New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: New Mexico State vs Liberty

The New Mexico State battle the Liberty Flames, with tip-off scheduled for 18:00 on Thursday, January 15.

We’re forecasting that New Mexico State and Liberty will produce a significant combined points total. Therefore, our prediction is to take the -115 that there are Over 141.5 points.

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New Mexico State lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 59-55.

Liberty Flames won their last game 82-74. This was a road victory against Sam Houston Bearkats.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 64-54 in favor of Liberty when they last played NM State. Liberty have enjoyed three consecutive wins against NM State. They’ve landed 3 victories from the past 4 head-to-head meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	20-3	1823	1554	269	12-1	8-2	14W
New Mexico State	11-12	1742	1631	111	8-5	3-7	1L

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New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction & Picks

Take on New Mexico State vs Liberty with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

The total line looks to be on the low side at 141.5. There’s a strong chance that the college rivals will conspire to go above the line and we’re backing Over at -115.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the college hoops form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key New Mexico State vs Liberty stats:

• The 141.5 line has been covered in the last 4 NM State games on the road.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 NM State games.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 NM State games.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Liberty games at home.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Liberty games at home.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Liberty games.

Over 141.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you want to go Over on the Totals at larger odds, then you can combine this pick with other selections in a Bet Builder until you’re happy with the price.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 141.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (22:55, 14 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

NM State 69 - 80 Liberty

There are stacks of correct score lines on offer and we’re looking at the Flames to achieve a winning scoreline of 80-69 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

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New Mexico State vs Liberty Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favorites are 84% likely to win according to the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds, with Liberty priced at -526 to triumph in this college game. New Mexico State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +385.

The spread currently stands at 8.5 and the total points line is 143.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you want to back Over 143.5, it’s -105.

If you’re betting on college basketball, it’s a good idea to visit the best sportsbooks and browse the wide range of game lines and team props available. You’ll have the option to place wagers both pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

NM State

+385

Liberty

-526

Point Spread

NM State +8.5

-102

Liberty -8.5

-120

Total Points

Under 143.5

-115

Over 143.5

-105

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to wager on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Steals, Blocks and Rebounds as potential options.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico State Stats

Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 148.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 138.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 141.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 141.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.30 pts and allowed 70.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 69.10 pts and allowed 68.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 146.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 150.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 141.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 141.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.00 pts and allowed 69.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.80 pts and allowed 63.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	20-3	1823	1554	269	12-1	8-2	14W
Sam Houston	16-8	1991	1770	221	9-1	7-7	1L
Kennesaw State	14-9	1962	1748	214	11-1	3-8	1L
Jacksonville State	13-10	1682	1524	158	9-5	4-5	2W
Missouri State	13-10	1733	1669	64	10-3	3-7	1L
Louisiana Tech	13-10	1586	1457	129	12-2	1-8	1W
Western Kentucky	13-11	1855	1786	69	10-5	3-6	1W
Middle Tennessee	11-12	1716	1654	62	9-5	2-7	5L
FIU	11-12	1896	1812	84	9-4	2-8	1L
New Mexico State	11-12	1742	1631	111	8-5	3-7	1L
UTEP	9-15	1682	1731	-49	8-6	1-9	1W
Delaware	7-16	1528	1663	-135	5-9	2-7	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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