SMU vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Nov 2025
College Basketball Betting Preview: SMU vs Mississippi State
The SMU Mustangs battle the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Friday, November 28.
The -110 about Under 165.5 points makes lots of appeal and represents value in our eyes. We’re not sure if SMU and Mississippi State can combine to reach that total.
SMU Mustangs claimed a victory in their previous game. A 89-72 home win occurred against Radford Highlanders.
Mississippi State Bulldogs last game saw them claim a 81-78 (OT) home win over New Orleans Privateers.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last matchup between Mississippi State and SMU saw the former win. It was a 84-79 scoreline.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
13-19 | 2484 | 2618 | -134 | 9-10 | 4-9 | 6L |
SMU vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks
Take in the full SMU vs Mississippi State betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
Go for Under at -110. It might be defenses on top when these college rivals meet, with the 165.5 points line looking on the high side on the totals.
We only publish our basketball picks once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every college hoops prediction we make.
Key SMU vs Mississippi State stats:
Under 165.5 Probability
According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
There’s the chance to boost your odds about an Under pick. The Match Result & Total lines provide a prime opportunity to squeeze more juice by predicting the winner too.
Ready to wager? First, explore top-tier betting promo codes, free bets, and welcome bonuses with our expert bonus guide.
Player Prop Picks
Jaron Pierre Jr. (SMU) can be wagered to have Under 1.5 assists at +120. Taking everything into consideration, we can feel confident that he will fall short of the line.
Latest Jaron Pierre Jr. Player Prop Odds
Samet Yigitoglu (SMU) can be wagered to score Under 10.5 points at -105. It’s anticipated that his Player Points are going to fall below the total, with this bet offering plenty of appeal.
Latest Samet Yigitoglu Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Under 163.5 on the total, SMU to cover the -1.5 spread and Jaron Pierre Jr. (SMU) to get Under 1.5 assists.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a fantastic way of wagering on a single event. Many basketball bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
81
-
77
MS State
We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Mustangs claiming a 81-77 victory. This correct score pick is available at huge odds and could be an entertaining bet to place.
SMU vs Mississippi State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
There are betting odds of -102 that Mississippi State land victory, with SMU alternatively at -118. From a percentage point-of-view, the leading sportsbooks give the visiting team a 54% chance of success.
1.5 is the spread and 163.5 is the total points line. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. Those who wager Under 163.5 can get -110.
Whether you’re betting pre-game or in-game, the top basketball sportsbooks serve up a wide range of team props and game lines to choose from. The options are nearly endless, and it’s great to have so much variety.
The favorite to score most points is Josh Hubbard. You can get -125 that he scores Over 22.5 points or -105 that he goes Under.
There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
SMU Stats
Mississippi State Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 157.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 144.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 165.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 165.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.90 pts and allowed 71.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.10 pts and allowed 69.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 160.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 151.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 165.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 165.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.50 pts and allowed 79.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.60 pts and allowed 73.20 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Southeastern | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida
|
26-7 | 2864 | 2376 | 488 | 18-3 | 8-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
26-8 | 3058 | 2723 | 335 | 20-3 | 6-5 | 5W |
Vanderbilt
|
26-8 | 2936 | 2557 | 379 | 15-3 | 11-5 | 1L |
Alabama
|
23-9 | 2935 | 2671 | 264 | 15-6 | 8-3 | 1L |
Georgia
|
22-10 | 2874 | 2533 | 341 | 15-6 | 7-4 | 1L |
Tennessee
|
22-11 | 2622 | 2289 | 333 | 16-5 | 6-6 | 1L |
Texas A&M
|
21-11 | 2807 | 2546 | 261 | 14-5 | 7-6 | 1L |
Missouri
|
20-12 | 2549 | 2411 | 138 | 15-4 | 5-8 | 3L |
Kentucky
|
21-13 | 2746 | 2510 | 236 | 16-6 | 5-7 | 1L |
Texas
|
18-14 | 2681 | 2458 | 223 | 13-7 | 5-7 | 3L |
Oklahoma
|
19-15 | 2813 | 2621 | 192 | 13-5 | 6-10 | 1L |
Auburn
|
17-16 | 2730 | 2620 | 110 | 14-6 | 3-10 | 1L |
LSU
|
15-17 | 2606 | 2512 | 94 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 4L |
Ole Miss
|
15-20 | 2656 | 2664 | -8 | 9-9 | 6-11 | 1L |
|
Mississippi State
|
13-19 | 2484 | 2618 | -134 | 9-10 | 4-9 | 6L |
South Carolina
|
13-19 | 2398 | 2447 | -49 | 11-8 | 2-11 | 1L |
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
|
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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