North Carolina vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: North Carolina vs Michigan State

The North Carolina Tar Heels square off against the Michigan State Spartans, with tip-off scheduled for 16:30 on Thursday, November 27.

There are good reasons for anticipating that the North Carolina and Michigan State points tally will be lower than the line. If you agree with our prediction of Under 150.5, you will find -110 available.

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Michigan State Spartans won their previous game 89-56. This was a road victory against East Carolina Pirates.

North Carolina Tar Heels won their last game, beating St. Bonaventure Bonnies at home. It was a 85-70 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Michigan State beat North Carolina when the teams last met. It was a 94-91 (OT) scoreline.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan State	6-0	484	373	111	4-0	2-0	6W
North Carolina	6-0	525	386	139	6-0	0-0	6W

View Full Standings

North Carolina vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

Our North Carolina vs Michigan State betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Game Prediction

The total line looks too big at 150.5 and we can take advantage. Go under this number at -110 and hope that there aren’t too many fireworks in this college game.

We put solid research behind every basketball pick, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key college hoops stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.

Key North Carolina vs Michigan State stats:

• The 150.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 UNC games on the road.
• The 150.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 UNC games.
• The 150.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 10 MSU games.
• The 150.5 line hasn’t been covered in 18 of the last 20 MSU games.

Under 150.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you’re wanting bigger odds for your Under wager, then there’s a way of changing the line and shooting for a lower points total in the hope of a better return.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 150.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

North Carolina 74 - 73 Michigan State

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll bet on the Tar Heels to secure a 74-73 win at huge odds and this correct score selection should hopefully be a fun one.

North Carolina vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Michigan State are red-hot -141 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 58% chance of winning this college game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, North Carolina are trading at +116.

1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 151.5 right now. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. Those that want to back Under 151.5 can find odds of -110 available.

The good news is that you’ll find a strong selection of game lines and team props for most college contests. The best basketball betting sites provide a wide range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

UNC

+116

MSU

-141

Point Spread

UNC +1.5

-102

MSU -1.5

-120

Total Points

Under 151.5

-110

Over 151.5

-110

The gambling sites will have player props available for each game. Check out the various betting odds and take a view on whether a player’s Total Points, Three-Pointers, Blocks or Steals will hit over or under a certain line.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Carolina Stats

Michigan State Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 148.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 151.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 150.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 150.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.30 pts and allowed 65.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.30 pts and allowed 74.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 141.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 150.5: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games
• Over 150.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.90 pts and allowed 63.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.00 pts and allowed 64.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Ohio State	6-0	555	404	151	6-0	0-0	6W
Indiana	6-0	527	381	146	6-0	0-0	6W
Iowa	6-0	525	382	143	6-0	0-0	6W
Michigan	6-0	555	412	143	4-0	2-0	6W
Michigan State	6-0	484	373	111	4-0	2-0	6W
Nebraska	7-0	606	498	108	7-0	0-0	7W
Purdue	6-0	519	414	105	5-0	1-0	6W
USC	7-0	643	543	100	5-0	2-0	7W
Penn State	6-1	571	495	76	5-1	1-0	1W
Illinois	6-1	662	488	174	6-1	0-0	2W
Northwestern	5-1	494	401	93	4-1	1-0	1W
Wisconsin	4-1	443	358	85	4-0	0-1	1L
Washington	4-1	427	360	67	3-0	1-1	2W
UCLA	5-2	539	442	97	5-1	0-1	1L
Maryland	5-2	546	534	12	4-1	1-1	1L
Minnesota	4-2	445	389	56	4-1	0-1	1L
Oregon	4-2	450	447	3	4-2	0-0	2L
Rutgers	4-3	494	476	18	4-1	0-2	3L

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	7-0	655	399	256	6-0	1-0	7W
Louisville	6-0	573	394	179	5-0	1-0	6W
North Carolina	6-0	525	386	139	6-0	0-0	6W
SMU	7-0	649	511	138	7-0	0-0	7W
Virginia Tech	6-0	527	428	99	5-0	1-0	6W
Clemson	6-1	590	454	136	5-0	1-1	3W
California	6-1	591	487	104	6-0	0-1	3W
Georgia Tech	5-1	437	381	56	5-0	0-1	2W
Virginia	5-1	519	404	115	4-0	1-1	1L
NC State	5-1	558	434	124	4-1	1-0	1W
Florida State	5-1	559	422	137	5-0	0-1	3W
Miami	5-1	553	386	167	5-0	0-1	2W
Stanford	4-1	419	358	61	4-1	0-0	1L
Wake Forest	5-2	613	502	111	4-0	1-2	2W
Notre Dame	5-3	603	538	65	5-0	0-3	1L
Syracuse	4-3	524	457	67	3-0	1-3	3L
Pittsburgh	4-3	505	466	39	4-1	0-2	2L
Boston College	4-4	564	525	39	3-3	1-1	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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