New Zealand Breakers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 05 Feb 2026

NBL Betting Preview: New Zealand Breakers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix

New Zealand Breakers host South East Melbourne Phoenix, with tip-off set for 01:30 on Thursday 5 February.

Our betting prediction is for South East Melbourne to cover the generous -8.5 line when they clash with New Zealand. They should be able to win by a more comfortable margin and odds of -108 are available on the spread.

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New Zealand Breakers were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 91-89 loss against Tasmania JackJumpers.

South East Melbourne Phoenix won their previous game by a 97-77 scoreline. It was on the road against Adelaide 36ers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 123-116 in favor of South East Melbourne when they last played New Zealand. It’s been five victories on the bounce for South East Melbourne when playing New Zealand. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  SEM Phoenix	20	9	2911	2665	246	10-4	10-5	1W
7  NZ Breakers	11	18	2629	2673	-44	5-8	6-10	1L

View Full Standings

New Zealand Breakers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on New Zealand Breakers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

It’s time to go for South East Melbourne against the spread, especially with an appealing -8.5 line at odds of -108. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can achieve a comfortable victory in this NBL contest.

The first port of call for our NBL experts is to check out the team news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key New Zealand vs South East Melbourne league stats:

• The -8.5 line has been covered by SEM Phoenix in 3 of their last 5 games.

Phoenix -8.5 Probability

The top basketball betting sites make it a 51.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There’s the option to move the line for your spread pick and this enables bettors to get bigger odds. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.

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Our Game Prediction

SEM Phoenix -8.5 @ -108 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (05:54, 04 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

NZ Breakers 93 - 106 SEM Phoenix

There’s a massive payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with SEM Phoenix to claim a 106-93 victory which will hopefully go close.

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New Zealand Breakers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have South East Melbourne Phoenix at -357 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 78% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. The market suggests that New Zealand Breakers are least likely to win at +270.

The spread is calculated to be 8.5, while total points comes in at 196.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re wanting to back Over 196.5, the odds are -110.

Basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every NBL contest. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

NZ Breakers

+270

SEM Phoenix

-357

Point Spread

NZ Breakers +8.5

-115

SEM Phoenix -8.5

-108

Total Points

Under 196.5

-112

Over 196.5

-110

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Turnovers, Steals, Blocks and Points, while there are lots of other options.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on the NBL and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

New Zealand Breakers Stats

SEM Phoenix Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 192.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 178.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 194.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 194.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 93.60 pts and allowed 98.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.90 pts and allowed 90.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 207.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 192.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 194.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 194.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 107.90 pts and allowed 99.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 100.70 pts and allowed 92.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Enjoy NBL live streaming on your mobile, laptop or tablet. It’s great to watch the latest games through your online sportsbook account, with customers able to access high definition streams.

The leading betting apps stream many of the latest events across a wide range of sports and leagues.

New Zealand Breakers vs SEM Phoenix Live Stream Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

NBL Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Adelaide 36ers	21	8	2690	2539	151	11-5	10-3	1L
2  Sydney Kings	20	9	2823	2536	287	12-4	8-5	7W
3  SEM Phoenix	20	9	2911	2665	246	10-4	10-5	1W
4  Melbourne United	18	11	2690	2542	148	10-4	8-7	1L
5  Perth Wildcats	18	11	2634	2505	129	7-7	11-4	2W
6  JackJumpers	13	17	2585	2591	-6	5-9	8-8	1W
7  NZ Breakers	11	18	2629	2673	-44	5-8	6-10	1L
8  Illawarra Hawks	10	18	2582	2719	-137	6-8	4-10	2L
9  Cairns Taipans	8	21	2420	2820	-400	4-12	4-9	1L
10  Brisbane Bullets	6	23	2416	2790	-374	2-12	4-11	9L

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