Peñarol vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 21 Dec 2025

LNB Betting Preview: Peñarol vs Independiente

Peñarol host Independiente de Oliva, with tip-off set for 17:00 on Sunday 21 December.

Under 168.5 points looks like an attractive total wager. Peñarol and Independiente might not be able to reach this combined amount and we can profit with this selection at -118.

Peñarol won their last game, beating Atenas de Córdoba at home by a 87-67 scoreline.

Independiente de Oliva won their previous game which was at home. It was a 88-86 triumph against Racing de Chivilcoy.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Peñarol triumphed 99-74 when they last played Independiente. Peñarol have beaten Independiente in the past three meetings. They’ve also claimed 3 wins in the past 6 head-to-head meetings.

LNB	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Independiente	18	11	2515	2376	139	11-3	7-8	2L
11  Peñarol	15	14	2319	2327	-8	10-6	5-8	2L

View Full Standings

Peñarol vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Peñarol vs Independiente betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Game Prediction

The total line looks too big at 168.5 and we can take advantage. Go under this number at -118 and hope that there aren’t too many fireworks in this LNB matchup.

The latest team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing LNB picks. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we can make the best Argentine basketball predictions.

Key Peñarol vs Independiente league stats:

• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Peñarol games at home.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Peñarol games at home.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Peñarol games at home.

Under 168.5 Probability

According to the top betting apps, there’s a 54.1% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is why we think it’s worth placing this basketball wager.

If you’re wanting to go Under a certain points total but fancy bigger odds, the Match Result & Total lines could be an alternative. You need the two combinations to work in your favor.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 168.5 Points @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 20, 21:54). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Peñarol 84 - 79 Independiente

Peñarol might get the upper hand and it might be worth backing them to achieve a specific correct score. Try an outcome of 84-79 for a big possible return from your stake.

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Peñarol vs Independiente Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 78% chance of securing victory, Peñarol are favorites for this LNB game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -357. At +230, Independiente de Oliva are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 7.5 and the total points line is 168.5. A wager on the Totals allows bettors to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 168.5, this outcome can be backed at -118.

LNB fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup. Head to one of the leading betting sites and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Peñarol

-357

Independiente

+230

Point Spread

Peñarol -7.5

-118

Independiente +7.5

-118

Total Points

Under 168.5

-118

Over 168.5

-118

If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to LNB micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tends to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Peñarol Stats

Independiente Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 160.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 168.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 168.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.40 pts and allowed 79.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 82.20 pts and allowed 78.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 166.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 170.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 168.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 168.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.70 pts and allowed 81.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.90 pts and allowed 87.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

LNB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Quimsa	19	10	2388	2195	193	11-6	8-4	9W
2  Oberá	19	10	2362	2228	134	9-5	10-5	3W
3  Gimnasia	19	11	2441	2282	159	10-4	9-7	6W
4  Independiente	18	11	2515	2376	139	11-3	7-8	2L
5  Ferro	18	11	2452	2410	42	12-4	6-7	3L
6  La Unión	19	12	2530	2458	72	11-4	8-8	4W
7  Boca Juniors	17	12	2360	2242	118	10-4	7-8	7W
8  Obras	15	12	2199	2148	51	9-4	6-8	4L
9  Instituto	16	13	2221	2177	44	9-5	7-8	2W
10  Regatas	16	13	2242	2206	36	7-8	9-5	1L
11  Peñarol	15	14	2319	2327	-8	10-6	5-8	2L
12  San Martín	13	16	2171	2195	-24	10-5	3-11	1L
13  Unión	12	15	2221	2270	-49	7-6	5-9	1W
14  Olímpico	12	18	2365	2382	-17	9-7	3-11	1W
15  Platense	11	18	2390	2477	-87	7-8	4-10	1L
16  San Lorenzo	11	18	2316	2420	-104	8-6	3-12	2W
17  Chivilcoy	10	20	2349	2466	-117	5-8	5-12	1W
18  Atenas	9	19	2115	2260	-145	6-8	3-11	3L
19  Argentino	6	22	2064	2501	-437	2-11	4-11	2L

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