Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Sep 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings

The Phoenix Mercury clash with the Dallas Wings in this WNBA matchup at College Park Center, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Thursday, September 11. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Mercury Primed for Convincing Win

The Mercury can cover the -5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -108 to overcome the Wings.

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Mercury Claimed 102-72 Win in Previous H2H

Phoenix Mercury were beaten 88-83 at PHX Arena in their previous game, being turned over at home to Los Angeles Sparks.

Dallas Wings suffered a defeat in their last game. A 91-77 scoreline occurred on the road at Crypto.com Arena against Los Angeles Sparks.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 102-72 victory was registered against the Wings at PHX Arena. Each franchise has landed five wins in the previous 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction & Picks

Our Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

We are confident that Mercury will cover the spread in this WNBA showdown. -5 seems a more than generous line and you can get -108 that they will win by a bigger margin.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming WNBA action along with the current form of each franchise. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our basketball picks.

Key Mercury vs Wings stats:

• The -5 line has been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -5 line has been covered by Mercury in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +5 line hasn’t been covered by Wings in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +5 line hasn’t been covered by Wings in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +5 line hasn’t been covered by Wings in 3 consecutive games at home.

Mercury -5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 51.8% prospect of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This WNBA bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.

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Best Bet

Mercury -5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Satou Sabally Under 5.5 Rebounds -125

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be backed to record Under 5.5 rebounds at -125. It stands to reason that she will fall short of the line which looks generous for this Player Rebounds bet.

Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Assists

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-120

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-103

Under 5.5

-125

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Paige Bueckers Under 18.5 Points -120

Paige Bueckers (Wings) is available at -120 to register Under 18.5 points. It’s anticipated that her Player Points are going to fall below the total, with this bet offering plenty of appeal.

Latest Paige Bueckers Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 17.5

-105

Under 17.5

-123

Assists

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-143

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-103

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 88 - 81 Wings

The Mercury might be able to claim a win and we’re siding with a 88-81 scoreline in their favor. A small stake can provide a big return and there are tasty odds available.

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Trading at Shorter Odds Than Wings

Phoenix Mercury have the shortest price to win this WNBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 71% probability due to their -250 Moneyline betting odds. Dallas Wings are the underdogs at +198 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is currently 5.5, with the total points line at 167.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re wanting to back Over 167.5, the odds are -108.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most matchups. The best basketball sportsbooks offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Mercury

-250

Wings

+198

Point Spread

Mercury -5.5

-112

Wings +5.5

-108

Total Points

Under 167.5

-112

Over 167.5

-108

Paige Bueckers Favorite to Score the Most Points

Paige Bueckers is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -105 that she goes Over 17.5 points and -123 when it comes to Under.

Paige Bueckers (Wings)

Over 17.5

-105

Under 17.5

-123

Maddy Siegrist (Wings)

Over 14.5

-108

Under 14.5

-120

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Paige Bueckers (Wings)

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-143

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-120

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-103

Under 5.5

-125

Maddy Siegrist (Wings)

Over 4.5

-103

Under 4.5

-125

Paige Bueckers (Wings)

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-103

Micro Betting

An increasing number of basketball bettors are now enjoying micro betting and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Dallas Wings Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 167.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.20 pts and allowed 79.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.90 pts and allowed 83.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 174.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 174.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.50 pts and allowed 94.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 82.20 pts and allowed 92.60 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W