North Carolina vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: North Carolina vs Virginia

The North Carolina Tar Heels go up against the Virginia Cavaliers, with tip-off scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, January 24.

We’re bullish about Virginia on the spread at -6.5. They should be able to win by a comfortable margin against North Carolina and you can get -120.

North Carolina Tar Heels previous game saw them claim a 91-69 home win over Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Virginia Cavaliers got the win in their last game. A 72-68 triumph occurred on the road when meeting SMU Mustangs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

North Carolina have beaten Virginia in their last two matchups. On the road, they won 54-44 and followed up with a 81-66 home win. Each team has landed five wins in the previous 10 games between the sides.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L

View Full Standings

North Carolina vs Virginia Prediction & Picks

Take on North Carolina vs Virginia with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

Virginia should secure a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward in this college matchup. Back this selection off -6.5 to cover the line at odds of -120.

The basketball picks at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every college hoops pick.

Key North Carolina vs Virginia stats:

• The -6.5 line has been covered by Virginia in 11 consecutive games at home.
• The -6.5 line has been covered by Virginia in 14 of their last 20 games.

UVA -6.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the selection you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Get more from your bets—review the most up-to-date betting promo codes and sign-up offers in our exclusive bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction

Virginia -6.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 23, 16:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Malik Thomas Under 4.5 Rebounds +115

Malik Thomas (Virginia) can be backed to register Under 4.5 rebounds at +115. There’s every chance that he will go Under as we’re confident he’ll fail to cover the Player Rebounds line.

Latest Malik Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-105

Under 14.5

-120

Assists

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-105

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+115

---

Sam Lewis Over 1.5 Assists -130

Sam Lewis (Virginia) can be backed to rack up Over 1.5 assists at -130. We’re happy to wager that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists bet making appeal.

Latest Sam Lewis Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-125

Assists

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

North Carolina 73 - 82 Virginia

There’s a huge payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with the Cavs to claim a 82-73 win which will hopefully go close.

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North Carolina vs Virginia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 78% chance of securing victory, Virginia are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -345. At +270, North Carolina are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 6.5 and total points is 150.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you want to back Over 150.5, it’s -110.

The good news is that you’ll find a strong selection of game lines and team props for most college contests. The best basketball betting sites provide a wide range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

UNC

+270

Virginia

-345

Point Spread

UNC +6.5

-102

Virginia -6.5

-120

Total Points

Under 150.5

-110

Over 150.5

-110

The favorite to land the most baskets is Caleb Wilson. Odds of -105 can be found for him scoring Over 18.5 points and there is -120 for him to go Under.

Caleb Wilson (UNC)

Over 18.5

-105

Under 18.5

-120

Malik Thomas (Virginia)

Over 14.5

-105

Under 14.5

-120

Henri Veesaar (UNC)

Over 14.5

-100

Under 14.5

-130

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 12.5

-130

Under 12.5

-100

Sam Lewis (Virginia)

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-125

Caleb Wilson (UNC)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-105

Malik Thomas (Virginia)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-105

Henri Veesaar (UNC)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-145

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+140

Sam Lewis (Virginia)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-100

Caleb Wilson (UNC)

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-116

Henri Veesaar (UNC)

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-100

Malik Thomas (Virginia)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+115

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-110

Sam Lewis (Virginia)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+115

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Carolina Stats

Virginia Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 150.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 149.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 149.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.50 pts and allowed 73.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.50 pts and allowed 75.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 150.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 149.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 149.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.10 pts and allowed 66.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.90 pts and allowed 63.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	32-2	2798	2147	651	21-0	11-2	11W
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L
Miami	25-8	2704	2349	355	16-4	9-4	1L
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L
Clemson	24-10	2521	2269	252	16-3	8-7	1L
Louisville	23-10	2797	2382	415	16-2	7-8	1L
California	21-11	2492	2344	148	17-4	4-7	2L
Stanford	20-12	2431	2326	105	12-7	8-5	1L
NC State	20-13	2762	2525	237	13-7	7-6	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L
Virginia Tech	19-13	2521	2396	125	15-4	4-9	2L
Florida State	18-15	2652	2572	80	12-8	6-7	1L
Wake Forest	17-16	2602	2543	59	12-6	5-10	1L
Syracuse	15-17	2400	2376	24	12-6	3-11	6L
Notre Dame	13-18	2308	2335	-27	11-7	2-11	2L
Pittsburgh	13-20	2327	2370	-43	8-10	5-10	1L
Boston College	11-20	2090	2191	-101	10-10	1-10	1W
Georgia Tech	11-20	2287	2400	-113	10-10	1-10	12L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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