New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: New Mexico State vs Liberty

The New Mexico State battle the Liberty Flames, with tip-off scheduled for 18:00 on Thursday, January 15.

We’re forecasting that New Mexico State and Liberty will produce a significant combined points total. Therefore, our prediction is to take the -115 that there are Over 141.5 points.

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New Mexico State lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 59-55.

Liberty Flames won their last game 82-74. This was a road victory against Sam Houston Bearkats.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 64-54 in favor of Liberty when they last played NM State. Liberty have enjoyed three consecutive wins against NM State. They’ve landed 3 victories from the past 4 head-to-head meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	13-3	1292	1084	208	8-1	5-2	7W
New Mexico State	9-6	1144	1022	122	8-2	1-4	1L

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New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction & Picks

Take on New Mexico State vs Liberty with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

The total line looks to be on the low side at 141.5. There’s a strong chance that the college rivals will conspire to go above the line and we’re backing Over at -115.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the college hoops form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key New Mexico State vs Liberty stats:

• The 141.5 line has been covered in the last 4 NM State games on the road.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 NM State games.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 NM State games.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Liberty games at home.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Liberty games at home.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Liberty games.

Over 141.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you want to go Over on the Totals at larger odds, then you can combine this pick with other selections in a Bet Builder until you’re happy with the price.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 141.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

NM State 69 - 80 Liberty

There are stacks of correct score lines on offer and we’re looking at the Flames to achieve a winning scoreline of 80-69 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

New Mexico State vs Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The favorites are 82% likely to win according to the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds, with Liberty priced at -455 to triumph in this college game. New Mexico State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +340.

The spread currently stands at 8.5 and the total points line is 141.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you want to back Over 141.5, it’s -115.

If you’re betting on college basketball, it’s a good idea to visit the best sportsbooks and browse the wide range of game lines and team props available. You’ll have the option to place wagers both pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

NM State

+340

Liberty

-455

Point Spread

NM State +8.5

-114

Liberty -8.5

-106

Total Points

Under 141.5

-105

Over 141.5

-115

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to wager on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Steals, Blocks and Rebounds as potential options.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico State Stats

Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 148.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 138.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 141.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 141.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.30 pts and allowed 70.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 69.10 pts and allowed 68.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 146.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 150.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 141.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 141.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.00 pts and allowed 69.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.80 pts and allowed 63.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	13-3	1292	1084	208	8-1	5-2	7W
Western Kentucky	11-6	1383	1283	100	9-2	2-4	2W
Kennesaw State	11-6	1512	1309	203	9-1	2-5	3W
New Mexico State	9-6	1144	1022	122	8-2	1-4	1L
Middle Tennessee	10-7	1271	1169	102	8-2	2-5	1L
Missouri State	10-7	1279	1221	58	9-2	1-5	1L
Louisiana Tech	10-7	1158	1025	133	10-1	0-6	2W
Sam Houston	10-7	1438	1271	167	5-1	5-6	1W
FIU	9-8	1443	1333	110	9-2	0-6	3L
Jacksonville State	8-9	1250	1134	116	6-5	2-4	2L
UTEP	5-11	1117	1161	-44	5-4	0-7	1L
Delaware	5-11	1054	1132	-78	4-6	1-5	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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