Penn State vs Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Feb 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Penn State vs Michigan
The Penn State Nittany Lions square off against the Michigan Wolverines, with tip-off scheduled for 18:30 on Thursday, February 5.
Our prediction is that Michigan will beat Penn State by a significant margin. With this in mind, let’s go for them on the spread at -25.5 which is currently available at odds of -110.
Penn State Nittany Lions won their previous game which was at home. It was a 77-75 triumph against Minnesota Golden Gophers.
Michigan Wolverines won last time out by a 83-71 scoreline. It was on the road against Michigan State Spartans.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Michigan have claimed victory in the last two matchups against Penn State. They won 76-72 at home and 74-72 on the road. The past 10 H2H clashes have seen both teams record five wins.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan
|
31-3 | 2952 | 2353 | 599 | 19-2 | 12-1 | 1L |
Penn State
|
12-20 | 2358 | 2539 | -181 | 10-10 | 2-10 | 3L |
Penn State vs Michigan Prediction & Picks
Approach Penn State vs Michigan fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.
Game Prediction
If you agree with our prediction that Michigan can be superior in this college contest, you can get -110 for this selection against the spread. The favorites should be capable of covering the -25.5 line.
We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our college basketball handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.
Key Penn State vs Michigan stats:
Michigan -25.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% chance of this pick winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.
Before you bet, see what free bets you can claim today. Our guide highlights the best welcome bonuses and offers available now.
Player Prop Picks
Aday Mara (Michigan) is available at -100 to record Over 12.5 points. It makes sense to bet on him to cover the line when it comes to this Player Points wager.
Latest Aday Mara Player Prop Odds
Elliot Cadeau (Michigan) is available at -115 to have Under 6.5 assists. It stands to reason that he might fall short when it comes to Player Assists and the line is appealing.
Latest Elliot Cadeau Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Michigan -24.5, Under 162.5 and Aday Mara (Michigan) to score Over 12.5 points.
A same game parlay allows bettors to place a multiple wager on the same basketball game. You can go through the available betting lines and select the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each pick are then combined together.
Correct Score Prediction
65
-
94
Michigan
There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on the Wolverines to achieve a 94-65 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.
Penn State vs Michigan Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
There’s an absence of Moneyline odds for this college game due to it being perceived as one-sided, although underdogs Penn State and their opponents are available as options on the spread.
The spread currently stands at 26.5 and the total points line is 161.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 161.5 at -105.
Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a wide range of team props and game lines at the top basketball sportsbooks. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.
Yaxel Lendeborg is the market leader to hit the most buckets. He is priced at -115 to score Over 15.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -112.
There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.
- NCAAB: 07/01 2026 Michigan 74 Penn State 72
- NCAAB: 28/01 2025 Penn State 72 Michigan 76
- NCAAB: 14/03 2024 Michigan 57 Penn State 66
- NCAAB: 07/01 2024 Michigan 73 Penn State 79
- NCAAB: 29/01 2023 Michigan 61 Penn State 83
- NCAAB: 05/01 2023 Penn State 69 Michigan 79
- NCAAB: 09/02 2022 Michigan 58 Penn State 57
- NCAAB: 13/12 2020 Penn State 58 Michigan 62
- NCAAB: 23/01 2020 Penn State 72 Michigan 63
- NCAAB: 13/02 2019 Michigan 69 Penn State 75
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Penn State Stats
Michigan Stats
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +25.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +25.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road
- -25.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -25.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 156.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 160.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 163.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 163.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.40 pts and allowed 82.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.80 pts and allowed 83.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 157.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 159.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 163.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 163.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.10 pts and allowed 72.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 92.40 pts and allowed 66.60 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Big Ten | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Michigan
|
31-3 | 2952 | 2353 | 599 | 19-2 | 12-1 | 1L |
Nebraska
|
26-6 | 2473 | 2119 | 354 | 19-3 | 7-3 | 1L |
Michigan State
|
25-7 | 2526 | 2189 | 337 | 17-3 | 8-4 | 2L |
Purdue
|
27-8 | 2858 | 2455 | 403 | 16-5 | 11-3 | 4W |
Illinois
|
24-8 | 2700 | 2234 | 466 | 15-6 | 9-2 | 1L |
Wisconsin
|
24-10 | 2822 | 2581 | 241 | 16-2 | 8-8 | 1L |
UCLA
|
23-11 | 2643 | 2414 | 229 | 18-3 | 5-8 | 1L |
Ohio State
|
21-12 | 2633 | 2402 | 231 | 15-5 | 6-7 | 1L |
Iowa
|
21-12 | 2482 | 2177 | 305 | 17-3 | 4-9 | 1L |
Indiana
|
18-14 | 2501 | 2309 | 192 | 15-6 | 3-8 | 2L |
USC
|
18-14 | 2515 | 2494 | 21 | 11-7 | 7-7 | 8L |
Washington
|
16-17 | 2545 | 2430 | 115 | 11-6 | 5-11 | 1L |
Minnesota
|
15-17 | 2241 | 2193 | 48 | 13-8 | 2-9 | 1L |
Northwestern
|
15-19 | 2487 | 2447 | 40 | 11-9 | 4-10 | 1L |
Rutgers
|
14-19 | 2329 | 2479 | -150 | 11-7 | 3-12 | 1L |
Oregon
|
12-20 | 2267 | 2366 | -99 | 10-10 | 2-10 | 1L |
|
Penn State
|
12-20 | 2358 | 2539 | -181 | 10-10 | 2-10 | 3L |
Maryland
|
12-21 | 2300 | 2527 | -227 | 9-8 | 3-13 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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