São Paulo vs Minas Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 12 Apr 2025

Our best pick is that Minas are going to cover the -8.5 on the spread. You can get odds of -118 that there’s a bigger margin of victory against São Paulo.

São Paulo were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 86-85 loss against Botafogo.

Minas claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 97-59 win occurred against Botafogo.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Minas who came out on top when they last played São Paulo. A 77-63 win was recorded. Minas have won three on the spin against São Paulo. They’ve also claimed 6 victories in the past 10 head-to-head encounters.

NBB	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Minas	21	7	2435	2303	132	12-2	9-5	1L

View Full Standings

São Paulo vs Minas Prediction & Betting Tips

It’s time to go for Minas against the spread, especially with an appealing -8.5 line at odds of -118. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can achieve a comfortable victory in this NBB contest.

A good deal of research goes into our Brazilian NBB predictions. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key São Paulo vs Minas league stats:

• The -8.5 line has been covered by Minas in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -8.5 line has been covered by Minas in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 3 consecutive games against Minas.

Minas -8.5 Probability

According to the betting sites, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There are many alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Our Game Prediction

Minas -8.5 @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 11, 18:52). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 68 - 81 Minas

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a huge potential return if you get it right. We’ll try Minas to achieve a 81-68 victory at massive odds.

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São Paulo vs Minas Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Minas have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -435 favorites for this NBB game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 81% chance of winning. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +270 about São Paulo.

The current spread is 8.5 and the total points line is 156.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those that want to back Under 156.5 can find odds of -118 available.

In the Race to 20 Points betting, Minas are favorites and they can be backed at -200 to attain this total first. If you want to back São Paulo, then odds of +150 can be found.

If you’re wagering on the Novo Basquete Brasil, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the wide range of team props and game lines. There’s a chance to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

São Paulo

+270

Minas

-435

Point Spread

São Paulo +8.5

-118

Minas -8.5

-118

Total Points

Under 156.5

-118

Over 156.5

-118

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to the NBB and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes live, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

São Paulo Stats

Minas Stats

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 153.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 156.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.30 pts and allowed 83.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.80 pts and allowed 79.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 154.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 156.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.00 pts and allowed 70.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.80 pts and allowed 74.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

NBB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Pinheiros	22	5	2321	2010	311	13-1	9-4	1W
2  Franca	23	6	2587	2186	401	13-3	10-3	1W
3  Flamengo	22	6	2434	2175	259	11-2	11-4	1L
4  Minas	21	7	2435	2303	132	12-2	9-5	1L
5  Brasília	20	8	2303	2035	268	11-1	9-7	1W
6  Corinthians	20	8	2347	2184	163	12-2	8-6	6W
7  Paulistano	17	11	2269	2154	115	11-3	6-8	1W
8  São José	17	11	2317	2238	79	11-4	6-7	2L
9  Bauru	17	12	2309	2268	41	11-4	6-8	5W
10  Mogi das Cruzes	14	13	2046	1886	160	9-4	5-9	2L
11  Unifacisa	14	13	2163	2138	25	9-6	5-7	1W
12  União Corinthians	14	13	2137	2199	-62	11-2	3-11	2W
13  Caxias do Sul	12	15	1959	2074	-115	7-5	5-10	2W
14  Cruzeiro	9	18	2139	2300	-161	6-9	3-9	1W
15  Rio Claro	8	19	2090	2360	-270	6-6	2-13	2L
16  Pato	7	21	2053	2224	-171	5-9	2-12	2L
17  Cearense	6	21	2080	2345	-265	4-11	2-10	1W
18  Botafogo	5	22	1946	2244	-298	5-8	0-14	3L
19  Osasco	4	23	2019	2353	-334	3-11	1-12	14L
20  Vasco	4	24	1950	2228	-278	1-12	3-12	4L

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