Penn State vs Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Feb 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Penn State vs Michigan
The Penn State Nittany Lions square off against the Michigan Wolverines, with tip-off scheduled for 18:30 on Thursday, February 5.
Our prediction is that Michigan will beat Penn State by a significant margin. With this in mind, let’s go for them on the spread at -25.5 which is currently available at odds of -110.
Following our spread pick? Secure the best BetMGM promo code and get the full breakdown in our expert site review ahead of making your move.
Penn State Nittany Lions won their previous game which was at home. It was a 77-75 triumph against Minnesota Golden Gophers.
Michigan Wolverines won last time out by a 83-71 scoreline. It was on the road against Michigan State Spartans.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Michigan have claimed victory in the last two matchups against Penn State. They won 76-72 at home and 74-72 on the road. The past 10 H2H clashes have seen both teams record five wins.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan
|
20-1 | 1900 | 1447 | 453 | 13-1 | 7-0 | 6W |
Penn State
|
10-12 | 1682 | 1724 | -42 | 9-7 | 1-5 | 1W |
Penn State vs Michigan Prediction & Picks
Get the edge with our best Penn State vs Michigan picks: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation and a ready-made bet builder. Explore each section below for detailed insights.
Game Prediction
If you agree with our prediction that Michigan can be superior in this college contest, you can get -110 for this selection against the spread. The favorites should be capable of covering the -25.5 line.
We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our college basketball handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.
Key Penn State vs Michigan stats:
Michigan -25.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% chance of this pick winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.
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Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Michigan -25.5 on the spread, Under 163.5 and at least one team not to score 80 points and Michigan to win on the Result & BTTS lines.
A same game parlay allows bettors to place a multiple wager on the same basketball game. You can go through the available betting lines and select the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each pick are then combined together.
Correct Score Prediction
Penn State vs Michigan Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Michigan have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -10000 favorites for this college game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 99% chance of winning. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +2500 about Penn State.
The spread currently stands at 24.5 and the total points line is 163.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 163.5 at -110.
Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a wide range of team props and game lines at the top basketball sportsbooks. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.
Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.
There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.
- NCAAB: 07/01 2026 Michigan 74 Penn State 72
- NCAAB: 28/01 2025 Penn State 72 Michigan 76
- NCAAB: 14/03 2024 Michigan 57 Penn State 66
- NCAAB: 07/01 2024 Michigan 73 Penn State 79
- NCAAB: 29/01 2023 Michigan 61 Penn State 83
- NCAAB: 05/01 2023 Penn State 69 Michigan 79
- NCAAB: 09/02 2022 Michigan 58 Penn State 57
- NCAAB: 13/12 2020 Penn State 58 Michigan 62
- NCAAB: 23/01 2020 Penn State 72 Michigan 63
- NCAAB: 13/02 2019 Michigan 69 Penn State 75
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Penn State Stats
Michigan Stats
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +25.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +25.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road
- -25.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -25.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 156.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 160.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 163.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 163.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.40 pts and allowed 82.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.80 pts and allowed 83.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 157.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 159.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 163.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 163.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.10 pts and allowed 72.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 92.40 pts and allowed 66.60 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Big Ten | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan
|
20-1 | 1900 | 1447 | 453 | 13-1 | 7-0 | 6W |
Nebraska
|
20-2 | 1759 | 1452 | 307 | 15-1 | 5-1 | 2L |
Illinois
|
20-3 | 1946 | 1545 | 401 | 13-3 | 7-0 | 12W |
Michigan State
|
19-4 | 1814 | 1493 | 321 | 13-2 | 6-2 | 2L |
Purdue
|
18-4 | 1840 | 1517 | 323 | 13-2 | 5-2 | 1W |
Iowa
|
16-5 | 1637 | 1323 | 314 | 13-1 | 3-4 | 4W |
USC
|
17-6 | 1873 | 1732 | 141 | 11-3 | 6-3 | 2W |
Wisconsin
|
16-6 | 1831 | 1651 | 180 | 12-2 | 4-4 | 2W |
UCLA
|
16-7 | 1815 | 1603 | 212 | 13-2 | 3-5 | 1W |
Ohio State
|
14-7 | 1726 | 1543 | 183 | 10-3 | 4-4 | 1L |
Indiana
|
15-8 | 1868 | 1633 | 235 | 12-3 | 3-5 | 1L |
Washington
|
12-10 | 1722 | 1602 | 120 | 8-3 | 4-7 | 1W |
Minnesota
|
11-12 | 1655 | 1587 | 68 | 10-6 | 1-6 | 1W |
Penn State
|
10-12 | 1682 | 1724 | -42 | 9-7 | 1-5 | 1W |
Northwestern
|
10-13 | 1730 | 1667 | 63 | 8-7 | 2-6 | 2L |
Rutgers
|
9-14 | 1614 | 1754 | -140 | 9-5 | 0-9 | 6L |
Maryland
|
8-13 | 1522 | 1673 | -151 | 7-5 | 1-8 | 3L |
Oregon
|
8-14 | 1585 | 1640 | -55 | 7-8 | 1-6 | 8L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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