New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: New Mexico vs San Diego State

The New Mexico Lobos face the San Diego State Aztecs, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Saturday, January 17.

Our prediction is for San Diego State to cover the attractive -5.5 line when they face New Mexico. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -105 is available on the spread.

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New Mexico Lobos won their previous game which was at home. It was a 87-64 triumph against Grand Canyon Antelopes.

San Diego State Aztecs triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Wyoming Cowboys were beaten 74-57.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 73-65 win for San Diego State when they last played New Mexico. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved San Diego State winning six times.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
New Mexico	14-3	1373	1126	247	11-0	3-3	4W
San Diego State	12-4	1311	1149	162	8-2	4-2	6W

View Full Standings

New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction & Picks

This expert New Mexico vs San Diego State betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score pick and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Our best pick is that San Diego State will gain the upper hand in this college game. This leads us to back the favorites against the spread at -105, with the -5.5 line offering plenty of appeal.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our college hoops analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our basketball picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key New Mexico vs San Diego State stats:

• The -5.5 line has been covered by SDSU in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by SDSU in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by SDSU in 2 consecutive games.

SDSU -5.5 Probability

If you go by the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be a good way to go. Back SDSU against the spread in a combination with other selections.

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Our Game Prediction

San Diego State -5.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

New Mexico 73 - 82 San Diego State

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a huge payout by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Aztecs to achieve a 82-73 victory and hopefully this goes close.

New Mexico vs San Diego State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 72% probability of winning this college game, San Diego State might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -263 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, New Mexico are trading at +210.

The spread is 5.5 and the total points line is currently 148.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. The Over 148.5 selection is available to back at -115.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball matchups, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

New Mexico

+210

SDSU

-263

Point Spread

New Mexico +5.5

-115

SDSU -5.5

-105

Total Points

Under 148.5

-105

Over 148.5

-115

There is regularly betting value to be found from wagering on the player props with the best online gambling sites. You can find lots of ways to back for or against a specific player lining up for one of the two teams.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico Stats

San Diego State Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 145.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 141.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 148.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 148.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.80 pts and allowed 62.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.90 pts and allowed 69.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 149.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 160.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 148.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 148.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.20 pts and allowed 67.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.70 pts and allowed 71.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mountain West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Utah State	15-2	1450	1151	299	8-0	7-2	1L
New Mexico	14-3	1373	1126	247	11-0	3-3	4W
San Diego State	12-4	1311	1149	162	8-2	4-2	6W
Nevada	13-5	1376	1288	88	9-3	4-2	1W
Grand Canyon	11-6	1281	1172	109	9-4	2-2	1W
Wyoming	11-6	1401	1237	164	9-2	2-4	2L
Boise State	11-7	1393	1338	55	8-5	3-2	2W
Colorado State	11-7	1415	1301	114	7-4	4-3	2L
UNLV	8-9	1342	1309	33	5-4	3-5	1W
Fresno State	8-9	1242	1203	39	7-5	1-4	1W
San Jose State	6-12	1289	1361	-72	6-6	0-6	1L
Air Force	3-15	1120	1366	-246	3-10	0-5	11L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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