New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: New Mexico State vs Sam Houston

The New Mexico State face the Sam Houston Bearkats, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Wednesday, March 11.

It’s time to go for Sam Houston against the spread, especially with an attractive -5.5 line at -105. Our prediction is that this can be comfortably achieved in their meeting with New Mexico State.

New Mexico State triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Jacksonville State Gamecocks were beaten 68-63.

Sam Houston Bearkats were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 79-72 reverse against Liberty Flames.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 87-78 in favor of NM State when they last played Sam Houston. The past 7 clashes between these teams have seen five Sam Houston wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Sam Houston	21-10	2572	2307	265	13-1	8-9	2L
New Mexico State	16-15	2342	2234	108	11-6	5-9	3W

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New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Prediction & Picks

We’ve got your New Mexico State vs Sam Houston bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score recommendation and a hand-picked bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Don’t miss out on the chance to side with Sam Houston on the spread at -5.5. On the face of it, this seems a generous line and odds of -105 can be backed for this college contest.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant college hoops stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball picks.

Key New Mexico State vs Sam Houston stats:

• The -5.5 line has been covered by Sam Houston in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Sam Houston in 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Sam Houston in 5 of their last 7 games against NM State.

Sam Houston -5.5 Probability

If you go by the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

There’s often the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky bet but smaller odds.

Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.

Our Game Prediction

Sam Houston -5.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

NM State 75 - 83 Sam Houston

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. the Kats to claim a 83-75 victory is on offer at huge betting odds.

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New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 69% probability of winning this college game, Sam Houston might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -227 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that New Mexico State are least likely to win at +188.

5.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 153.5 right now. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to back Over 153.5, it’s -115.

The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

NM State

+188

Sam Houston

-227

Point Spread

NM State +5.5

-115

Sam Houston -5.5

-105

Total Points

Under 153.5

-105

Over 153.5

-115

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Points, Assists, Steals and Blocks.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico State Stats

Sam Houston Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 153.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.00 pts and allowed 75.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.50 pts and allowed 77.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 152.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 153.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.20 pts and allowed 75.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.10 pts and allowed 71.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	25-6	2432	2176	256	14-3	11-3	1W
Sam Houston	21-10	2572	2307	265	13-1	8-9	2L
Louisiana Tech	18-13	2166	2004	162	14-3	4-10	2W
Western Kentucky	18-13	2450	2340	110	13-5	5-8	2L
Kennesaw State	18-13	2588	2367	221	14-3	4-10	2L
Middle Tennessee	17-14	2345	2249	96	12-5	5-9	5W
New Mexico State	16-15	2342	2234	108	11-6	5-9	3W
Jacksonville State	15-17	2325	2188	137	10-9	5-8	1L
Missouri State	15-17	2408	2364	44	11-7	4-10	1W
FIU	15-17	2580	2492	88	12-7	3-10	1L
UTEP	11-20	2149	2244	-95	9-8	2-12	1L
Delaware	10-21	2098	2293	-195	6-11	4-10	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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