New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: New Mexico vs San Diego State

The New Mexico Lobos face the San Diego State Aztecs, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Saturday, January 17.

Our prediction is for San Diego State to cover the attractive -5.5 line when they face New Mexico. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -105 is available on the spread.

New Mexico Lobos won their previous game which was at home. It was a 87-64 triumph against Grand Canyon Antelopes.

San Diego State Aztecs triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Wyoming Cowboys were beaten 74-57.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 73-65 win for San Diego State when they last played New Mexico. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved San Diego State winning six times.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
New Mexico	23-10	2658	2337	321	16-3	7-7	1L
San Diego State	22-11	2580	2342	238	16-3	6-8	1L

View Full Standings

New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction & Picks

This expert New Mexico vs San Diego State betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score pick and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Our best pick is that San Diego State will gain the upper hand in this college game. This leads us to back the favorites against the spread at -105, with the -5.5 line offering plenty of appeal.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our college hoops analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our basketball picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key New Mexico vs San Diego State stats:

• The -5.5 line has been covered by SDSU in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by SDSU in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by SDSU in 2 consecutive games.

SDSU -5.5 Probability

If you go by the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be a good way to go. Back SDSU against the spread in a combination with other selections.

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Our Game Prediction

San Diego State -5.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 17, 18:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

New Mexico 73 - 82 San Diego State

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a huge payout by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Aztecs to achieve a 82-73 victory and hopefully this goes close.

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New Mexico vs San Diego State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 72% probability of winning this college game, San Diego State might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -263 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, New Mexico are trading at +210.

The spread is 5.5 and the total points line is currently 148.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. The Over 148.5 selection is available to back at -115.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball matchups, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

UNM

+210

SDSU

-263

Point Spread

UNM +5.5

-115

SDSU -5.5

-105

Total Points

Under 148.5

-105

Over 148.5

-115

There is regularly betting value to be found from wagering on the player props with the best online gambling sites. You can find lots of ways to back for or against a specific player lining up for one of the two teams.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico Stats

San Diego State Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 149.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 150.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 150.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 77.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.20 pts and allowed 70.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 148.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 149.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 150.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 150.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.00 pts and allowed 71.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.20 pts and allowed 70.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mountain West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Utah State	29-5	2816	2382	434	19-0	10-5	4W
New Mexico	23-10	2658	2337	321	16-3	7-7	1L
San Diego State	22-11	2580	2342	238	16-3	6-8	1L
Boise State	21-11	2512	2351	161	13-7	8-4	1L
Nevada	22-12	2582	2434	148	17-3	5-9	1L
Colorado State	21-12	2510	2347	163	13-6	8-6	1L
Grand Canyon	20-12	2420	2197	223	14-7	6-5	1L
Wyoming	18-14	2467	2335	132	14-4	4-10	1L
UNLV	15-18	2610	2613	-3	10-7	5-11	1L
Fresno State	13-19	2331	2330	1	11-8	2-11	2L
San Jose State	9-24	2376	2591	-215	7-11	2-13	1L
Air Force	3-29	1969	2556	-587	3-16	0-13	25L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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