North Carolina vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Nov 2025
College Basketball Betting Preview: North Carolina vs Michigan State
The North Carolina Tar Heels square off against the Michigan State Spartans, with tip-off scheduled for 16:30 on Thursday, November 27.
There are good reasons for anticipating that the North Carolina and Michigan State points tally will be lower than the line. If you agree with our prediction of Under 150.5, you will find -110 available.
Michigan State Spartans won their previous game 89-56. This was a road victory against East Carolina Pirates.
North Carolina Tar Heels won their last game, beating St. Bonaventure Bonnies at home. It was a 85-70 win.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Michigan State beat North Carolina when the teams last met. It was a 94-91 (OT) scoreline.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan State
|
25-7 | 2526 | 2189 | 337 | 17-3 | 8-4 | 2L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
North Carolina vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks
We’ve lined up expert North Carolina vs Michigan State betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to player prop picks and best bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.
Game Prediction
The total line looks too big at 150.5 and we can take advantage. Go under this number at -110 and hope that there aren’t too many fireworks in this college game.
We put solid research behind every basketball pick, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key college hoops stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.
Key North Carolina vs Michigan State stats:
Under 150.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
If you’re wanting bigger odds for your Under wager, then there’s a way of changing the line and shooting for a lower points total in the hope of a better return.
Your next bet could start with a welcome bonus. Explore our expert guide to the newest sign-up and betting offers.
Player Prop Picks
Carson Cooper (Michigan State) is available at -115 to score Under 9.5 points. According to our experts, the Players Points total looks too high and we think he will fall short.
Latest Carson Cooper Player Prop Odds
Caleb Wilson (North Carolina) can be backed to score Under 20.5 points at -110. Should you agree with our verdict that he doesn’t reach this total, you can go under the line.
Latest Caleb Wilson Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Under 152.5. We’ve also gone for North Carolina +1.5 and Carson Cooper (Michigan State) to score Under 9.5 points.
A basketball same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big payout from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
74
-
73
Michigan State
A close game could be on the cards. We’ll bet on the Tar Heels to secure a 74-73 win at huge odds and this correct score selection should hopefully be a fun one.
North Carolina vs Michigan State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
According to the Moneyline betting odds, Michigan State are red-hot -118 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 54% chance of winning this college game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, North Carolina are trading at -102.
1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 152.5 right now. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. Those that want to back Under 152.5 can find odds of -105 available.
The good news is that you’ll find a strong selection of game lines and team props for most college contests. The best basketball betting sites provide a wide range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.
In terms of scoring most points, favorite Caleb Wilson is available at -115 to rack up Over 20.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -110 is available.
There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
North Carolina Stats
Michigan State Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 148.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 151.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 150.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 150.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.30 pts and allowed 65.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.30 pts and allowed 74.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 141.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 141.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 150.5: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games
- Over 150.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.90 pts and allowed 63.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.00 pts and allowed 64.90 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Big Ten | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan
|
31-3 | 2952 | 2353 | 599 | 19-2 | 12-1 | 1L |
Nebraska
|
26-6 | 2473 | 2119 | 354 | 19-3 | 7-3 | 1L |
|
Michigan State
|
25-7 | 2526 | 2189 | 337 | 17-3 | 8-4 | 2L |
Purdue
|
27-8 | 2858 | 2455 | 403 | 16-5 | 11-3 | 4W |
Illinois
|
24-8 | 2700 | 2234 | 466 | 15-6 | 9-2 | 1L |
Wisconsin
|
24-10 | 2822 | 2581 | 241 | 16-2 | 8-8 | 1L |
UCLA
|
23-11 | 2643 | 2414 | 229 | 18-3 | 5-8 | 1L |
Ohio State
|
21-12 | 2633 | 2402 | 231 | 15-5 | 6-7 | 1L |
Iowa
|
21-12 | 2482 | 2177 | 305 | 17-3 | 4-9 | 1L |
Indiana
|
18-14 | 2501 | 2309 | 192 | 15-6 | 3-8 | 2L |
USC
|
18-14 | 2515 | 2494 | 21 | 11-7 | 7-7 | 8L |
Washington
|
16-17 | 2545 | 2430 | 115 | 11-6 | 5-11 | 1L |
Minnesota
|
15-17 | 2241 | 2193 | 48 | 13-8 | 2-9 | 1L |
Northwestern
|
15-19 | 2487 | 2447 | 40 | 11-9 | 4-10 | 1L |
Rutgers
|
14-19 | 2329 | 2479 | -150 | 11-7 | 3-12 | 1L |
Oregon
|
12-20 | 2267 | 2366 | -99 | 10-10 | 2-10 | 1L |
Penn State
|
12-20 | 2358 | 2539 | -181 | 10-10 | 2-10 | 3L |
Maryland
|
12-21 | 2300 | 2527 | -227 | 9-8 | 3-13 | 1L |
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
|
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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