bologna are capable of landing a victory and we’re going for a correct score line of 85-74 at massive odds. There’s a big return that can be achieved with this wager.

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Napoli vs Virtus Bologna Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 75% probability of winning this Serie A game, Virtus Bologna might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -303 Moneyline betting odds. Napoli Basket are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +205.

6.5 is the spread and 166.5 is the total points line. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you fancy Under 166.5, then the odds are -118.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to betting on the Serie A and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Napoli

+205

Virtus

-303

Point Spread

Napoli +6.5

-118

Virtus -6.5

-118

Total Points

Under 166.5

-118

Over 166.5

-118

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to wager on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Steals, Blocks and Rebounds as potential options.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to the Serie A and micro betting markets can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-play, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Napoli Stats

Virtus Bologna Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 168.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 167.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 166.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 166.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.60 pts and allowed 85.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.20 pts and allowed 84.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 161.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 166.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 166.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.00 pts and allowed 77.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 84.60 pts and allowed 76.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

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Lega Basket Serie A Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Virtus Bologna	15	3	1541	1404	137	6-2	9-1	1W
2  Brescia	15	4	1700	1596	104	9-1	6-3	2L
3  Olimpia Milano	13	5	1529	1397	132	6-3	7-2	1W
4  Reyer Venezia	13	5	1630	1507	123	7-2	6-3	1L
5  Derthona	12	7	1653	1635	18	6-3	6-4	2W
6  Trieste	10	8	1542	1567	-25	8-1	2-7	1W
7  Trento	9	9	1530	1488	42	6-4	3-5	3W
8  Udine	8	10	1473	1454	19	4-5	4-5	2W
9  Vanoli Cremona	8	10	1485	1521	-36	6-3	2-7	1W
10  Reggio Emilia	7	11	1445	1456	-11	4-5	3-6	2W
11  Napoli	7	11	1501	1545	-44	4-5	3-6	3L
12  Varese	7	12	1555	1643	-88	4-6	3-6	1W
13  Sassari	6	13	1594	1675	-81	5-5	1-8	2L
14  Cantù	4	14	1497	1616	-119	3-5	1-9	2L
15  Treviso	3	15	1449	1620	-171	2-7	1-8	4L

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