Ukraine vs Sweden Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Mar 2026
World Cup Play-Off Betting Preview: Ukraine vs Sweden
Ukraine go head-to-head with Sweden in this World Cup play-off semi-final, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Thursday 26 March. A neutral venue has been selected, with the match taking place at the Estadi Ciutat de Valencia in Spain.
We’ll back Ukraine +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and split our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they clash with Sweden. A victory delivers a nice payout at -139 although a draw would still mean a return.
Ukraine, who played all their group-stage home games on neutral ground, booked their place in this play-off semi-final after finishing second in Group D, six points behind France but ahead of Iceland and Azerbaijan.
The Ukrainians secured a 2-0 win over Iceland in a World Cup qualifier at the Polish Army Stadium in Warsaw last time out. Sergiy Rebrov's men managed six shots on target and had 51% possession, with Oleksandr Zubkov and Oleksiy Hutsuliak each scoring one goal.
Sweden, who finished bottom of Group B behind Switzerland, Slovenia and Kosovo, qualified for this play-off based on their UEFA Nations League performances. The Swedes, who scored only four goals in six group-stage games, are without Liverpool striker Alexander Isak for this clash.
Graham Potter's team come into this semi-final after a 1-1 home draw with Slovenia in a World Cup qualifier at the Strawberry Arena. They had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 61% possession and two shots on goal, with Gustav Lundgren finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Ukraine edged Sweden 2-1 after extra time when they last met at Hampden Park in the Euro 2020 Round of 16, with the game level at 1-1 after 90 minutes.
| Europe World Cup Qualification | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sweden |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4:12 | 2 |
| 2 | Ukraine |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10:11 | 10 |
5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. Ukraine have had 46.3% possession and 3.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.7 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts, while being awarded 5.4 corners.
Top goalscorer Oleksiy Hutsuliak has found the net 4 times, Ruslan Malinovsky 3, with Oleksandr Zubkov and two other players on 1. Oleksiy Hutsuliak is the leading assists maker with 2, while goalie Anatoliy Trubin has one clean sheet.
Sweden have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 11.9 attempts, 5.6 shots on goal and 1.7 goals. The Blue and Yellow average 56.9% possession, 6.7 corners in their favour and 3.2 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts.
Viktor Gyoekeres has scored 6, followed by Yasin Ayari, Dejan Kulusevski and Sebastian Nanasi with 2 goals apiece. Viktor Gyoekeres has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 4.
Confirmed Lineups
Ukraine confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Anatoliy Trubin (GK), Oleksandr Tymchyk, Ilya Zabarnyi, Valeriy Bondar, Vitaliy Mykolenko, Ivan Kaliuzhnyi, Viktor Tsigankov, Yehor Yarmoliuk, Georgiy Sudakov, Oleksandr Zubkov, Vladyslav Vanat.
Sweden confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Kristoffer Nordfeldt (GK), Gustaf Lagerbielke, Isak Hien, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Herman Johansson, Yasin Ayari, Jesper Karlstroem, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Anthony Elanga, Benjamin Nygren, Viktor Gyoekeres.
Ukraine vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips
We dive into the best Ukraine vs Sweden betting angles, including a key match prediction, our corners pick, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.
Match Prediction
Back Ukraine with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -139 for this World Cup qualifying clash. We’re sweet on their chances of outperforming the match winner odds and this bet is a value proposition.
The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a World Cup qualifying verdict is reached.
Key Ukraine vs Sweden stats:
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 58.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you’re looking to move the line, then you have a dual option of either buying or selling goals. It’s a case of assuming a position based on your view and attitude to risk.
Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
An exciting bet could be a 1-0 victory in favor of Ukraine at odds of +650. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Nazar Voloshyn (Ukraine) can be wagered to be on the scoresheet at +340. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Sweden have been awarded an average of 6.70 corners in the past 10 games, while the corner count against Ukraine has been more than 4.5 in the last two matches. The Sweden Team Corners line looks attractive and we’re going to take the -122 that it’s covered.
Ukraine
Sweden
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a same-game multi with three options: Ukraine with an Asian Handicap of +0.25, no more than two goals to be registered accompanied by Sweden to finish with over 4.5 corners.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Ukraine vs Sweden Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Sweden are available at +125 to come away with a triumph in this World Cup qualifying clash, meaning a 44% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +235 about Ukraine.
Sweden and Ukraine can be backed at -182 and +125 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.
When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -132.
There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to World Cup qualifying games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.
Viktor Gyökeres is priced at +290 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +110 to find the net anytime.
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. D: 16/11 Ukraine 2 Iceland0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. D: 13/11 France 4 Ukraine0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. D: 13/10 Ukraine 2 Azerbaijan1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. D: 10/10 Iceland 3 Ukraine5
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. D: 09/09 Azerbaijan 1 Ukraine1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 18/11 Sweden 1 Slovenia1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 15/11 Switzerland 4 Sweden1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 13/10 Sweden 0 Kosovo1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 10/10 Sweden 0 Switzerland2
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 08/09 Kosovo 2 Sweden0
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Ukraine Stats
Sweden Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 3.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 2.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
Ukraine vs Sweden Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Ukraine vs Sweden team news before betting. We’ll deliver the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and the latest injury reports.
Ukraine Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Sweden Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Ukraine Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Sweden Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Ukraine Substitutes
- 1Ruslan Neshcheret
- 2Eduard Sarapiy
- 3B. Mykhaylychenko
- 4Oleksandr Svatok
- 6Nazar Voloshyn
- 7Oleksiy Hutsuliak
- 8O. Pikhalyonok
- 9Roman Yaremchuk
- 10Mykola Shaparenko
- 11Matviy Ponomarenko
- 14Oleg Ocheretko
- 23Dmytro Riznyk
Sweden Substitutes
- 1Noel Toernqvist
- 7Lucas Bergvall
- 8Daniel Svensson
- 9Gustaf Nilsson
- 12Melker Ellborg
- 13Eric Smith
- 14Roony Bardghji
- 15Carl Starfelt
- 19Mattias Svanberg
- 20Hugo Larsson
- 21Taha Abdi Ali
- 22Besfort Zeneli
Previous Ukraine Lineups
Previous Sweden Lineups
Ukraine Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Sergiy Rebrov
Sweden Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:13 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Sweden | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 11 |
| 3 | Greece | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 4 | Belarus | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 7 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 13 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Ireland | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Hungary | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 8 |
| 4 | Armenia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 4 | Malta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:19 | 5 |
| 5 | Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Bosnia and H. | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Romania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Cyprus | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 5 | San Marino | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2:39 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Israel | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19:20 | 12 |
| 4 | Estonia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | 4 |
| 5 | Moldova | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:32 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21:11 | 16 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 5 | Liechtenstein | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0:31 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22:0 | 24 |
| 2 | Albania | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Serbia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Latvia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 5 | Andorra | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:16 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:28 | 0 |
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