Southern Methodist Mustangs (SMU)
Basketball NCAAB Sat 31 Jan 14:00
Louisville Cardinals
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Team Stats
  6. Standings

College Basketball Betting Preview: SMU vs Louisville

The SMU Mustangs battle the Louisville Cardinals, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Saturday, January 31.

A Low-Scoring Game Set to Happen?

The Unders looks the way to go when SMU and Louisville take to the court. The line looks too high at 161.5 and odds of -110 could favor bettors who go below that total.

Louisville 98-73 Victory in Previous H2H Meeting

SMU Mustangs claimed a victory in their previous game. A 83-80 home win occurred against Florida State Seminoles.

Louisville Cardinals were beaten last game and this was on the road. Duke Blue Devils claimed a 83-52 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Louisville claim a 98-73 win over SMU.

NCAAB Overall PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Louisville 23-10 2797 2382 415 16-2 7-8 1L
SMU 20-13 2779 2561 218 17-3 3-10 1L
View Full Standings

SMU vs Louisville Prediction & Picks

Our SMU vs Louisville betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

Go for Under at -110. It might be defenses on top when these college rivals meet, with the 161.5 points line looking on the high side on the totals.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert basketball predictions, our handicappers also analyze the latest college hoops stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key SMU vs Louisville stats:

  • The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 SMU games on the road.
  • The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 19 SMU games on the road.
  • The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 10 Louisville games.
  • The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Louisville games.

Under 161.5 Probability

The top betting apps imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of delivering a return. However, our cappers in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Bettors looking for more juice from their Unders wager can check out the Match Result & Total lines. Here you simply combine points with the team that will win.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Our Game Prediction
Under 161.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 30, 18:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 18:57, 30 January 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mikel Brown Jr. Over 2.5 Rebounds -130 BetMGM logo

Mikel Brown Jr. (Louisville) can be backed to record Over 2.5 rebounds at -130. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this total making lots of appeal.

Latest Mikel Brown Jr. Player Prop Odds


B.J. Edwards Under 4.5 Assists -141 BetMGM logo

B.J. Edwards (SMU) can be wagered to have Under 4.5 assists at -141. It might well be the case that he doesn’t cover the line and this Player Assists bet is appealing.

Latest B.J. Edwards Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 161.5
Spread Louisville -8.5
Player Rebounds Mikel Brown Jr. Over 2.5

Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Under 161.5 on the total, Louisville to cover the -8.5 spread and Mikel Brown Jr. (Louisville) to get Over 2.5 rebounds.

A basketball same game parlay is an awesome way of cheering on different selections within the same game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single wager. The odds can combine to great effect.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

SMU SMU logo 71 - 84 Louisville logo Louisville

A 84-71 win for Louisville is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

SMU vs Louisville Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Louisville Big Favorites According to Latest Odds

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -588 about Louisville which reflects they have a 85% chance of winning this college game. The market suggests that SMU are least likely to win at +420.

9.5 is the spread and 161.5 is the total points line. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to bet Under 161.5, there are odds of -110.

If you’re betting on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting sites and scanning through the wide range of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to wager pre-game and in-game.

Betting Lines & Odds
Ryan Conwell Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

The favorite to land the most baskets is Ryan Conwell. Odds of -120 can be found for him scoring Over 19.5 points and there is -110 for him to go Under.

Player Points
Ryan Conwell (Louisville)
Over 19.5
-120
Under 19.5
-110
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Mikel Brown Jr. (Louisville)
Over 16.5
-100
Under 16.5
-135
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Jaron Pierre Jr. (SMU)
Over 15.5
-110
Under 15.5
-118
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Player Assists
Mikel Brown Jr. (Louisville)
Over 5.5
+120
Under 5.5
-161
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Ryan Conwell (Louisville)
Over 2.5
-161
Under 2.5
+125
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Player Rebounds
Samet Yigitoglu (SMU)
Over 6.5
-135
Under 6.5
+105
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Ryan Conwell (Louisville)
Over 4.5
-161
Under 4.5
+125
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Mikel Brown Jr. (Louisville)
Over 2.5
-130
Under 2.5
-100
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Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

SMU logo SMU Stats
Louisville logo Louisville Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points

NCAAB Table Select Season

Atlantic Coast Overall PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Duke 32-2 2798 2147 651 21-0 11-2 11W
Virginia 29-5 2742 2326 416 19-1 10-4 1L
Miami 25-8 2704 2349 355 16-4 9-4 1L
North Carolina 24-8 2553 2282 271 19-1 5-7 2L
Clemson 24-10 2521 2269 252 16-3 8-7 1L
Louisville 23-10 2797 2382 415 16-2 7-8 1L
California 21-11 2492 2344 148 17-4 4-7 2L
Stanford 20-12 2431 2326 105 12-7 8-5 1L
NC State 20-13 2762 2525 237 13-7 7-6 1L
SMU 20-13 2779 2561 218 17-3 3-10 1L
Virginia Tech 19-13 2521 2396 125 15-4 4-9 2L
Florida State 18-15 2652 2572 80 12-8 6-7 1L
Wake Forest 17-16 2602 2543 59 12-6 5-10 1L
Syracuse 15-17 2400 2376 24 12-6 3-11 6L
Notre Dame 13-18 2308 2335 -27 11-7 2-11 2L
Pittsburgh 13-20 2327 2370 -43 8-10 5-10 1L
Boston College 11-20 2090 2191 -101 10-10 1-10 1W
Georgia Tech 11-20 2287 2400 -113 10-10 1-10 12L
  • Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
  • PF = Total Points For
  • PA = Total Points Against
  • N. Pts = Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Away = Away Record
  • Strk = Current Streak