North Carolina vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: North Carolina vs Virginia

The North Carolina Tar Heels go up against the Virginia Cavaliers, with tip-off scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, January 24.

We’re bullish about Virginia on the spread at -6.5. They should be able to win by a comfortable margin against North Carolina and you can get -120.

Think our spread prediction is solid? Grab the best BetMGM promo code and read our full sportsbook review before placing your wager.

North Carolina Tar Heels previous game saw them claim a 91-69 home win over Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Virginia Cavaliers got the win in their last game. A 72-68 triumph occurred on the road when meeting SMU Mustangs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

North Carolina have beaten Virginia in their last two matchups. On the road, they won 54-44 and followed up with a 81-66 home win. Each team has landed five wins in the previous 10 games between the sides.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Virginia	16-2	1512	1207	305	11-0	5-2	5W
North Carolina	15-4	1566	1321	245	13-0	2-4	1W

View Full Standings

North Carolina vs Virginia Prediction & Picks

The North Carolina vs Virginia betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Virginia should secure a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward in this college matchup. Back this selection off -6.5 to cover the line at odds of -120.

The basketball picks at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every college hoops pick.

Key North Carolina vs Virginia stats:

• The -6.5 line has been covered by Virginia in 11 consecutive games at home.
• The -6.5 line has been covered by Virginia in 14 of their last 20 games.

UVA -6.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the selection you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

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Our Game Prediction

Virginia -6.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

North Carolina 73 - 82 Virginia

There’s a huge payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with the Cavs to claim a 82-73 win which will hopefully go close.

North Carolina vs Virginia Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With a 78% chance of securing victory, Virginia are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -345. At +270, North Carolina are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 6.5 and total points is 149.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you want to back Over 149.5, it’s -110.

The good news is that you’ll find a strong selection of game lines and team props for most college contests. The best basketball betting sites provide a wide range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

UNC

+270

Virginia

-345

Point Spread

UNC +6.5

-102

Virginia -6.5

-120

Total Points

Under 149.5

-110

Over 149.5

-110

Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Carolina Stats

Virginia Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 150.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 149.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 149.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.50 pts and allowed 73.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.50 pts and allowed 75.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 150.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 149.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 149.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.10 pts and allowed 66.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.90 pts and allowed 63.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	17-1	1539	1171	368	10-0	7-1	6W
Virginia	16-2	1512	1207	305	11-0	5-2	5W
Clemson	16-4	1542	1305	237	12-1	4-3	1L
Miami	15-4	1614	1310	304	11-2	4-2	2L
North Carolina	15-4	1566	1321	245	13-0	2-4	1W
Virginia Tech	15-5	1640	1481	159	12-1	3-4	2W
SMU	14-5	1662	1460	202	12-1	2-4	1W
Stanford	14-5	1453	1371	82	9-4	5-1	1L
California	14-5	1497	1339	158	14-2	0-3	1W
Louisville	13-5	1583	1252	331	9-2	4-3	1W
NC State	13-6	1625	1365	260	9-4	4-2	1W
Syracuse	12-7	1437	1294	143	9-3	3-4	2L
Wake Forest	11-8	1538	1441	97	8-4	3-4	1L
Georgia Tech	11-8	1436	1388	48	10-4	1-4	1W
Notre Dame	10-9	1390	1338	52	8-3	2-6	5L
Boston College	9-10	1300	1295	5	8-6	1-4	2W
Pittsburgh	8-11	1381	1344	37	6-6	2-5	2L
Florida State	8-11	1546	1527	19	7-6	1-5	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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