Peñarol vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 21 Dec 2025

LNB Betting Preview: Peñarol vs Independiente

Peñarol host Independiente de Oliva, with tip-off set for 16:00 on Sunday 21 December.

Under 168.5 points looks like an attractive total wager. Peñarol and Independiente might not be able to reach this combined amount and we can profit with this selection at -118.

Peñarol won their last game, beating Atenas de Córdoba at home by a 87-67 scoreline.

Independiente de Oliva won their previous game which was at home. It was a 88-86 triumph against Racing de Chivilcoy.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Peñarol triumphed 99-74 when they last played Independiente. Peñarol have beaten Independiente in the past three meetings. They’ve also claimed 3 wins in the past 6 head-to-head meetings.

LNB	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
9  Independiente	20	16	3143	3041	102	12-6	8-10	1L
11  Peñarol	19	17	2932	2930	2	12-6	7-11	1W

View Full Standings

Peñarol vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Peñarol vs Independiente betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Game Prediction

The total line looks too big at 168.5 and we can take advantage. Go under this number at -118 and hope that there aren’t too many fireworks in this LNB matchup.

The latest team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing LNB picks. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we can make the best Argentine basketball predictions.

Key Peñarol vs Independiente league stats:

• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Peñarol games at home.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Peñarol games at home.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Peñarol games at home.

Under 168.5 Probability

According to the top betting apps, there’s a 54.1% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is why we think it’s worth placing this basketball wager.

If you’re wanting to go Under a certain points total but fancy bigger odds, the Match Result & Total lines could be an alternative. You need the two combinations to work in your favor.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 168.5 Points @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 20, 20:54). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Peñarol 84 - 79 Independiente

Peñarol might get the upper hand and it might be worth backing them to achieve a specific correct score. Try an outcome of 84-79 for a big possible return from your stake.

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Peñarol vs Independiente Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 78% chance of securing victory, Peñarol are favorites for this LNB game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -357. At +230, Independiente de Oliva are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 7.5 and the total points line is 168.5. A wager on the Totals allows bettors to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 168.5, this outcome can be backed at -118.

LNB fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup. Head to one of the leading betting sites and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Peñarol

-357

Independiente

+230

Point Spread

Peñarol -7.5

-118

Independiente +7.5

-118

Total Points

Under 168.5

-118

Over 168.5

-118

If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to LNB micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tends to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Peñarol Stats

Independiente Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 160.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 168.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 168.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.40 pts and allowed 79.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 82.20 pts and allowed 78.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 166.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 170.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 168.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 168.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.70 pts and allowed 81.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.90 pts and allowed 87.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

LNB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Quimsa	24	12	3000	2752	248	12-6	12-6	4W
2  Gimnasia	24	12	2943	2755	188	13-5	11-7	1W
3  Regatas	23	13	2867	2743	124	10-8	13-5	7W
4  Oberá	23	13	2922	2773	149	11-7	12-6	1L
5  Boca Juniors	22	14	2932	2799	133	13-5	9-9	2W
6  Ferro	21	15	3013	2950	63	13-5	8-10	1L
7  Obras	21	15	2920	2846	74	13-5	8-10	1L
8  La Unión	20	16	2925	2889	36	12-6	8-10	1L
9  Independiente	20	16	3143	3041	102	12-6	8-10	1L
10  Instituto	20	16	2788	2722	66	11-7	9-9	2L
11  Peñarol	19	17	2932	2930	2	12-6	7-11	1W
12  San Martín	17	19	2710	2752	-42	12-6	5-13	1L
13  Olímpico	15	21	2850	2881	-31	11-7	4-14	2L
14  Chivilcoy	14	22	2858	2946	-88	9-9	5-13	1L
15  Unión	13	23	2933	3017	-84	8-10	5-13	1W
16  San Lorenzo	13	23	2832	2964	-132	10-8	3-15	5L
17  Platense	13	23	2962	3067	-105	8-10	5-13	2L
18  Atenas	13	23	2762	2924	-162	8-10	5-13	2W
19  Argentino	7	29	2660	3201	-541	3-15	4-14	2L

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