Oklahoma City Thunder
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Milwaukee Bucks
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Thunder vs Bucks

The Oklahoma City Thunder hit the hardwood against the Milwaukee Bucks in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Thunder Against the Spread Look the Best Bet

The Thunder can cover the -9.5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -110 to overcome the Bucks.

Sticking with our spread lean? Read what we think of BetMGM in our in-depth review, then grab the latest promo code to make your bet go further.

7 of Last 10 Matchups Have Been Bucks Wins

Oklahoma City Thunder got the win in their previous game. A 136-104 triumph occurred on the road at Rocket Arena when playing Cleveland Cavaliers. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander poured in 30 points, with Chet Holmgren contributing 28 and Luguentz Dort adding 18.

Milwaukee Bucks won last time out by a 112-110 scoreline. It was on the road against Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena. Giannis Antetokounmpo racked up 21 points and 17 rebounds, while Bobby Portis scored 19 points and A.J. Green 18.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Thunder have won the last two meetings against the Bucks. They triumphed 125-96 at Paycom Center and then 121-105 at Fiserv Forum. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Bucks winning seven times.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder logo Thunder 36 8 0.818 121.4 108 13.4 20-3 16-5 7-2 28-6 7-3 1W
Bucks logo Bucks 18 24 0.429 112.4 115.6 -3.2 9-10 9-14 5-4 14-14 5-5 1W
View Full Standings
Oklahoma City Thunder – Last 10 Games

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Thunder are averaging 118.9 points, 41.7 rebounds, 25.1 assists, 9.1 steals and 7.3 blocks while shooting 48.4% from the field and 80.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 109.4 points and 50.5 rebounds per contest.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 27.4 points, Chet Holmgren 9.0 rebounds and Jalen Williams 5.1 assists, while Aaron Wiggins averages 1.8 (39.1%) 3-pointers made.

Milwaukee Bucks – Last 10 Games

The Bucks have won 5 and lost 5 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 111.4 points, 40.3 rebounds, 26.5 assists, 6.6 steals and 4.2 blocks per game while shooting 47.8% from the field and 75.5% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 114.3 points and 44.4 rebounds.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 27.7 points and 9.4 rebounds, Kevin Porter Jr. 7.5 assists and A.J. Green 2.8 (38.9%) 3-pointers.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Picks

Get ahead of the game with our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re backing Thunder against the spread in this NBA matchup. It could be shrewd to wager the favorites to cover the attractive -9.5 line, with odds of -110 on offer.

Our basketball picks are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest NBA team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.

Key Thunder vs Bucks stats:

  • The -9.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The -9.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
  • The +9.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bucks in 2 consecutive games against Thunder.

Thunder -9.5 Probability

Looking at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There are bigger odds available to bettors who are prepared to move the line. By taking on more risk, you are able to get more juice from your selections as a result.

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Our Game Prediction
Thunder -9.5 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (01:55, 21 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 01:55, 21 January 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ryan Rollins Under 13.5 Points -104 BetMGM logo

Ryan Rollins (Bucks) has averaged 8.6 points in the past 5 games. It therefore follows that he might fall short on Player Points and you can get -104 that he doesn’t cover the line.

Latest Ryan Rollins Player Prop Odds

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 6.5 Assists +107 BetMGM logo

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) has totaled Under 6.5 assists in 7 of the past 9 games. He might fall short when it comes to covering the Player Assists line and you can get +107 for this prop bet.

Latest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Thunder -9.5
Totals Over 226.5
Player Points Ryan Rollins Under 13.5

Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Thunder to cover the -9.5 spread, Over 226.5 on the total and Ryan Rollins (Bucks) to score Under 13.5 points.

The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same basketball game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored wager on the contest which interests them most.

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder Thunder logo 122 - 108 Bucks logo Bucks

We’re going for the Thunder to achieve a 122-108 win and the good news is that there are massive odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Running Scared of Thunder Win

With the sportsbooks giving them a 78% probability of winning this NBA game, Oklahoma City Thunder might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -357 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Milwaukee Bucks, you will find +290 about the underdogs.

The spread is calculated to be 9.5, while total points comes in at 226.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 226.5, the odds are -114.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game, the top sportsbooks let you feast on hundreds of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, offering an incredible range of options.

Betting Lines & Odds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Points

In terms of scoring most points, favorite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is available at -108 to rack up Over 31.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -119 is available.

Player Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 31.5
-108
Under 31.5
-119
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Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
Over 28.5
-110
Under 28.5
-116
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Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 17.5
-112
Under 17.5
-114
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Player Assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 6.5
-141
Under 6.5
+107
BetMGM Logo
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
Over 5.5
+114
Under 5.5
-152
BetMGM Logo
Ryan Rollins (Bucks)
Over 5.5
+110
Under 5.5
-145
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Jaylin Williams (Thunder)
Over 3.5
+134
Under 3.5
-179
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
Over 10.5
-104
Under 10.5
-127
BetMGM Logo
Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 9.5
-101
Under 9.5
-130
BetMGM Logo
Jaylin Williams (Thunder)
Over 5.5
-103
Under 5.5
-128
BetMGM Logo
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 4.5
-145
Under 4.5
+110
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Bucks Stand on Six Losses From Past Ten Home Games

The Bucks have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games at home, putting up 111.10 points on average and giving up 115.40.

The Thunder have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games on the road, putting up 119.20 points per contest and giving up 109.00.

The Thunder beat the Bucks 116-112 when the teams last met at Fiserv Forum. In the last 9 head-to-head games at Fiserv Forum, the Bucks have notched six victories, with the Thunder posting three.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O225.5 U225.5
Milwaukee Bucks logo Milwaukee Bucks Home Stats 4-6 226.50 111.10 115.40 4 6
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Away Stats 6-4 228.20 119.20 109.00 6 4
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O225.5 = Games Over 225.5 Points
  • U225.5 = Games Under 225.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Stats
Milwaukee Bucks logo Milwaukee Bucks Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 42 33.35 1334 259 31.8 6.2 1.9 4.3 0.8 1.3
Jalen Williams 25 29.38 416 139 16.6 5.6 0.9 4.7 0.4 1.3
Chet Holmgren 38 29.03 685 60 18.0 1.6 1.4 8.4 2.0 0.6

Milwaukee Bucks Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Kevin Porter Jr. 23 33.63 386 171 16.8 7.4 1.7 5.0 0.4 2.1
Ryan Rollins 42 31.57 679 230 16.2 5.5 2.2 4.5 0.4 1.5
A.J. Green 39 29.48 405 79 10.4 2.0 3.0 2.6 0.1 0.6

Injuries & Suspensions

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Milwaukee Bucks Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Oklahoma City Thunder Lineups

19 Jan NBA
Thunder 136-104 Cavaliers
17 Jan NBA
Thunder 120-122 Heat
15 Jan NBA
Thunder 111-91 Rockets
13 Jan NBA
Spurs 98-119 Thunder
11 Jan NBA
Heat 112-124 Thunder
09 Jan NBA
Thunder 117-116 Grizzlies
07 Jan NBA
Jazz 125-129 Thunder
05 Jan NBA
Hornets 124-97 Thunder
04 Jan NBA
Thunder 105-108 Suns
02 Jan NBA
Thunder 131-94 Warriors

Previous Milwaukee Bucks Lineups

19 Jan NBA
Bucks 112-110 Hawks
15 Jan NBA
Bucks 101-119 Spurs
13 Jan NBA
Timberwolves 139-106 Bucks
11 Jan NBA
Bucks 104-108 Nuggets
09 Jan NBA
Bucks 105-101 Lakers
07 Jan NBA
Bucks 113-120 Warriors
04 Jan NBA
Bucks 115-98 Kings
02 Jan NBA
Hornets 121-122 Bucks
31 Dec NBA
Wizards 114-113 Bucks
29 Dec NBA
Bucks 123-113 Hornets

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 26 16 0.619 116.7 110 6.7 12-7 14-9 6-4 19-10 6-4 1L
Knicks 25 18 0.581 117.9 114.9 3 16-6 9-12 5-3 18-11 2-8 4L
Raptors 26 19 0.578 114.2 112.6 1.6 13-10 13-9 4-8 22-12 6-4 1W
76ers 23 19 0.548 116.5 115.4 1.1 11-12 12-7 8-4 18-15 5-5 1L
Nets 12 29 0.293 109 114.3 -5.3 6-16 6-13 3-7 9-17 2-8 2L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 31 10 0.756 117.3 110.1 7.2 18-4 13-6 8-3 22-6 7-3 3W
Cavaliers 24 20 0.545 119.6 117.8 1.8 14-11 10-9 7-3 16-13 6-4 1L
Bulls 21 22 0.488 117.9 120 -2.1 14-9 7-13 3-7 14-15 5-5 2W
Bucks 18 24 0.429 112.4 115.6 -3.2 9-10 9-14 5-4 14-14 5-5 1W
Pacers 10 34 0.227 110.1 118.3 -8.2 8-16 2-18 2-8 7-22 4-6 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 23 19 0.548 116.1 115.2 0.9 14-7 9-12 5-4 15-14 5-5 1L
Heat 23 21 0.523 119.5 118.3 1.2 15-7 8-14 3-3 12-12 4-6 1W
Hawks 20 25 0.444 117.5 119 -1.5 7-13 13-12 4-3 10-17 4-6 4L
Hornets 16 27 0.372 116.4 116.4 0 7-12 9-15 4-4 11-18 5-5 1W
Wizards 10 32 0.238 112.5 123.6 -11.1 6-14 4-18 2-4 7-18 2-8 7L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 36 8 0.818 121.4 108 13.4 20-3 16-5 7-2 28-6 7-3 1W
Nuggets 29 15 0.659 121.4 117 4.4 12-8 17-7 4-1 18-8 6-4 2L
Timberwolves 27 17 0.614 120.1 115 5.1 15-6 12-11 4-5 14-13 6-4 3L
Trail Blazers 22 22 0.5 116.3 118.2 -1.9 12-10 10-12 4-4 18-14 8-2 3W
Jazz 15 29 0.341 119.3 127.4 -8.1 10-12 5-17 1-8 9-21 3-7 1W
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 26 16 0.619 116.3 116.5 -0.2 12-8 14-8 4-5 19-11 5-5 2W
Suns 27 17 0.614 114.7 111.8 2.9 14-5 13-12 8-4 20-13 7-3 3W
Warriors 25 20 0.556 116.9 114 2.9 17-7 8-13 5-3 15-12 7-3 1L
Clippers 19 24 0.442 112.3 113.8 -1.5 11-9 8-15 4-4 10-14 7-3 1L
Kings 12 32 0.273 110.8 120.7 -9.9 9-15 3-17 2-7 8-25 4-6 2L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 30 14 0.682 117.7 112.6 5.1 16-5 14-9 7-2 17-12 5-5 1L
Rockets 26 15 0.634 117 110.5 6.5 15-3 11-12 4-4 15-14 5-5 3W
Grizzlies 18 23 0.439 115.1 116 -0.9 10-11 8-12 5-3 14-13 3-7 1W
Mavericks 18 26 0.409 114.2 116.6 -2.4 13-11 5-15 3-6 10-18 6-4 3W
Pelicans 10 35 0.222 114.9 122.2 -7.3 7-18 3-17 3-7 4-25 2-8 2L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 31 10 0.756 117.3 110.1 7.2 18-4 13-6 8-3 22-6 7-3 3W
Celtics 26 16 0.619 116.7 110 6.7 12-7 14-9 6-4 19-10 6-4 1L
Knicks 25 18 0.581 117.9 114.9 3 16-6 9-12 5-3 18-11 2-8 4L
Raptors 26 19 0.578 114.2 112.6 1.6 13-10 13-9 4-8 22-12 6-4 1W
76ers 23 19 0.548 116.5 115.4 1.1 11-12 12-7 8-4 18-15 5-5 1L
Magic 23 19 0.548 116.1 115.2 0.9 14-7 9-12 5-4 15-14 5-5 1L
Cavaliers 24 20 0.545 119.6 117.8 1.8 14-11 10-9 7-3 16-13 6-4 1L
Heat 23 21 0.523 119.5 118.3 1.2 15-7 8-14 3-3 12-12 4-6 1W
Bulls 21 22 0.488 117.9 120 -2.1 14-9 7-13 3-7 14-15 5-5 2W
Hawks 20 25 0.444 117.5 119 -1.5 7-13 13-12 4-3 10-17 4-6 4L
Bucks 18 24 0.429 112.4 115.6 -3.2 9-10 9-14 5-4 14-14 5-5 1W
Hornets 16 27 0.372 116.4 116.4 0 7-12 9-15 4-4 11-18 5-5 1W
Nets 12 29 0.293 109 114.3 -5.3 6-16 6-13 3-7 9-17 2-8 2L
Wizards 10 32 0.238 112.5 123.6 -11.1 6-14 4-18 2-4 7-18 2-8 7L
Pacers 10 34 0.227 110.1 118.3 -8.2 8-16 2-18 2-8 7-22 4-6 2L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 36 8 0.818 121.4 108 13.4 20-3 16-5 7-2 28-6 7-3 1W
Spurs 30 14 0.682 117.7 112.6 5.1 16-5 14-9 7-2 17-12 5-5 1L
Nuggets 29 15 0.659 121.4 117 4.4 12-8 17-7 4-1 18-8 6-4 2L
Rockets 26 15 0.634 117 110.5 6.5 15-3 11-12 4-4 15-14 5-5 3W
Lakers 26 16 0.619 116.3 116.5 -0.2 12-8 14-8 4-5 19-11 5-5 2W
Suns 27 17 0.614 114.7 111.8 2.9 14-5 13-12 8-4 20-13 7-3 3W
Timberwolves 27 17 0.614 120.1 115 5.1 15-6 12-11 4-5 14-13 6-4 3L
Warriors 25 20 0.556 116.9 114 2.9 17-7 8-13 5-3 15-12 7-3 1L
Trail Blazers 22 22 0.5 116.3 118.2 -1.9 12-10 10-12 4-4 18-14 8-2 3W
Clippers 19 24 0.442 112.3 113.8 -1.5 11-9 8-15 4-4 10-14 7-3 1L
Grizzlies 18 23 0.439 115.1 116 -0.9 10-11 8-12 5-3 14-13 3-7 1W
Mavericks 18 26 0.409 114.2 116.6 -2.4 13-11 5-15 3-6 10-18 6-4 3W
Jazz 15 29 0.341 119.3 127.4 -8.1 10-12 5-17 1-8 9-21 3-7 1W
Kings 12 32 0.273 110.8 120.7 -9.9 9-15 3-17 2-7 8-25 4-6 2L
Pelicans 10 35 0.222 114.9 122.2 -7.3 7-18 3-17 3-7 4-25 2-8 2L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 36 8 0.818 121.4 108 13.4 20-3 16-5 7-2 28-6 7-3 1W
Pistons 31 10 0.756 117.3 110.1 7.2 18-4 13-6 8-3 22-6 7-3 3W
Spurs 30 14 0.682 117.7 112.6 5.1 16-5 14-9 7-2 17-12 5-5 1L
Nuggets 29 15 0.659 121.4 117 4.4 12-8 17-7 4-1 18-8 6-4 2L
Rockets 26 15 0.634 117 110.5 6.5 15-3 11-12 4-4 15-14 5-5 3W
Celtics 26 16 0.619 116.7 110 6.7 12-7 14-9 6-4 19-10 6-4 1L
Lakers 26 16 0.619 116.3 116.5 -0.2 12-8 14-8 4-5 19-11 5-5 2W
Timberwolves 27 17 0.614 120.1 115 5.1 15-6 12-11 4-5 14-13 6-4 3L
Suns 27 17 0.614 114.7 111.8 2.9 14-5 13-12 8-4 20-13 7-3 3W
Knicks 25 18 0.581 117.9 114.9 3 16-6 9-12 5-3 18-11 2-8 4L
Raptors 26 19 0.578 114.2 112.6 1.6 13-10 13-9 4-8 22-12 6-4 1W
Warriors 25 20 0.556 116.9 114 2.9 17-7 8-13 5-3 15-12 7-3 1L
Magic 23 19 0.548 116.1 115.2 0.9 14-7 9-12 5-4 15-14 5-5 1L
76ers 23 19 0.548 116.5 115.4 1.1 11-12 12-7 8-4 18-15 5-5 1L
Cavaliers 24 20 0.545 119.6 117.8 1.8 14-11 10-9 7-3 16-13 6-4 1L
Heat 23 21 0.523 119.5 118.3 1.2 15-7 8-14 3-3 12-12 4-6 1W
Trail Blazers 22 22 0.5 116.3 118.2 -1.9 12-10 10-12 4-4 18-14 8-2 3W
Bulls 21 22 0.488 117.9 120 -2.1 14-9 7-13 3-7 14-15 5-5 2W
Hawks 20 25 0.444 117.5 119 -1.5 7-13 13-12 4-3 10-17 4-6 4L
Clippers 19 24 0.442 112.3 113.8 -1.5 11-9 8-15 4-4 10-14 7-3 1L
Grizzlies 18 23 0.439 115.1 116 -0.9 10-11 8-12 5-3 14-13 3-7 1W
Bucks 18 24 0.429 112.4 115.6 -3.2 9-10 9-14 5-4 14-14 5-5 1W
Mavericks 18 26 0.409 114.2 116.6 -2.4 13-11 5-15 3-6 10-18 6-4 3W
Hornets 16 27 0.372 116.4 116.4 0 7-12 9-15 4-4 11-18 5-5 1W
Jazz 15 29 0.341 119.3 127.4 -8.1 10-12 5-17 1-8 9-21 3-7 1W
Nets 12 29 0.293 109 114.3 -5.3 6-16 6-13 3-7 9-17 2-8 2L
Kings 12 32 0.273 110.8 120.7 -9.9 9-15 3-17 2-7 8-25 4-6 2L
Wizards 10 32 0.238 112.5 123.6 -11.1 6-14 4-18 2-4 7-18 2-8 7L
Pacers 10 34 0.227 110.1 118.3 -8.2 8-16 2-18 2-8 7-22 4-6 2L
Pelicans 10 35 0.222 114.9 122.2 -7.3 7-18 3-17 3-7 4-25 2-8 2L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak