Oklahoma City Thunder
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Denver Nuggets
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Thunder vs Nuggets

The Oklahoma City Thunder hit the hardwood against the Denver Nuggets in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Will Points Be at a Premium?

Betting on the totals provides plenty of value at -106. The line is set at 227.5 and we’d be surprised if the Thunder and the Nuggets’ combined points total exceeds that amount.

Like our Totals selection? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code, then check out our review before placing your bet.

Thunder 125-93 Winners in Last H2H Matchup

Oklahoma City Thunder were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Target Center. Minnesota Timberwolves claimed a 123-111 win. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander tallied 30 points, while Chet Holmgren put up 15 and Cason Wallace 13.

Denver Nuggets made it back-to-back wins in their last game. Landing a 122-109 home victory against LA Clippers at Ball Arena. Nikola Jokic recorded 31 points and 12 rebounds, with Tim Hardaway Jr. scoring 22 points and Peyton Watson 21.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Thunder claim a 125-93 win over the Nuggets at Paycom Center. The H2H over the past 10 games have seen five wins for both teams.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder logo Thunder 38 11 0.776 120.3 108 12.3 21-5 17-6 7-3 29-7 6-4 1L
Nuggets logo Nuggets 33 16 0.673 120.1 115.6 4.5 14-9 19-7 4-1 19-8 7-3 2W
View Full Standings
Oklahoma City Thunder – Last 10 Games

The Thunder have 6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 116.2 points, 42.6 rebounds, 24.4 assists, 7.8 steals and 7.0 blocks while shooting 49.4% from the field and 81.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 106.7 points and 48.5 rebounds per contest.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.2 points and 5.6 assists, while Chet Holmgren averages 9.7 rebounds and Isaiah Joe 2.2 (40.0%) 3-pointers made.

Denver Nuggets – Last 10 Games

The Nuggets have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 110.0 points, 39.5 rebounds, 24.9 assists, 6.6 steals and 4.6 blocks per game while shooting 47.0% from the field and 80.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 108.3 points and 46.6 rebounds.

Jamal Murray is averaging 24.9 points and 6.3 assists, while Zeke Nnaji has an average of 4.8 rebounds and Tim Hardaway Jr. 3.2 (39.0%) 3-pointers made.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

Your complete Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Game Prediction

The -106 for Under 227.5 points to be scored in this NBA game looks like great value. Our pick is that the teams might not collectively reach this total.

Our expert NBA handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Key Thunder vs Nuggets stats:

  • The 227.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Thunder games.
  • The 227.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Nuggets games.
  • The 227.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Nuggets games.
  • The 227.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 games between these teams.

Under 227.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under wager on the Totals with other picks in a Bet Builder. This is popular way of betting on multiple outcomes in a single game.

Don’t miss out. Explore our guide for the latest welcome bonuses and free bet offers with fresh betting promo codes.

Our Game Prediction
Under 227.5 Points @ -106 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (01:56, 01 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 01:56, 01 February 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jamal Murray Over 3.5 Rebounds -135 BetMGM logo

Jamal Murray (Nuggets) has racked up Over 3.5 rebounds in 4 straight games. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this line making appeal at odds of -135.

Latest Jamal Murray Player Prop Odds


Peyton Watson Under 5.5 Rebounds -154 BetMGM logo

Peyton Watson (Nuggets) has totaled Under 5.5 rebounds in 7 of the past 9 games. Using this stat, we can take odds of -154 that this player prop bet falls short of the Shots on Goal line.

Latest Peyton Watson Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 227.5
Spread Thunder -5
Player Rebounds Jamal Murray Over 3.5

Our same game parlay pick is Under 227.5, Thunder -5 on the spread and Jamal Murray (Nuggets) to have Over 3.5 rebounds.

There are lots of options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Thunder Thunder logo 116 - 106 Nuggets logo Nuggets

The Thunder are capable of landing a victory and we’re going for a correct score line of 116-106 at huge odds. There’s a big return that can be achieved with this wager.

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Giving Thunder Plenty of Respect

Oklahoma City Thunder have the shortest price to win this NBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 68% probability due to their -208 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Denver Nuggets, you will find +176 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 5 and the total points line is 227.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 227.5, there are odds of -114.

NBA fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Betting Lines & Odds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get Most Points

The favorite to hit the most buckets is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Odds of -110 can be found for him scoring Over 32.5 points and there is -118 for him to go Under.

Player Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 32.5
-110
Under 32.5
-118
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Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 25.5
-119
Under 25.5
-109
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Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 22.5
-114
Under 22.5
-114
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Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 17.5
-109
Under 17.5
-119
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Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 8.5
+103
Under 8.5
-133
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 7.5
+113
Under 7.5
-147
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Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 6.5
-105
Under 6.5
-123
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Jaylin Williams (Thunder)
Over 3.5
+128
Under 3.5
-167
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Player Rebounds
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 12.5
-100
Under 12.5
-130
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Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 8.5
-130
Under 8.5
+101
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Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)
Over 6.5
-135
Under 6.5
+104
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Peyton Watson (Nuggets)
Over 5.5
+128
Under 5.5
-167
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Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Ball Arena
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Nuggets Have Six Wins in Their Last Ten Home Games

The Nuggets own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 112.30 points on offense and surrendering 112.50 on defense.

The Thunder have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 117.00 points on offense and surrendering 110.20 on defense.

In their most recent matchup at Ball Arena, the Nuggets got the better of the Thunder 119-107. In the past 10 head-to-head meetings at Ball Arena, the Thunder have won six while the Nuggets have four victories.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O227.5 U227.5
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Home Stats 6-4 224.80 112.30 112.50 4 6
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Away Stats 5-5 227.20 117.00 110.20 5 5
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O227.5 = Games Over 227.5 Points
  • U227.5 = Games Under 227.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Stats
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 47 33.43 1504 292 32.0 6.2 1.8 4.4 0.8 1.3
Jalen Williams 25 29.38 416 139 16.6 5.6 0.9 4.7 0.4 1.3
Chet Holmgren 43 29.31 766 70 17.8 1.6 1.3 8.6 2.0 0.6

Denver Nuggets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jamal Murray 44 35.47 1135 325 25.8 7.4 3.3 4.3 0.3 1.0
Nikola Jokic 33 34.26 979 356 29.7 10.8 2.1 12.1 0.7 1.4
Cameron Johnson 28 30.61 327 66 11.7 2.4 1.9 3.5 0.3 0.6

Injuries & Suspensions

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Denver Nuggets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Oklahoma City Thunder Lineups

29 Jan NBA
Thunder 111-123 Timberwolves
27 Jan NBA
Pelicans 95-104 Thunder
25 Jan NBA
Raptors 103-101 Thunder
23 Jan NBA
Pacers 117-114 Thunder
21 Jan NBA
Thunder 122-102 Bucks
19 Jan NBA
Thunder 136-104 Cavaliers
17 Jan NBA
Thunder 120-122 Heat
15 Jan NBA
Thunder 111-91 Rockets
13 Jan NBA
Spurs 98-119 Thunder
11 Jan NBA
Heat 112-124 Thunder

Previous Denver Nuggets Lineups

30 Jan NBA
Clippers 109-122 Nuggets
29 Jan NBA
Nets 103-107 Nuggets
27 Jan NBA
Pistons 109-107 Nuggets
23 Jan NBA
Nuggets 102-100 Bucks
22 Jan NBA
Nuggets 107-97 Wizards
20 Jan NBA
Lakers 115-107 Nuggets
18 Jan NBA
Hornets 110-87 Nuggets
17 Jan NBA
Wizards 115-121 Nuggets
14 Jan NBA
Nuggets 118-109 Mavericks
13 Jan NBA
Nuggets 122-116 Pelicans

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Knicks 30 18 0.625 117.7 112.3 5.4 19-6 11-12 8-3 21-11 6-4 5W
Celtics 30 18 0.625 116.3 109.7 6.6 15-8 15-10 7-4 21-12 6-4 1W
Raptors 29 21 0.58 113.7 112.4 1.3 13-11 16-10 4-9 22-14 5-5 2L
76ers 26 21 0.553 116.5 115.8 0.7 14-13 12-8 8-5 19-17 5-5 2W
Nets 13 34 0.277 107.7 114.4 -6.7 6-17 7-17 3-9 9-19 2-8 1W
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 35 12 0.745 117.1 110.4 6.7 19-5 16-7 8-3 22-6 7-3 1W
Cavaliers 29 21 0.58 119.1 116.3 2.8 17-11 12-10 7-3 19-13 7-3 1L
Bulls 23 25 0.479 117.6 119.7 -2.1 15-11 8-14 3-8 15-17 5-5 3L
Bucks 18 28 0.391 111.8 115.8 -4 9-12 9-16 5-4 14-16 2-8 4L
Pacers 12 36 0.25 110.3 118.3 -8 9-16 3-20 3-8 8-24 5-5 1W
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 25 22 0.532 115.7 115.7 0 15-9 10-13 6-5 17-17 5-5 2W
Heat 26 23 0.531 119.8 118.2 1.6 15-8 11-15 3-4 13-13 6-4 1W
Hawks 24 26 0.48 117.1 118.1 -1 9-14 15-12 4-3 12-17 5-5 1L
Hornets 22 28 0.44 116.2 114.6 1.6 10-13 12-15 6-4 14-19 8-2 6W
Wizards 12 35 0.255 112.2 122.7 -10.5 8-16 4-19 2-5 8-19 2-8 1L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 38 11 0.776 120.3 108 12.3 21-5 17-6 7-3 29-7 6-4 1L
Nuggets 33 16 0.673 120.1 115.6 4.5 14-9 19-7 4-1 19-8 7-3 2W
Timberwolves 30 19 0.612 119 114.1 4.9 17-8 13-11 5-5 17-14 5-5 3W
Trail Blazers 23 26 0.469 115.1 117.6 -2.5 13-11 10-15 4-4 18-14 4-6 4L
Jazz 15 34 0.306 118.4 127.4 -9 10-17 5-17 1-8 9-24 1-9 5L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 29 18 0.617 116.5 116.4 0.1 12-8 17-10 4-6 20-12 6-4 1W
Suns 30 19 0.612 114.2 111.3 2.9 17-6 13-13 8-4 20-13 6-4 3W
Warriors 27 23 0.54 116.7 114 2.7 17-8 10-15 5-3 17-14 6-4 1L
Clippers 22 25 0.468 112.6 113 -0.4 13-9 9-16 5-4 12-15 8-2 1L
Kings 12 38 0.24 110.1 120.5 -10.4 9-16 3-22 2-7 8-25 2-8 8L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 32 16 0.667 117 112.1 4.9 16-6 16-10 8-3 19-13 5-5 1L
Rockets 29 17 0.63 116.1 110 6.1 16-4 13-13 5-5 16-15 7-3 1W
Mavericks 19 29 0.396 114.2 116.7 -2.5 14-14 5-15 3-6 11-20 5-5 3L
Grizzlies 18 28 0.391 114.6 116.3 -1.7 10-14 8-14 5-6 14-16 2-8 5L
Pelicans 13 37 0.26 114.4 120.9 -6.5 8-19 5-18 6-7 7-26 4-6 1W
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 35 12 0.745 117.1 110.4 6.7 19-5 16-7 8-3 22-6 7-3 1W
Knicks 30 18 0.625 117.7 112.3 5.4 19-6 11-12 8-3 21-11 6-4 5W
Celtics 30 18 0.625 116.3 109.7 6.6 15-8 15-10 7-4 21-12 6-4 1W
Raptors 29 21 0.58 113.7 112.4 1.3 13-11 16-10 4-9 22-14 5-5 2L
Cavaliers 29 21 0.58 119.1 116.3 2.8 17-11 12-10 7-3 19-13 7-3 1L
76ers 26 21 0.553 116.5 115.8 0.7 14-13 12-8 8-5 19-17 5-5 2W
Magic 25 22 0.532 115.7 115.7 0 15-9 10-13 6-5 17-17 5-5 2W
Heat 26 23 0.531 119.8 118.2 1.6 15-8 11-15 3-4 13-13 6-4 1W
Hawks 24 26 0.48 117.1 118.1 -1 9-14 15-12 4-3 12-17 5-5 1L
Bulls 23 25 0.479 117.6 119.7 -2.1 15-11 8-14 3-8 15-17 5-5 3L
Hornets 22 28 0.44 116.2 114.6 1.6 10-13 12-15 6-4 14-19 8-2 6W
Bucks 18 28 0.391 111.8 115.8 -4 9-12 9-16 5-4 14-16 2-8 4L
Nets 13 34 0.277 107.7 114.4 -6.7 6-17 7-17 3-9 9-19 2-8 1W
Wizards 12 35 0.255 112.2 122.7 -10.5 8-16 4-19 2-5 8-19 2-8 1L
Pacers 12 36 0.25 110.3 118.3 -8 9-16 3-20 3-8 8-24 5-5 1W
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 38 11 0.776 120.3 108 12.3 21-5 17-6 7-3 29-7 6-4 1L
Spurs 32 16 0.667 117 112.1 4.9 16-6 16-10 8-3 19-13 5-5 1L
Nuggets 33 16 0.673 120.1 115.6 4.5 14-9 19-7 4-1 19-8 7-3 2W
Rockets 29 17 0.63 116.1 110 6.1 16-4 13-13 5-5 16-15 7-3 1W
Lakers 29 18 0.617 116.5 116.4 0.1 12-8 17-10 4-6 20-12 6-4 1W
Suns 30 19 0.612 114.2 111.3 2.9 17-6 13-13 8-4 20-13 6-4 3W
Timberwolves 30 19 0.612 119 114.1 4.9 17-8 13-11 5-5 17-14 5-5 3W
Warriors 27 23 0.54 116.7 114 2.7 17-8 10-15 5-3 17-14 6-4 1L
Trail Blazers 23 26 0.469 115.1 117.6 -2.5 13-11 10-15 4-4 18-14 4-6 4L
Clippers 22 25 0.468 112.6 113 -0.4 13-9 9-16 5-4 12-15 8-2 1L
Mavericks 19 29 0.396 114.2 116.7 -2.5 14-14 5-15 3-6 11-20 5-5 3L
Grizzlies 18 28 0.391 114.6 116.3 -1.7 10-14 8-14 5-6 14-16 2-8 5L
Jazz 15 34 0.306 118.4 127.4 -9 10-17 5-17 1-8 9-24 1-9 5L
Pelicans 13 37 0.26 114.4 120.9 -6.5 8-19 5-18 6-7 7-26 4-6 1W
Kings 12 38 0.24 110.1 120.5 -10.4 9-16 3-22 2-7 8-25 2-8 8L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 38 11 0.776 120.3 108 12.3 21-5 17-6 7-3 29-7 6-4 1L
Pistons 35 12 0.745 117.1 110.4 6.7 19-5 16-7 8-3 22-6 7-3 1W
Nuggets 33 16 0.673 120.1 115.6 4.5 14-9 19-7 4-1 19-8 7-3 2W
Spurs 32 16 0.667 117 112.1 4.9 16-6 16-10 8-3 19-13 5-5 1L
Rockets 29 17 0.63 116.1 110 6.1 16-4 13-13 5-5 16-15 7-3 1W
Celtics 30 18 0.625 116.3 109.7 6.6 15-8 15-10 7-4 21-12 6-4 1W
Knicks 30 18 0.625 117.7 112.3 5.4 19-6 11-12 8-3 21-11 6-4 5W
Lakers 29 18 0.617 116.5 116.4 0.1 12-8 17-10 4-6 20-12 6-4 1W
Timberwolves 30 19 0.612 119 114.1 4.9 17-8 13-11 5-5 17-14 5-5 3W
Suns 30 19 0.612 114.2 111.3 2.9 17-6 13-13 8-4 20-13 6-4 3W
Cavaliers 29 21 0.58 119.1 116.3 2.8 17-11 12-10 7-3 19-13 7-3 1L
Raptors 29 21 0.58 113.7 112.4 1.3 13-11 16-10 4-9 22-14 5-5 2L
76ers 26 21 0.553 116.5 115.8 0.7 14-13 12-8 8-5 19-17 5-5 2W
Warriors 27 23 0.54 116.7 114 2.7 17-8 10-15 5-3 17-14 6-4 1L
Magic 25 22 0.532 115.7 115.7 0 15-9 10-13 6-5 17-17 5-5 2W
Heat 26 23 0.531 119.8 118.2 1.6 15-8 11-15 3-4 13-13 6-4 1W
Hawks 24 26 0.48 117.1 118.1 -1 9-14 15-12 4-3 12-17 5-5 1L
Bulls 23 25 0.479 117.6 119.7 -2.1 15-11 8-14 3-8 15-17 5-5 3L
Trail Blazers 23 26 0.469 115.1 117.6 -2.5 13-11 10-15 4-4 18-14 4-6 4L
Clippers 22 25 0.468 112.6 113 -0.4 13-9 9-16 5-4 12-15 8-2 1L
Hornets 22 28 0.44 116.2 114.6 1.6 10-13 12-15 6-4 14-19 8-2 6W
Mavericks 19 29 0.396 114.2 116.7 -2.5 14-14 5-15 3-6 11-20 5-5 3L
Grizzlies 18 28 0.391 114.6 116.3 -1.7 10-14 8-14 5-6 14-16 2-8 5L
Bucks 18 28 0.391 111.8 115.8 -4 9-12 9-16 5-4 14-16 2-8 4L
Jazz 15 34 0.306 118.4 127.4 -9 10-17 5-17 1-8 9-24 1-9 5L
Nets 13 34 0.277 107.7 114.4 -6.7 6-17 7-17 3-9 9-19 2-8 1W
Pelicans 13 37 0.26 114.4 120.9 -6.5 8-19 5-18 6-7 7-26 4-6 1W
Wizards 12 35 0.255 112.2 122.7 -10.5 8-16 4-19 2-5 8-19 2-8 1L
Pacers 12 36 0.25 110.3 118.3 -8 9-16 3-20 3-8 8-24 5-5 1W
Kings 12 38 0.24 110.1 120.5 -10.4 9-16 3-22 2-7 8-25 2-8 8L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak