SMU vs Louisville Prediction, Picks & Odds | 31 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: SMU vs Louisville

The SMU Mustangs battle the Louisville Cardinals, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Saturday, January 31.

The Unders looks the way to go when SMU and Louisville take to the court. The line looks too high at 161.5 and odds of -110 could favor bettors who go below that total.

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SMU Mustangs claimed a victory in their previous game. A 83-80 home win occurred against Florida State Seminoles.

Louisville Cardinals were beaten last game and this was on the road. Duke Blue Devils claimed a 83-52 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Louisville claim a 98-73 win over SMU.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
SMU	15-5	1745	1540	205	13-1	2-4	2W
Louisville	14-6	1720	1406	314	10-2	4-4	1L

View Full Standings

SMU vs Louisville Prediction & Picks

This SMU vs Louisville betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including an expert match prediction, correct score bet and a strategic bet builder.

Game Prediction

Go for Under at -110. It might be defenses on top when these college rivals meet, with the 161.5 points line looking on the high side on the totals.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert basketball predictions, our handicappers also analyze the latest college hoops stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key SMU vs Louisville stats:

• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 SMU games on the road.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 19 SMU games on the road.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 10 Louisville games.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Louisville games.

Under 161.5 Probability

The top betting apps imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of delivering a return. However, our cappers in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Bettors looking for more juice from their Unders wager can check out the Match Result & Total lines. Here you simply combine points with the team that will win.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Our Game Prediction

Under 161.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

SMU 71 - 84 Louisville

A 84-71 win for Louisville is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

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SMU vs Louisville Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -476 about Louisville which reflects they have a 83% chance of winning this college game. The market suggests that SMU are least likely to win at +360.

8.5 is the spread and 161.5 is the total points line. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to bet Under 161.5, there are odds of -110.

If you’re betting on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting sites and scanning through the wide range of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

SMU

+360

Louisville

-476

Point Spread

SMU +8.5

-102

Louisville -8.5

-120

Total Points

Under 161.5

-110

Over 161.5

-110

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

SMU Stats

Louisville Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 162.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 151.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 161.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.70 pts and allowed 78.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 77.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 150.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 157.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 161.5: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.70 pts and allowed 72.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.90 pts and allowed 68.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	19-1	1712	1292	420	12-0	7-1	8W
Virginia	17-3	1692	1389	303	11-1	6-2	1W
Clemson	17-4	1619	1368	251	12-1	5-3	1W
Miami	17-4	1778	1456	322	12-2	5-2	2W
North Carolina	16-4	1651	1401	250	13-0	3-4	2W
SMU	15-5	1745	1540	205	13-1	2-4	2W
Virginia Tech	16-6	1782	1631	151	13-1	3-5	1W
NC State	15-6	1794	1505	289	10-4	5-2	3W
California	15-6	1636	1468	168	14-2	1-4	1L
Louisville	14-6	1720	1406	314	10-2	4-4	1L
Stanford	14-7	1589	1528	61	9-5	5-2	3L
Syracuse	12-9	1581	1467	114	9-4	3-5	4L
Wake Forest	11-10	1683	1611	72	8-4	3-6	3L
Notre Dame	11-10	1555	1502	53	9-4	2-6	1L
Georgia Tech	11-10	1564	1536	28	10-5	1-5	2L
Boston College	9-11	1364	1363	1	8-6	1-5	1L
Pittsburgh	9-12	1533	1501	32	7-7	2-5	1W
Florida State	9-12	1689	1671	18	8-6	1-6	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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