Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Sep 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Wings

The Mercury clash with the Wings in this WNBA matchup at College Park Center, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Thursday, September 11. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Mercury Primed for Convincing Win

The Mercury can cover the -5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -108 to overcome the Wings.

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Mercury Claimed 102-72 Win in Previous H2H

Phoenix Mercury were beaten 88-83 at PHX Arena in their previous game, being turned over at home to Los Angeles Sparks.

Dallas Wings suffered a defeat in their last game. A 91-77 scoreline occurred on the road at Crypto.com Arena against Los Angeles Sparks.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 102-72 victory was registered against the Wings at PHX Arena. Each franchise has landed five wins in the previous 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	16	3567	3428	139	15-7	12-9	2L
13  Wings	9	34	3497	3795	-298	5-16	4-18	10L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction & Picks

Discover our expert Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

We are confident that Mercury will cover the spread in this WNBA showdown. -5 seems a more than generous line and you can get -108 that they will win by a bigger margin.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming WNBA action along with the current form of each franchise. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our basketball picks.

Key Mercury vs Wings stats:

• The -5 line has been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -5 line has been covered by Mercury in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +5 line hasn’t been covered by Wings in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +5 line hasn’t been covered by Wings in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +5 line hasn’t been covered by Wings in 3 consecutive games at home.

Mercury -5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 51.8% prospect of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This WNBA bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

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Best Bet

Mercury -5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 88 - 81 Wings

The Mercury might be able to claim a win and we’re siding with a 88-81 scoreline in their favor. A small stake can provide a big return and there are tasty odds available.

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Trading at Shorter Odds Than Wings

Phoenix Mercury have the shortest price to win this WNBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 69% probability due to their -227 Moneyline betting odds. Dallas Wings are the underdogs at +180 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is currently 5, with the total points line at 165.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re wanting to back Over 165.5, the odds are -112.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most matchups. The best basketball sportsbooks offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Mercury

-227

Wings

+180

Point Spread

Mercury -5

-108

Wings +5

-112

Total Points

Under 165.5

-108

Over 165.5

-112

Player Props & Micro Betting

The gambling sites will have player props available for each game. Check out the various betting odds and take a view on whether a player’s Total Points, Three-Pointers, Blocks or Steals will hit over or under a certain line.

An increasing number of basketball bettors are now enjoying micro betting and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Dallas Wings Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 167.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.20 pts and allowed 79.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.90 pts and allowed 83.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 174.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 174.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.50 pts and allowed 94.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 82.20 pts and allowed 92.60 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	10	3715	3320	395	19-2	14-8	1L
2  Dream	29	14	3624	3306	318	16-6	13-8	5W
3  Aces	29	14	3577	3477	100	17-5	12-9	15W
4  Mercury	27	16	3567	3428	139	15-7	12-9	2L
5  Liberty	26	17	3622	3448	174	17-5	9-12	2W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Valkyries	23	20	3367	3287	80	14-8	9-12	2L
8  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
9  Sparks	21	22	3694	3779	-85	9-12	12-10	2W
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	32	3265	3694	-429	7-14	4-18	1L
12  Sky	10	33	3249	3686	-437	6-15	4-18	3L
13  Wings	9	34	3497	3795	-298	5-16	4-18	10L