Sam Houston vs New Mexico State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Dec 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Sam Houston vs New Mexico State

The Sam Houston Bearkats battle the New Mexico State, with tip-off scheduled for 16:00 on Sunday, December 21.

Sam Houston look a value pick at +2.5 on the spread. The underdogs could beat New Mexico State and the -105 about this selection makes plenty of appeal.

Sam Houston Bearkats got the win in their previous game. A 85-75 triumph occurred on the road when playing Oregon State Beavers.

New Mexico State lost their last game, being beaten at home to Tulsa Golden Hurricane 83-70.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sam Houston beat NM State in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 76-69 scoreline. In the past 6 games between the teams, Sam Houston have won five.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Sam Houston	22-11	2714	2447	267	14-2	8-9	1L
New Mexico State	16-16	2403	2303	100	11-6	5-10	1L

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Sam Houston vs New Mexico State Prediction & Picks

We dive into the best Sam Houston vs New Mexico State betting angles, including a key match prediction, our correct score forecast and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

The market might have underrated Sam Houston in this college matchup and -105 makes plenty of appeal considering the underdogs are +2.5 on the spread. Back them to cover the line.

Our team of college basketball handicappers track current injuries closely. Combined with recent form, this helps us identify the best value odds. A data-led approach backed by key stats and the latest team news keeps our analysis sharp.

Key Sam Houston vs New Mexico State stats:

• The +2.5 line has been covered by Sam Houston in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Sam Houston in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Sam Houston in 2 consecutive games.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by NM State in 3 consecutive games.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by NM State in 5 of their last 6 games against Sam Houston.

Sam Houston +2.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college basketball wager.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your wager in the process.

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Our Game Prediction

Sam Houston +2.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 20, 22:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sam Houston 76 - 72 NM State

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Kats to achieve a 76-72 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

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Sam Houston vs New Mexico State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

New Mexico State have been given Moneyline odds of -233 against Sam Houston who are +186. From a percentage point-of-view, the leading sportsbooks give the visiting team a 35% chance of success.

The current spread is 4.5 and total points is 153.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. There’s the chance to back Under 153.5 at -110.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college basketball matchup, head to the top betting apps and explore the wide range of team props and game lines. Look for the lines that offer the most value.

Moneyline

Sam Houston

+186

NM State

-233

Point Spread

Sam Houston +4.5

-104

NM State -4.5

-118

Total Points

Under 153.5

-110

Over 153.5

-110

If you have a view on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Double-Doubles or Triple-Doubles, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Sam Houston Stats

New Mexico State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 158.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 155.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 155.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.20 pts and allowed 75.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.70 pts and allowed 78.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 142.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 136.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 155.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 155.5 at Home: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.90 pts and allowed 69.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 72.20 pts and allowed 64.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	25-7	2501	2253	248	14-4	11-3	1L
Sam Houston	22-11	2714	2447	267	14-2	8-9	1L
Kennesaw State	21-13	2834	2587	247	14-3	7-10	3W
Louisiana Tech	20-14	2375	2210	165	16-4	4-10	1L
Western Kentucky	18-14	2537	2436	101	13-6	5-8	3L
Middle Tennessee	17-15	2414	2329	85	12-5	5-10	1L
New Mexico State	16-16	2403	2303	100	11-6	5-10	1L
Missouri State	16-18	2551	2502	49	11-7	5-11	1L
Jacksonville State	15-17	2325	2188	137	10-9	5-8	1L
FIU	15-17	2580	2492	88	12-7	3-10	1L
UTEP	11-20	2149	2244	-95	9-8	2-12	1L
Delaware	10-21	2098	2293	-195	6-11	4-10	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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