New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Aug 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Liberty vs Sun

The Liberty battle the Sun in this WNBA matchup at Mohegan Sun Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 19:30 on Friday, August 1. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Side With the Underdogs

We don’t think the Sun will be heavily beaten against the Liberty. Our prediction is to take them at an appealing +11, with betting odds of -110 available.

8 Liberty Wins in Previous 10 H2H Encounters

New York Liberty were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 100-93 reverse against Minnesota Lynx at Target Center.

Connecticut Sun lost when they last took to the court. At Mohegan Sun Arena, they were turned over 101-85 at home to Seattle Storm.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Liberty won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 100-52 victory was registered against the Sun at Barclays Center. The Liberty have triumphed in eight of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L

View Full Standings

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction & Picks

We’ll take a chance on the underdogs and back Sun with a +11 start. They should be able to cover the spread in this WNBA contest at odds of -110.

Our expert WNBA handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our analysis.

Key Liberty vs Sun stats:

• The +11 line has been covered by Sun in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +11 line has been covered by Sun in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -11 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 8 consecutive games on the road.
• The -11 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -11 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The +11 line has been covered by Sun in 8 of their last 10 games against Liberty.

Sun +11 Probability

Looking at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

As a betting alternative, you can choose to buy or sell points when it comes to your spread pick. Buy if you want a safer wager and sell to get more juice from the line.

Best Bet

Sun +11 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tina Charles Over 15.5 Points -100

Tina Charles (Sun) can be backed to record Over 15.5 points at -100. We’ll place a bet that she is able to cover an appealing total for this Player Points wager.

Latest Tina Charles Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-110

Under 15.5

-118

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-167

Under 5.5

+128

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Marina Mabrey Under 3.5 Rebounds +115

Marina Mabrey (Sun) is available at +115 to rack up Under 3.5 rebounds. It stands to reason that she will fall short of the line which looks generous for this Player Rebounds bet.

Latest Marina Mabrey Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-118

Assists

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+120

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Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 91 - 84 Sun

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a monster return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Liberty to claim a 91-84 victory and hopefully this goes close.

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Liberty Big Favorites

The favorites are 89% likely to win according to the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds, with New York Liberty priced at -833 to triumph in this WNBA game. Connecticut Sun are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +520.

There is a spread of 12 and total points has a line of 172. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you’re wanting to back Over 172, the odds are -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on women's hoops, the top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many alternatives.

Moneyline

Liberty

-833

Sun

+520

Point Spread

Liberty -12

-110

Sun +12

-110

Total Points

Under 172

-110

Over 172

-110

Sabrina Ionescu Favorite to Get Most Points

Sabrina Ionescu is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can get -115 that she scores Over 21.5 points or -112 that she goes Under.

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 21.5

-115

Under 21.5

-112

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 15.5

-123

Under 15.5

-104

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 15.5

-110

Under 15.5

-118

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-118

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 10.5

-143

Under 10.5

+110

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-105

Marine Johannes (Liberty)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-108

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-130

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 6.5

-127

Under 6.5

-102

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+149

Under 3.5

-196

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 9.5

-119

Under 9.5

-109

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 5.5

+126

Under 5.5

-164

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 5.5

-167

Under 5.5

+128

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 4.5

+132

Under 4.5

-172

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-106

Under 4.5

-122

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+120

Micro Betting

An increasing number of basketball bettors are now enjoying micro betting and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Liberty Stats

Connecticut Sun Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 170.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 169.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.70 pts and allowed 83.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.80 pts and allowed 87.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 165.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 163.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 169.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.80 pts and allowed 85.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.60 pts and allowed 82.90 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W