SMU vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: SMU vs Mississippi State

The SMU Mustangs battle the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Friday, November 28.

The -110 about Under 165.5 points makes lots of appeal and represents value in our eyes. We’re not sure if SMU and Mississippi State can combine to reach that total.

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SMU Mustangs claimed a victory in their previous game. A 89-72 home win occurred against Radford Highlanders.

Mississippi State Bulldogs last game saw them claim a 81-78 (OT) home win over New Orleans Privateers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Mississippi State and SMU saw the former win. It was a 84-79 scoreline.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
SMU	7-0	649	511	138	7-0	0-0	7W
Mississippi State	3-3	477	482	-5	3-1	0-2	1W

View Full Standings

SMU vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our SMU vs Mississippi State betting tips: our expert match prediction, most likely correct score outcome and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Go for Under at -110. It might be defenses on top when these college rivals meet, with the 165.5 points line looking on the high side on the totals.

We only publish our basketball picks once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every college hoops prediction we make.

Key SMU vs Mississippi State stats:

• The 165.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 SMU games on the road.
• The 165.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 SMU games on the road.
• The 165.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 18 SMU games on the road.
• The 165.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 MS State games at home.
• The 165.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 MS State games at home.
• The 165.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 MS State games.

Under 165.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There’s the chance to boost your odds about an Under pick. The Match Result & Total lines provide a prime opportunity to squeeze more juice by predicting the winner too.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 165.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

SMU 81 - 77 MS State

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Mustangs claiming a 81-77 victory. This correct score pick is available at huge odds and could be an entertaining bet to place.

SMU vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

There are betting odds of -104 that Mississippi State land victory, with SMU alternatively at -115. From a percentage point-of-view, the leading sportsbooks give the visiting team a 53% chance of success.

1.5 is the spread and 165.5 is the total points line. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. Those who wager Under 165.5 can get -110.

Whether you’re betting pre-game or in-game, the top basketball sportsbooks serve up a wide range of team props and game lines to choose from. The options are nearly endless, and it’s great to have so much variety.

Moneyline

SMU

-115

MS State

-104

Point Spread

SMU -1.5

-100

MS State +1.5

-122

Total Points

Under 165.5

-110

Over 165.5

-110

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to wager on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Steals, Blocks and Rebounds as potential options.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

SMU Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 144.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.90 pts and allowed 71.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.10 pts and allowed 69.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 151.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.50 pts and allowed 79.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.60 pts and allowed 73.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Missouri	7-0	657	486	171	6-0	1-0	7W
Vanderbilt	7-0	687	517	170	4-0	3-0	7W
LSU	5-0	493	353	140	5-0	0-0	5W
Tennessee	7-1	687	523	164	6-1	1-0	1L
Georgia	6-1	669	487	182	5-1	1-0	1L
Texas	6-2	727	575	152	5-1	1-1	2W
Auburn	6-2	708	597	111	5-2	1-0	1W
Kentucky	5-2	629	442	187	5-1	0-1	2W
Arkansas	5-2	617	501	116	5-1	0-1	1L
Texas A&M	5-2	654	544	110	5-1	0-1	3W
Alabama	5-2	669	574	95	3-2	2-0	2W
Ole Miss	5-2	554	474	80	5-0	0-2	2L
Oklahoma	4-2	531	447	84	4-0	0-2	2W
Florida	4-2	511	430	81	4-1	0-1	1L
South Carolina	4-2	491	428	63	4-0	0-2	2L
Mississippi State	3-3	477	482	-5	3-1	0-2	1W

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	8-0	735	470	265	6-0	2-0	8W
Louisville	7-0	677	441	236	6-0	1-0	7W
SMU	7-0	649	511	138	7-0	0-0	7W
Clemson	6-1	590	454	136	5-0	1-1	3W
North Carolina	6-1	583	460	123	6-0	0-1	1L
California	6-1	591	487	104	6-0	0-1	3W
Virginia Tech	6-1	593	505	88	5-0	1-1	1L
Georgia Tech	5-1	437	381	56	5-0	0-1	2W
Stanford	5-1	491	426	65	4-1	1-0	1W
Virginia	5-1	519	404	115	4-0	1-1	1L
Florida State	5-1	559	422	137	5-0	0-1	3W
Miami	5-2	615	458	157	5-1	0-1	1L
NC State	5-2	655	536	119	4-1	1-1	1L
Wake Forest	5-2	613	502	111	4-0	1-2	2W
Notre Dame	5-3	603	538	65	5-0	0-3	1L
Syracuse	4-3	524	457	67	3-0	1-3	3L
Pittsburgh	4-3	505	466	39	4-1	0-2	2L
Boston College	4-4	564	525	39	3-3	1-1	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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